The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Open Thread

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Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – April 05, 2026

34 Comments

  1. KT Chong

    “Iran is dark and full of terror.”

    … for America, that is.

    Iran is now the newly minted world power. Trump’s war has unexpectedly and unwittingly turned Iran into an energy hegemon and a center of power:

    • Breaking Points: Robert Pape: Iran “New World Power”, NATO Dead (April 2, 2026):
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZXDWh3faH_Y

    • Top American War Expert: “Iran Will Become a Superpower. Trump Made a HUGE Mistake” – Dr. Robert Pape with Ansari (April 1, 2026):
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l6npwuuVAlk

    Iran now controls 20 percent of the global oil trade with the Strait of Hormuz and will collect tolls for safe passage through the strait, (including from China-flagged ships, although China will likely receive big friendship or partner discounts from Iran.) Iran will be flushed with money from oil and tolls, and will use the money to quickly rebuild and reconstruct, develop and grow, after it eventually and inevitably forces America to tuck its tail and run.

    Iran has already won the war strategically. There is nothing Trump can do tactically — airstrikes, bombing, ground invasion or otherwise — to achieve a strategic victory. Geography has already defeated America. Iran will NOT give up the victory and its new power. No country has ever given up that kind of power. This is the unexpected twist and turn of the Iran War.

    Dr. Pape remarked on the Breaking Points interview that the world now has FOUR superpowers:

    • Three rising powers: China, Russia, and Iran.

    • And a declining power: America.

  2. KT Chong

    A recap on why America can’t win this one:

    If Trump declares “mission accomplished!”, and America tucks its tail and run from Iran, (which America did at the end of the Vietnam War and Afghan occupation despite owning total air and naval dominance — just as Trump and Pete Hegseth keeps claiming now in the Iran War,) the war will end for America, but it will not for Iran.  Iran will keep shooting drones and missiles at the GCC (Gulf Cooperation Council) nations — and Israel — until they submit, surrender and agree to Iran’s terms: pay reparations to Iran for the war started by America and Israel,  expel US military bases in the GCC, and accept Chinese yuan (or another currency) instead of the US dollar for oil trade — or not be allowed passage through the strait of Hormuz.

    The GCC and the petrodollar system — i.e., the GCC nations sold their oil to the world in USD, they recycled their excess dollars back into America, invested into the US stock market, and underwrote the AI boom in America —  will collapse, bringing down the US economy along with it.  That is why simply declaring victory and leaving is NOT an option for America.  Trump will have to send ground forces into Iran to try to reverse the tide; and when he does, geography dictates that American soldiers — lots and lots of American soldiers — will be trapped and slaughtered in the mountainous fortress of Iran.

    The mightiest military in human history, will ultimately still be defeated by the immovable force of geography.

    Notes: The GCC countries are Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE. The GCC is already fracturing. Recent news and signs reveal that Oman has behind-the-scene submitted to Iran’s terms, and Bahrain — which has a pro-Iranian Shia-majority with an oppressive Sunni monarchy — is about to have a revolution and bring out the guillotine (or whatever Shia Muslims use to execute disposed monarchs.)

  3. KT Chong

    Dr. Robert Pape further explained why the outcome will be devasting to the US.

    In what many analysts are now calling the “Great Pivot”: the newly emerged world power (Iran) will refuse to work with the US.  Iran will reject US capitals, firms and contracts for post-war reconstruction.  Iran will ban US AI and tech to break from the US.  Instead, Iran will turn to China for reconstruction. It will welcome Chinese capitals and Chinese firms, adopt Chinese AI and Chinese tech.

    Russia will also do the same after the Ukraine War, (it already has been doing so.)   

    That means: three of the four world’s superpowers will adopt Chinese financial, AI and tech ecosystems and be incorporated into the Sinosphere.  Three (emerging) superpowers versus (the declining) one.  This fast unfolding future — which is the logical outcome if you think about it — will be absolutely devasting to the US.

  4. KT Chong

    Trump has been considering, just leave, that America would just tuck its tail and run like a beaten dog while still keep barking. That is why Trump has made his demands to other countries that are suffering from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz: buy American (oil and gas) or send navy to Hormuz (to fix the mess he has created):

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r9F6haZLYYA&t=115s

    Here is a better idea.

    There is a THIRD OPTION that is so obvious and certainly much cheaper and easier than Trump’s offer of binary choices: countries should just cut a deal with Iran and agree to Iran’s terms.  

    1. Pay Iran the toll for passage through the strait.

    2. Pay for oil cargo in Chinese yuan (RMB) instead of USD.

    Term no. 2 = work with Iran to bring down the petrodollar system and US economy.

    Trump probably thinks America will slap on tariffs and secondary sanctions on any countries that dare to cut the deal with Iran.  However, here is a fundamental truth in geopolitics:

    Energy needs always trump financial compliance.

    As more and more countries inevitably start to make deals with Iran for energy, the US will have to sanction more and more countries.  If and when America has to sanctions everyone including allies, then it is really America that is being sanctioned. 

  5. KT Chong

    Malaysia has already cut a deal with Iran.

    On March 18, 2026, Malaysia officially declared its trade deal with Trump, “null and void”. Malaysia is the first country to formally walk away from the “reciprocal” tariff agreements negotiated with Trump.

    The U.S. did not want “neutrality” — it demanded submission. The “reciprocal tariff agreement”, signed in October 2025, was a demand for Malaysia to obey and submit to America, and to stop trading with China = Malaysia’s largest trading partner. The deal was insulting to Malaysia as it was structured to turn Malaysia into a US vassal. The agreement was loaded with “poison pill” clauses designed to force Malaysia to pick a side:

    • National Security Alignment: This effectively forced Malaysia to enforce U.S. sanctions against third countries — specifically China — whenever Washington claimed a “security” pretext.

