Have some health issues flaring up and minor surgery on Friday, so may not post much till Monday, although I’ll try. Anyway, an open thread so you can discuss what’s going on. As usual, if I covered a topic in the last week, please comment there instead.
momo5
Just take care –> Get well.
StewartM
Take care Ian. Wish you a speedy recovery from the surgery!
In a less cheery note, here’s a video of Planet Earth’s future in the next 1 billion years:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwzTr49rPw8
And Dolly Parton is dead. Sadly for the US and world, the wrong 80-year old died.
different clue
I grew up till age 15 in Knoxville, Tennessee. I would like to visit back there at some point. If I actually do that, one place I would like to make very sure to visit is Dollywood, right near Sevierville, Tenn.
Images related to Dollywood.
https://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images;_ylt=AwrEbce7VI9qVAIAzrdXNyoA;_ylu=Y29sbwNiZjEEcG9zAzIEdnRpZAMEc2VjA3Nj?p=dollywood+theme+park&fr=sfp
One of the less well known things about Dollywood, which I would especially want to see if I get there, is the American Chestnut tree recovery-restoration work which is being done there.
Bill Owens’ American Chestnut Fund at Dollywood
https://eagles.org/donate/american-chestnut-fund/
When I was young and living there, there were still chestnut saplings struggling up from legacy American chestnut root systems. The blight would kill them after a few years but the roots stayed alive. I saw one of those saplings emerging from legacy roots in the woods at the top of the ridge we lived on the side of in Knoxville, around 55 years ago or so.
Mark Level
Hope you recover quickly, Ian.
And I’m with Stewart, I suspect Dolly really was one of the good ones. Just saw a segment on Jimmy Dore where he covered her promoting the Moderna Vax early on, though, with her celebrity oncologist, & Jimmy Dore says (as a person who considered himself vaccine-injured, got treatment) it’s strange that she went straight to a Stage 4 Cancer, no 1, 2 or 3 prior . . .
Main interesting scrap of news today: CIA chief Ratcliffe turning up yesterday in a Military Plane in Russia, and doing a Military parade out of it!? Why? (I guess the US MIC marching not emaciated from being on ships, good PR if anyone watches. I didn’t.)
Some speculate that he’s negotiating a stand-down on the failed Proxy War via defeated Ukraine, we all know the Donald will always line up with the winners. (Well, apart from Iran.)
Haven’t seen that former denizen on here who used to promote Banderism in weeks . . . don’t know of a single regular here he convinced of the glories of the Lost Cause of Galitzian N@zism. Can’t blame a guy for tryin’ I guess.
different clue
An amateur layman’s tribute to Dolly Parton.
A queen ❤️
https://www.reddit.com/r/TikTokCringe/comments/1vywdtr/a_queen/
different clue
Here is a Belle of the Ranch video called:
“Let’s talk about Trump’s Lake Ontario joke….”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wfOifW5c3Zk
She suggests thinking about this as an example of Trump’s distraction strategy, of spewing bunches of chaff, squirrels, bright shiny objects, and clouds of bright shiny squirrel-object chaff to divert people away from talking about the things they would really be better off talking about.
Trump’s one-time thinking-brain dog Steve Bannon used to call this ” Flood the zone with shit”.
Steve Bannon Flood the Zone.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hlJSznEQ6vY
( In this video, Bannon carefully leaves “with shit” unsaid. . . . this time).
Mr. Leaf’s newest video appears to take this “flood the zone” statement as a serious threat. On the other hand, Mr. Leaf appears to respect Belle of the Ranch’s work. So if he sees this video, he may decide to think about this as “flooding the zone” distractionism. And people within the US might be advised to think about it the same way, and keep right on talking about the Building Trump Depression and other Trump dechievements and decomplishments that effect us for real.
mago
Tick tok tick tok goes the clock while the sands run down.
My grandfather had an hour glass with one side filled with sand which when inverted trickled down through a narrow waist to fill the other side, thus marking an hour.
So old school in the digital age.
My grandfather also had a crystal ball inherited from a gypsy woman that was passed down to me. It’s one of the few possessions I’ve carried around and cherished over the decades, along with knives and cookware. The crystal ball sits upon a window sill, and the pots and pans and knives I use daily.
What I want to say is may your days be long and your health improved. May all obstacles vanish before the sands of time run out. Sending all good wishes.
different clue
Most people here have probably heard/read about Hakim Jeffries’s ‘secret meeting’ with Jared Kushner, to allegedly work out ‘some areas of agreement on things and stuff in common’. If it really was meant to be secret, someone must have disapproved and revealed the ‘secret’.
I don’t need to offer links, it should be easy to find out about on line.
But I saw an interesting video by someone who’s videos normally repel me to the point where I don’t watch them, but the title caught my eye. It’s James ” Ugly Jim” Carville looking like an old snapping turtle with mange and scabies, and lecturing Hakim Jeffries about how he has really done fucked up by meeting with Kushner.
I hope every Democrat takes this meeting the way Carville has taken it and I hope ‘someone’