    • Resource Control: Malaysia was pushed into the “expedient development” of its rare earths and minerals exclusively for U.S. interests, a blatant attempt to high-jack Malaysia’s resources to cut China out of the supply chain.

    Once these details of the trade deal were leaked:

    • The public backlash was inevitable. Malaysians took to the streets to protest against the “unequal” deal that saw Malaysia slashing duties on 98.4% of U.S. goods while the U.S. kept a 19% barrier against Malaysia, atop of the National Security and Resource Control terms that would vassalize Malaysia.

    • China officially complained to Malaysia and expressed “grave concerns”, pointing out that “neutrality” is impossible once Malaysia has signed away its trade independence to the U.S.

    Ultimately, the public outrage, Chinese pressure, and energy security — in exchange for oil passage through the Strait of Hormuz with Iran — made Malaysia “null and void” the unfair, lopsided trade deal with the US.

    Less than a week after Malaysia had killed the trade deal with Trump, Malaysia Prime Minister Anwar announced: Iran is allowing allowing Malaysian vessels to pass Hormuz Strait:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuNd3gbix64

    Malaysia is not buying overpriced US oil and gas. It is not sending warships to fight Iran or escort oil tankers. It has taken the third option = the path of least resistance: Malaysia has cut a deal with Iran. That is why Malaysia is currently faring much better than most other Asians countries in the current oil and energy crisis, (and you can fact-check it.)

  6. KT Chong

    And guess who else must be working behind-the-scene to cut a deal with Iran?

    The U.S. — after Trump had already made a huge unfixable mess — went to the UN and used Bahrain to try to pass a resolution to authorize the use of multinational military force to open the Strait of Hormuz.

    France joins Russia, China to oppose Hormuz force plan:

    https://www.msn.com/en-in/news/insight/france-joins-russia-china-to-oppose-hormuz-force-plan/gm-GMA6C72C47?gemSnapshotKey=GMA6C72C47-snapshot-15

  7. Beware:
    At war
    Or at peace,
    More people die
    Of unenlightened self-interest
    Than of any other disease.” -― Parable of the Sower

    “It takes something more than intelligence to act intelligently.” -—Fyodor Dostoevsky

    ————-

    The FDA package insert for the Prevnar vaccine given to children 4 times starting at 2 months of age:

    Page 7
    The clinical trial tested the current vaccine against the old vaccine. The old vaccine when it was approved was approved by being tested against an “Investigational meningococcal group C conjugate vaccine”

    “Serious adverse events occured in 8.2% among Prevnar 13 receipients and 7.2% among Prevnar recipients.”
    “There were 3 (0.063%) deaths among Prevnar 13 recipients, and 1 (0.036%) death in Prevnar recipients”

    Serious advese events are deaths, hospitlizations, chronic illnesses, or needing medical care to prevent long term injury.

    Here are some of the negative systemic effects according to the vaccine manufacturer

    Blood and lymphatic system disorders
    Cardiac disorders
    Immune system disorders
    Nervious system disroders
    Apnea
    Vascular disorders
    Seizures

    https://www.fda.gov/media/107657/download

    The chronic illness rate among children has gone from under 10% to 50% during a period where they’ve been inject 70+ times with that. But the Epstein class tells us to keep doing it because they care so much about children. Just look at Gaza or a ghetto to see how much they care.

    —-

    Do Pertussis vaccines prevent transmission and infection?
    Here is what the FDA says:
    “aPVs [pertussis vaccines] … cannot avoid infection and transmission. … aPV pertussis vaccines do not prevent colonization. do not exert any herd immunity effect.”

    Here is what the CDC says:
    “vaccination does not prevent B. pertussis infection in humans, nor the circulation of the organism in human populations in any important manner”

    Does the DTap vaccine prevent transmission and infecions?
    Here is what the CDC says:
    “does not prevent the carrier state nor stop the spread of infection”
    “lead us to conclude that the concept of herd immunity is not applicable in the prevention of diphtheria.”

    https://aaronsiri.substack.com/p/do-the-pertussis-vaccines-used-in
    https://aaronsiri.substack.com/p/do-the-diphtheria-vaccines-used-in

    Seems like those Doctors enjoying their bi-yearly pharma paid resort vacation were lying to you. Can’t imagine why…

    —–
    World’s leading vaccinalogists write article admitting that the 72+ vaccine injections given to babies and children have never been tested for saftey or efficacy.

    “prelicensure clinical trials have limited sample sizes [and] follow-up durations” “there are not resources earmarked for postauthorization safety studies.”

    https://aaronsiri.substack.com/p/and-like-that-the-claim-vaccines

    Stanley Plotkin who has admitted to experimenting on “mentally retarded children” and “orphans” because they are “useless” (his words not mine) commands you to ignore the evidence because he is “responsible” for “protecting millions of children”.

    —–
    We performed a retrospective analysis spanning ten years of pediatric practice

    Table 4
    Compared to unvaccinated children vaccinated children had higher odds of
    Fever 9.5
    Ear pain 4.1
    Otitis media 3.1
    Ear disorders 2.3
    Asthma 3.5
    Allergic rhinitis 6.5
    Sinusitis 3.5
    Breathing issues 2.5
    Anemia 6.3
    Eczema 4.7
    Behavioral issues 3.1
    Gastroenteritis 4.5
    Weight/eating disorders 2.5
    Food allegrey 2.2
    Pain 2.5
    Respiratory infection 1.7
    https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/17/22/8674

    Don’t worry according to Bill Gates that is safe and you’re crazy if you question him.
    —-

    “Time always leaves you behind.” -― Peng Shepherd, The Book of M

  8. GrimJim

    The Great Army Purge at the Pentagon — 30 dissenting generals refused… something, and 12 of them, including the US Army Chief of Staff, were fired or told to resign.

    So… what wickedness did they object to?

    Did they demur at starting an illegal ground invasion?

    The Air Force, Navy, and Coast Guard were already on the Christofascist side (well, the leadership cadre), which is why they’ve been able to bomb them and use naval resources almost without question for all their illegal attacks (though cf. Admiral Alvin Holsey).

    The Marines are Navy, so the only remaining branch not completely dominated by the Christofascists was the Army.

    And now… the purge is complete. They can now order attacks on Iran or anyone else they want, for any reason or none.

    Now the real wars begin…

  9. somecomputerguy

    Book Review “American Gun; the True Story of the AR-15”
    McWhirter, Cameron, Elinson, Zusha.
    New York : Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2023.

    This is the type of public controversy book I have read all my life. The kind that attempts to illuminate, but which can’t get past the authors preconceptions.

    I am not sure I want to change anyone’s mind.

    However, “American Gun” commits a number of very familiar sins. The purpose of this review is to lay them out and some other thoughts about violence to my own satisfaction.

    I am left-wing, just not a pacifist.
    My expertise in firearms started with my training decades ago in the military.
    My job was operating and maintaining and teaching others how to operate and maintain pretty much every current or obsolete military small arm in use at the time.

    I have heard people assert that as a weapon of war, the AR-15 has no legitimate sporting use. You may want to sit down. The U.S. government has subsidized the use of military rifles for target shooting through the Civilian Marksmanship Program for roughly 100 years. If you mail the government a check, they will ship you the primary U.S. ‘assault weapon’ of WWII, an M1 Garand rifle.

    The number of guns in circulation has increased steadily for thirty years. There are now more guns than ever. Also for thirty years, crime has declined steadily and significantly. These are simply facts.

    The most likely relationship is that number of guns, like number of police, has little to no effect on crime.

    The most likely reason crime has been dropping is because banning leaded gasoline has reduced childhood exposure to lead, with the resulting lifetime health and social benefits.

    The authors try to argue that the AR-15 has characteristics that make it uniquely prone to abuse. That the AR-15 makes it easier to shoot more bullets faster than other guns. That the bullets the AR-15 shoots are more lethal than other bullets.

    The authors main problem;

    Page 322-323 “twelve of forty mass shooters who killed four or more people from 2012 to 2018 used ar-15 … just five times by the prior 123 attackers going back to 1996.” According to The Violence project.

    Translation; from 1996 to 2018 (22 years) there were 163 mass shootings in a nation of 300+ million people. In those shootings AR-15s were used 17 times.

    AR-15’s have been on the civilian market since the ‘60s. The authors say there are 20 million AR-15’s in public hands.

    This is not the consistent record of carnage I would have expected from a unique public threat.

    Another way to read the authors figures; in the highest-crime developed country, which also has the easiest access to the means of making war on fellow citizens, almost nobody wants to.

    The FBI has to recruit homeless people to be terrorists.

    In a nation in which we invite the poor to simply die, where we believe that a nice dose of prison-rape is a perfectly adequate treatment for mental illness, how many less mass shooters could we possibly get?

    As a substitute for evidence, the authors treat us to many pages of gruesome wound descriptions. Firearms are weapons. If you shoot something that’s not a paper target, they inflict wounds. All gunshot wounds are horrible and potentially fatal. All.

    Getting stabbed is no walk in the park either. The horrors inflicted by high explosives defy description.

    The first thing the authors get dramatically wrong; The adoption of the AR-15 as a military arm was highly controversial in the ‘50s and ‘60s, and to this day, because it meant adopting a LESS powerful and therefore nominally LESS LETHAL infantry cartridge.

    This was complicated by the procurement politics of the day; Springfield Armory, the government-owned manufacturing complex that presided over arms development and procurement at the time, was pushing a conventional high-power infantry rifle, and had failed to deliver a workable solution. They deliberately sabotaged the trials of the AR-15 and then the deployment when that didn’t work.

    Lurid descriptions of AR-15 effects from that time are marketing literature for the military.

    In general, appraisals of the battlefield effectiveness of military cartridges need to be taken with a grain of salt; every attempt to study small arms effectiveness systematically has significant problems.

    Infantry rifles have historically been designed to be effective out to 1200 yards. That requires big heavy powerful bullets and big heavy rifles to fire them. But battlefield experience has shown over and over that almost nobody even tries to engage targets more than 300 yards away.

    In backpacking, an extra pound on your foot, is the equivalent of an extra five pounds in your pack.
    For infantry weapons, an extra pound being carried in you arms feels like ten pounds in your pack.

    By using a less powerful cartridge, you can make the infantry rifle significantly smaller and lighter, and easier to carry and shoot. You can make the ammunition smaller and lighter so soldiers can carry more of it. This is the assault rifle; a down-sized infantry rifle.

    To re-iterate; the ‘assault rifle’ is a LESS powerful weapon. Power is sacrificed for usability and portability. The core concept is using less powerful ammunition.

    The AK-47 adopted by the Soviets in 1949, exemplifies this concept. Its cartridges are about half the size of U.S. ammunition of the time.

    60 years of military and hunting experience indicate that the 5.56/.223 default ammunition the AR-15 uses is first, nothing special; it is exactly as effective as you would expect given its power output. The 60-year consensus is that 5.56 is under-powered, but just effective enough to not replace.

    I have heard war stories about 5.56 being ‘designed to wound’ only, so as to stress enemy medical resources and logistics.
    I find that an uplifting story, but there is no evidence, and there is nothing like the control or understanding of small-arms effects (see above) to do that reliably.

    While we are talking about military ammunition, I would like to talk about the term “full-metal-jacket”. A pet peeve of mine, ever since a movie with that title implied that the term connotes indifference to human suffering.

    Full-metal-jacket means the bullet, the actual projectile, has a hard shell. Full-jacketed bullets do not change shape or break up when they hit a target.

    Full-metal-jacket bullets are mandated by the laws of war because their use makes the resulting wound LESS severe.

    It is hunting rifles and hunting ammunition that are ‘made to kill’. Hunting rifles are engineered to kill large game with a single shot, no compromises. Hunting ammunition is engineered to produce the most lethal wound possible and is illegal on the battlefield.

    The authors’ and society’s focus on “assault weapons” obscures the following;

    First, if there really is a problem firearm, it’s handguns. It’s always been handguns for the very obvious reason that they are portable and concealable.

    Second, in America it is the poor who victimize each other. In particular, poor young men. In urban settings it is poor young men of color, in rural areas it is white hillbillies.

    If you have middle-class job, and live in a middle class neighborhood, it doesn’t matter if you and your neighbors are armed to the teeth; you have as much chance of being shot as you do being struck by lightning.

    Why no interest in underlying causes here? Why the focus on the symptom?

    Could gun control be less about preserving lives, than elite moral panic over the potential of the poor to direct their violence upward, instead of at each other? If not, why the switch in focus to long guns, at the expense of actual problem guns?

    In the 1920s, this connection was explicit; gun control was a conservative cause celeb. The priority then was keeping guns away from poor people, blacks and most especially labor organizers. In a photo of a union picket line of the time the strikers carry signs and the company goons carry Tommy-guns. Exactly the way Capital likes it.

    In Great Britain;
    “When I was a lad, you could walk into any iron-mongers shop in the land and buy anything you wanted, up to and including a field artillery piece. Who would have thought that a Bolshevik revolution in Russia would change all that?”-

    Supposedly George Orwell, I can’t find the attribution, but completely accurate nonetheless. Modern gun control in Britain had nothing to do with crime.

    Though you hardly hear about handguns now, nothing has changed about their use in crime.

    Historically, almost all civilian shooting incidents involve three to five shots fired by all parties from start to finish, at distances of 12 feet or less.

    The five-shot Colt Paterson revolver was manufactured in 1836. If you outlawed all firearm technology invented after the Civil War, the vast majority of shooting incidents would be un-effected.

    Our capability to hurt each other, using firearms has largely not changed in at least one hundred years.

    What changes is the fashion of society-directed violence, as opposed to routine criminal violence.

    In the ‘60s and ‘70s it was bombs. And not because firearms were unavailable, military firearms were everywhere and ridiculously cheap.

    Unfortunately, those who do want to slaughter the defenseless as a fun hobby project, plan their crimes for weeks or months. As criminal acts go, they are premeditation outliers. That means they are the most likely perpetrators to engage in substitution.

    If firearms are unavailable, it is extremely likely mass shooters would revert to the traditional American means of making war on society; bombs. Or mass-murderers most common weapon throughout history, fire.

    The bottom line; most likely there is no way to stop mass-murderers, particularly in an open society.

    Any tool you can use to kill game animals can be used to kill human beings. Is it even possible to ban hunting?

    Lets talk about a right to bear arms.

    I have read many plausible arguments on the meaning of the Second Amendment. That is because, like so much in U.S. Constitution, it is the product of many different agendas. In the Virginia Constitution, also written by George Mason, the ‘militia’ is defined as the sum and total of the able-bodied citizenry.

    Would individually owned firearms be a defense against a modern army? As someone whose job was to train resistance organizations, my answer is; of course.
    Simo Hayha, the deadliest known sniper, literally used a rifle he brought from home. This is the economics of asymmetric warfare, there is no required order of battle for the insurgent, if bullets come out the front, it can be made to work.

    Given the peculiar politics of American would-be insurrectionists, I am not worried; libertarians can’t run a small town, let alone a rebellion. Libertarians played a large role in eliminating the draft. They want to overthrow civic obligation.

    In more practical terms, the right to bear arms is a right to self-defense under the law. Great Britain in contrast, doesn’t allow self-defense as a legal defense in its courts.

    Shouldn’t there be right to defend yourself, if the state comes up short? In America, this shouldn’t even be a question.

    How you answer this question depends on class. The lower your class, the more likely you are to have grown up with violence as a routine part of your life.
    If you grew up that way, you know better than to depend on the police.

    Have you met many policemen? I am an old white boomer, and police terrify me, and I have had policemen as friends.

    As you read more of the micro-history of America, you appreciate more and more the words “dark underbelly of violence”.

    Usually the violence history tries to ignore is committed by dominant groups against members of out-groups. The powerful victimizing the powerless. When that happens, law enforcement commonly sides with the perpetrators against the victims.

    If you are a left-wing, in times of crisis, historically, the police are actively targeting you, not protecting you.

    Then we have the structural violence of Capitalism. ‘Industrial Accident’ is an oxymoron; a convenient renaming of literal murder for profit.

    Poisoned baby food is fine as long as it’s the result of cutting maintenance or firing safety inspectors so you can put the money in your own pocket.

    We have an definition of property rights, that routinely requires human sacrifice; every time a homeless person dies of exposure within a mile of a vacant apartment.

    When police use their nightsticks as entry tools to provide access to life-saving shelter, then we can talk about disarming the poor.

    Here is what the Second Amendment means to me.

    First it is a reminder of the reality, particularly to the powerful, that by virtue of being together, we are at each others mercy, always.

    The Second Amendment is a consolation to every citizen, that if the polity lets you down, at least you have access to the means to fight. Politics is the amelioration of violence. If politics fails, at least you can defend yourself. Someone’s grandfather was once asked why he always kept a revolver in the closet. His reply;”My family is NOT going to starve.” That is absolutely a legitimate use of the Second Amendment.

    If you are interested in non-violence, I recommend the works of Gene Sharp. His work is a how-to manual. Scurrilous personal attacks don’t diminish it’s relevance or its importance.

    In Sharp’s how-to-manual you will learn that non-violent action is a tool used by groups. The larger the group the better. It is fucking useless for atomized individuals.

    Non-violence in America means that it is okay for the wealthy to murder you or your loved ones, as long as it is so people who already have too much can make a little more money. It is okay for the police to destroy your belongings, rob you and fuck you up, at any time for any reason or no reason.

    If you don’t like it you are free to write an angry letter.

    I see politicians smirk as they exhort the citizenry to embrace non-violence, just before they send the police to beat and pepper-spray them.

    I wonder if maybe our real problem is a shortage of violence.

    The decision whether to resist violence with violence needs to be the choice of those in peril. In order for that choice to be meaningful they need access to the means.

    Now I am going to tell you why there are 20 million AR-15s.

    Over the course of many years, the AR-15 is the only firearm I have developed a sentimental attachment to.

    Before my military training, I had heard all criticisms of the AR-15. That it “poops where it eats”, that it is hard to clean, made my Mattel, jamomatic, etc. I was expecting the AR-15 to be junk. Then I got a chance to try everything else.

    I felt a sense of unreality as I found;

    Regardless of the gas-system, the AR-15 was one of the cleaner shooting rifles.
    Ian Mccollum at forgotten weapons has video of the “poops-where-it-eats” AR gas system actually pressure-cleaning debris from inside the receiver.

    I never had a single malfunction. People tasked with burning out old M16s so they could be replaced related that that it took 1500-2000 rounds of magazine dumps to destroy the gun.

    Contests are held to see how long an AR can be fired at a range without cleaning, just lubrication. Commonly, the barrel wears out before the gun malfunctions.
    Its aluminum receiver doesn’t rust. The parts that can rust are easy to protect.

    Compared to most alternatives it is trivially easy to clean.

    My M16A1 weighed 6.5lbs, a full pound lighter than it’s nearest alternatives. Between the gas-system and the barrel extension, aluminum receiver and plastic stock, this is probably the lightest way to make a self-loading rifle.

    Many years after I left military, a cover story for one of the gun magazines happened to catch my eye;”three shots, 100 yards, ½ inch, with an AR-15!”.
    This is phenomenal accuracy, usually restricted to bolt-actions.

    The authors had added a 24 inch target barrel, and replaced the half-dozen or so parts comprising the removable hand-guard setup, with a simple threaded aluminum tube, making the barrel free-floating.
    These changes probably cost $250 and could be done by anyone. The nearest competitor in performance was an H&K sniper rifle that cost $2500.

    The AR’s modular design is exactly the optimum trade-off between complexity and simplicity. Every single part in an AR-15 is user-changeable. In some post-apocalypse, if you find two broken AR’s, there is an excellent chance you swap parts to create a functioning firearm.

    The AR-15 is an ergonomic dream, easy to learn, operate and shoot well.

    As a firearms design, the AR-15 is a unicorn. Reliability, accuracy, and weight are supposed to be things you have to trade off. You sacrifice some of one to get more of the other. The AR-15 design leads the pack in all three at once.

    To summarize, I believe the AR-15 is simply the best self-loading rifle ever designed.

    In addition to being technically the best, the AR’ is among the cheapest firearms worth owning.

    Every single part in an AR-15 is user-changeable. There are 60 years of military surplus parts. All of those parts are good quality and inexpensive.

    Legal control of the AR-15 is exercised through a single part; the lower receiver. Effectively, legally, the lower receiver is the firearm. You don’t need to register as a firearms manufacturer in order to make AR-15 parts. Only if you make lower receivers.

    Likewise, the only part you need to visit a gun shop to buy is the bare lower receiver. You can buy the whole rest of the gun, part by part, including the internal and external parts of the lower-receiver, on-line, and assemble it yourself. I have done this.

    Because the patents are long expired, there are dozens of companies competing with each other to make both complete rifles and new parts that are better than the existing parts, but still also are price-competitive.

    One company promises minute-of-angle accuracy.

    The AR-15 breaks down into two major components; the upper and lower receiver. Many owners keep multiple upper receivers in different calibers, at a fraction of the cost of owning multiple whole rifles.

    This also means that by using a single lower receiver and multiple uppers, you can have the same trigger pull and the same stock-length on all your rifles, a highly desirable feature. Making the AR system, on yet another dimension, both technically better and significantly cheaper.

    A brand-new complete AR-15 can be had for $400.

    Not only is the AR a phenomenal bargain, so is its ammunition.

    Because 5.56 has been a military cartridge for 60 years, it is among the cheapest ammunition available. It sells for a fraction of the cost of commercial ammunition in the same power class. Contra its supposed lethality, military ammunition is favored for target shooting, not hunting, but there is plenty of hunting-appropriate ammunition.

    The default caliber, .223 (5.56) Remington is a perfectly fine hunting caliber for small deer, 100-150lbs (depending on the skill of the hunter) or anything smaller. AR-15s can be had in other calibers as well if more or less power is desired.

    The power range of the default caliber make it adequate for everything but the smallest and largest game.

    The AR-15 is very close to being a general purpose firearm.

    If you have any need or desire for a firearm at all, an AR-15 is worth considering.

    It is safer, more powerful, easier to learn and use and almost always cheaper than any handgun worth having.

    Usability, ubiquity, performance and price put AR-15 at the top as a good second gun for beginners or the sole firearm for anyone who has a utility need for a firearm (pest, predator control, self-defense).

    It will not be minute-of-angle accurate but at $400 there is literally nothing better.

  10. different clue

    First, I wish to thank somecomputerguy for writing, and then Ian Welsh for running, a high-knowledge information-dense comment from a professional-grade knower of the subject of firearms, rights, necessity, and the AR-15.

    For something completely different, here is a video which I offer to show the hazards of fakery in videos. It is called: “NOW THEY’RE FURIUOS! MAGA Farmers LOSE BIG As Crops ROT-Black Americans React!”
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7zFIN_1AxVU

    The reason I offer this is because of the very first video sequence re-offered, lasting from timepoint 0:07 to timepoint 0:31. ( A longer-version of the same videobit runs from timepoint 1:56 to timepoint 3:04). The self-described “farmer” in this sequence
    is talking about the wonderful “corn crop” behind him which can’t be sold because of tariff and etc. reasons. I have seen this video before in various sampler-recaster video salads. Each time I saw it I got more suspicious. Finally, I just have to say it. The crop behind this “farmer” ( who may be a real farmer) does not look like corn to me. It looks like sorghum or some huge type of millet or something. Perhaps a professional who truly knows and recognizes all these plants can look at it and say if I am right or wrong. ( It also looks as though this guy has somehow ‘green-screened’ himseld to be in front of this sorgho-millet or whatever it is. But I could be wrong about that).

  11. mago

    Geez somecompterguy, you said a mouthful. Just one quibble, both my grandfather—a WWI vet and my father, a WWII infantry seargent—used army issued 30:06’s for deer hunting. (The rifles had bayonet attachments in addition to scopes.) So those rifles were not battlefield illegal in those days.

    Just as an aside I learned how use, clean and breakdown and reassemble hand guns and rifles at an early age. I was also a marksman. I was probably 16 when I sold my gun collection to my brother’s friend. I know some of the proceeds went to buy pot. That was a long time ago when the Vietnam War was still raging.

    Anyway, never mind. Just said more than i intended to say. Carry on.

  12. Ian Welsh

    Thirty odd six, as we called it, was the standard hunting rifle for my father’s generation for sure.

  13. mago

    I’m constantly amazed that commentators, pundits and analysts keep talking like the Great Stable Genius is going to last.

    The diaper pooping burger chomping Diet Coke swilling toxic Epstein tainted dude’s days are numbered. His replacement will be another cosmic monster who will inherit a hellscape beyond redemption. Good fucking luck to whoever and you and me and all of god’s children. We’ll all be toast when the big one drops.
    And it’s one two three what are we fighting for . . .

    Ha ha. Easter surprise is coming our way and it’s not about redemption or resurrection. Hold onto your socks (not Kelsey’s cat) and kiss your ass goodbye, after brunch of course.

  14. Mark Level

    Thanks to KT Chong for a very thorough exegesis of where Bibi’s puppeteering of the compromised Trump has led– to steep descent of the Empire, both financially and in terms of RoW (rest of world) opinion. A chump like Macron calling out the Donald shows a turning tide. Most of the smarter people, Jeffrey Sachs, Col. Daniel Davies and many others called this as it’s gonna fall out. Mark Sleboda on with Nima today also.

    Russia handed the greatest gift with Iran, China way on the rise as all but the suckers flee the Petro-dollar. As to the rapidly exiting Pentagon staff, Hegseth is likely lying about “firing” them, many are clearly jumping ship not wanting to be part of the debacle, maybe even (?) fearing future war crimes trial.

    I want to do a belated response to Nat Wilson Turner’s strong (as usual) post on pre-Revolutionary giddiness, and note he is correct as far as he goes, but– He neglected precisely how the RoW will go, which is going to be a massive influence on whatever nascent protest/ revolt movement will spread. I will read Computer guy’s lengthy Gun exegesis later, but let’s not forget the huge # present in USA, awash in them. Smarter people have been saying recently, as the anti-Zionist Charlie Kirk Right is joining the Actual Lefty (not Lib, and not the Dimmies) in entirely rejecting the Zionist narrative, that it’s no longer Left v. Right, it’s Top v. Bottom. I still hope to be out of the US by the time the shit fully hits the fan, but Donald’s fucking up the airlines and TSA has blocked me for now, but a true Crisis is hitting. Palantir and the Tech bros. have tons of power, but can they kill off 90% of the population? Btw, in the Dimmie party, 67% of those polled support the Palestinians now, only 17% pro-genocide and pro-Zionist.

    1 of KTC’s best points is the world (apart from maybe the Suicide Pact Euro Slugs led by Nazi Legacy Ursula VDL and Merz) will turn AWAY from American Tech, American Dollars, US Sanctions, etc. those will be turned around and aimed at US State. I just saw in Pocket that the government is saying conventional routers can’t be used anymore (WTF?), how will they enforce this? I guess this may be an attempt to install specialized Surveillance equipment, are they lacking enough? In this case I will count on the metastasized US blundering and cluelessness as epitomized by Drunky Crow Hegseth’s antics. Most of these plans will sink into the sea alongside the dream of Iranian Regime Change, and the Persians baring their necks to the Zionist butchers as the Lebanese state now tries to force both Shi’a and Sunni in South Lebanon to their deaths. Oh, one last data point: The Jolani HTS head-choppers are now lobbing defensive missiles at Israel!! Erdogan will hold out for Zionism for awhile, he is insane, but it seems the tide is turning.

  15. different clue

    There is a variant on the ” kiss your ass goodbye” phrase, which could be used during the high-speed rampup to total runaway global warming/ hotting/steaming/autoclaving/ etc.

    ” Go to the kitchen, stick your head in the freezer, and kiss your ice goodbye”.

  16. Carborundum

    There was a bit of a movement in a few militaries towards getting battle rifles (i.e., autoloading rifles firing full-power cartridges, most commonly 7.62 mm NATO) back into the supply system a while back. I believe the push towards the new 6.8×51 cartridge is the logical extension, but I can’t say that I’m up on exactly how it compares to the old major calibers.

    As a technical note, while it was common to have sights that were calibrated out to quite long ranges (IIIRC, standard for a No. 4 Lee Enfield was something like 1,200 yards) this would have been for effective *area* fire rather than point fire. Bullet drop on .303 British between 1,100 and 1,200 yards was well over 200 inches – given the vagaries of standard military grade ammunition and firing unknown distance, good luck. It can *absolutely* be done, particularly with modern loading and bullet design at known distances, but it wasn’t what was expected of a rifleman day to day. Other contemporary cartridges like .30-06 were a bit better, but not enough to be in a different category – there is a reason why .300 WinMag and .338 LM were developed.

  17. mago

    You could also stick your hand in the garbage disposal and your head up your butt.

  18. different clue

    @mago,

    Yes, you could do that.

  19. different clue

    I need to apologize for misunderstanding the time-bounded video-sequence I referrenced in the video I offered somewhat above. I thought the “farmer” was saying “corn” while standing in front of something that was clearly not corn. Now, upon listening to it again, I hear for the first time that he is not actually saying “corn”. He is saying “splorn”. ” Splorn”? Really? He was saying “splorn” and I was hearing it as “corn” this whole time. So his video was some kind of satire right from the start. I wonder if the African content creator who offered this video-bit among the video salad heard it as “corn” and took it for serious straight-faced content? I know I did, till suddenly I heard it the way it really was said.

    I am sure there is some kind of lesson in that, but I am not sure what it is. Listen more carefully? Listen over and over again until you hear what is really there? That particular video-bit feels like one of those trick psychology experiments now.

  20. different clue

    Here, from the DamnThatsInteresting subreddit, a legacy wind-up Swiss-made fan from 1910. There was technology before electricity and in-parallel-with electricity, and there could be some of it in the future.

    “The Wind-Up Fan From 1910”
    https://www.reddit.com/r/Damnthatsinteresting/comments/1scfoyl/the_windup_fan_from_1910/

  21. bruce wilder

    Splorn FAQ
    Q: How do I get started in Splorn farming?
    A: Step one is regretting your life choices.

    https://splorn.org/

  22. Like & Subscribe

    Just as an aside I learned how use, clean and breakdown and reassemble hand guns and rifles at an early age. I was also a marksman.

    He’s not lying, folks. That squares with my file on him but of course, as always, there’s so much more he’s leaving out. The good stuff.

  23. mago

    @different clue

    Lots of people do.

  24. DMC

    The “crime went down due to the end of leaded gas” thesis is only good as a one off, that is, it only happenrd once. Serious demographers, like my late father in law, track the percentage of 18-24 year old males in the population. Young males in this demographic commit the most crimes and are the most likely to get caught. Therefore, its used to track and predict overall crime rates.

  25. Eric F

    @different clue
    Yes, you are correct that the crop is not ‘corn’ in American English usage.

    Yes, it is some kind of sorghum. And no, he is not chopping it and blowing it on the ground.
    First, the grass/grain is green. Second, if you look at the second sequence, you will see that there is a raked row of cut vegetation stretched out in front of the idling machine. The machine looks like maybe a baler. I think what he is doing is cutting and chopping forage sorghum for either silage or for cattle feed bales.

    This is not even about grain – he’s making vegetative animal feed. Like hay, only bigger, cheaper, coarser and tasting worse. A marginal and low-value use of such a large field.

  26. Mark Level

    So to clarify my comment above, Trump Fascist Feds are saying you can’t have foreign-“hostile” built routers for computer and net access. More citizen-consumer capture. Fascist restrictions everywhere, spies under the bed!!! (LAS will assure us they are “Russian”, or maybe he will say Trump’s economic petroleum/energy Crash is a Putin-Trump plot, Russiagate redux.)

    Speaking of mass stupidity, 1st thing I saw in Firefox “Pocket” this morning was how Europe will re-arm, Fuhrera (is there a feminine form of Fuhrer? Ursula is a dried-out old crone, but still technically female) Ursula, the Toxic Medusa, as Pepe Escobar calls her, has declared since auto industry in Europe has failed, with de-industrialization and sanctions against Russia, they will revive, via– (wait for it!) massive militarization and drone weapons building!! Just brilliant if one is focused on economic suicide, but like Trump, Ursula is old, corrupt, “I Don’t Care, Do You?” model that Melania modeled. Slash the social safety net as energy unaffordable, no fertilizer, soon no food, but hey, let’s attack Russia and kill off our young men (& women, progressive government), it’s worth starvation and collapse. . . they’ll suffer too!! (Uhm, maybe; Iranians are suffering but not as much as the GCC Family Dictatorships (US-UK installed) soon will be. Russia’s huge, thus not able to be conquered, centuries of history show. They just retreat, burn the crops and spoils, which EUrope won’t have anyway.) Death Cults gotta cull dead bodies.

    Meantime, Professor Jiang does his usual brilliant round-up of economics, resources, here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pOz7ab3KmJM

    He says the REAL petroleum/fertilizer/helium/plastics stock deprivation is beginning momentarily, at full scale by end of this month, especially in Europe, and also in parts of Asia. (Parts unfriendly with Iran, Russia of course.) Ships with the LAST pre-Hormuz closing oil supplies just arrived. He cites France and U.K. as the 2 “sick men of Europe” test cases (my words, not his): as of April 2, 900+ petrol stations in France out of either diesel or gasoline, only the beginning. UK some large percentage of stations closed because customers fighting, threatening others, etc. in unending lines.

    Gas riots before food riots, I guess. Travel prohibitively expensive now, Airlines will be cutting flights and boosting ticket prices. If Trump Admin doesn’t stop today, worldwide economic collapse, most places will look like Cuba under Trump starvation blockade.

    Does Carney still love Trump–? he certainly loved him some unprovoked attack on Iran to benefit solely the Zionist Entity & Epstein Class. At least Canada, like Russia, has plentiful natural resources, I’m sure they can burn wood if petroleum too slow (unlikely, not impossible.)

    Europeans will die off, quietly or no? We will see . . . Possibly revolutions from the starving, freezing peasant classes (assuming they even make it to late fall or winter)? Those drones may need to be deployed in the Homeland (a good Deutsche word) before killing Russian “orcs.” Gotterdamerung, Hell Yeah!!

  27. Mark Level

    Here’s one for DC, as he has rightly professed solidarity with black Americans under attack. Jimmy Dore here covers Zionist crooks doing “Deed Theft” of black Americans’ homes in NYC, as they have stolen land and houses in Palestine. A big problem going back at least 15 years. Big group of victims trying to talk to Gov. Kathie Hochul, she won’t even see them, but they get good press coverage at least. It’s a good Dore clip, he covers how the crimes are done with identity theft, fraud, etc. Victims can win but at high expense in the courts. Hochul is Zionist, she doesn’t care, court’s the only remedy. Link here– https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SKnRIHVrgU8

    Some Zionists deliberately whip up anti-Semitism. Sick and depraved.

  28. different clue

    @Eric F,

    Thank you for this. I didn’t think that was corn ( back when I thought that guy was saying “corn”). I may not know much, but I do know something.

    ” Oh Lucy! You gotta lotta ‘splornin’ to do!” The directions humor takes on the interweb.

    I had an ambition once, never realized, never to be realized . . . so I will offer it here as a free idea. I thought . . . if you could hybridize certain sour-but-not-bitter crab apples with apples, you could get a best-of-both fruit. I decided I would call them “crapples” . . . from “crab” and “apple”.

    Think of the contributions to our culinary pallette and vocabulary. Crapple pie, crapple cider, crapplesauce, crapple pandowdy, carmel crapples . . . I hereby give away the idea AND the name, in case someone wants to get out there and invent the crapple for real. That will be my contribution to the culture.

  29. mago

    Lies and deception and stealing, too, it’s what people do, so it’s easy to think everybody’s doing it doing it, just like picking your nose and chewing it, chewing it.
    Like it or not, subscribe to it or not, it’s up to you. Whatcha gonna do?

  30. different clue

    Splorn sounds like a good name for a health food powder made of several different kinds of dried single-celled algae, mixed with bee pollen and organic flax seed oil. Perhaps someone could invent such a mix and sell it under the name ” Splorn” and see if it takes off. It would have to taste as bad as it sounds, to convince people that it is really healthy and that they are making a statement by even eating it.

    Perhaps the Australians could mix it into their Vegemite, and call it Vegesplorn.

  31. different clue

    This could be a hopeful development under way . . . “Gen Z is engineering an analog future — and it’s at least a $5 billion opportunity”
    https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/gen-z-engineering-analog-future-090000793.html

    Perhaps people are reaching the zone of Digital Overload Revulsion.

    What would a new Timothy Leary for the New Generations say?

    ” Tune out. Slow down. Slack off.”

  32. Carborundum

    It’s AI propaganda. The crop is sorghum, the combine in the background has no header on it, and the tictoc account named has no video corresponding to what he is supposedly saying.

  33. different clue

    If I were to allow myself to be awarded the accolade of solidarity with Black America, I would be guilty of something like Stolen Valor.

    My posture is becoming the much more utilitarian and survival oriented approach nameable with a very clumsy acronym . . . SISOBA . . . Self Interested Support Of Black America . . . because I am seeing that most of the Black American thinker-speaker-stuff-doers appear to have a very dispassionate very reality-based understanding of the political, social and cultural battlespace in which they find themselves. For example, they voted very muchly for Harris in a desperate effort to keep Trump out of the office, in order to avoid the sorts of outcomes which we have seen.

    ( Interestingly enough, the identifiable group which provided the next highest percentage of Survivalist Votes against Trump was ” Jewish voters”, which I suspect would include almost all of the Mainstreamal Normie Jewish Liberals and Moderates.
    Were they voting “for” Harris or “against” Trump? Someone would have to conduct extensive interviews and studies to really figure that out. I will offer my suspicion that Mainstreamal Jewish Normies are most motivated by a fear of Armageddonite-Rapturaniacs and Gilead Republican Christianazians and would have voted for any old Democrat to try and prevent the Return of the Trump. (( Come to think of it, that’s what they did)).
    How many Jews voted for Donald Trump? How many for Kamala Harris?
    “79% of Jews voted for Harris, according to the largest exit poll, defying a red wave that some had predicted.”
    https://www.jta.org/2024/11/06/united-states/79-of-jews-voted-for-kamala-harris-according-to-largest-preliminary-exit-poll )

    (I haven’t yet watched the video ML offered about Zionist deed theft, land theft, house theft against FBAmericans, but before I watch it I will venture the guess that the sort of people involved mostly or all voted for Trump and are a seething mix of Orthodox, Ultra-Orthodox, Ortho-Ultradox, Hyper-Megadox, Mega-Hyperdox, etc. They have their 6 or 8 or 10 kids per family and they are the demographic future of Jews in America. Whereas the Mainstreamal Normie Jews have their 2 or 1 or zero children per family and are fading away and should be nothing but a ghostly legend in a hundred years time. But that’s just a guess and a feeling offered before watching the video.)

  34. somecomputerguy

    @mago; civilian ammunition is illegal on the battlefield, not the firearms that use it.

    @DMC; here’s the thing, crime didn’t just go down in the U.S., it went down in Canada and Europe too. Which is crazy.
    The only explanation that even comes close to plausible is that every country that banned leaded gasoline saw crime go down about 20-25 years later.

    I am extremely interested in an alternate explanation.

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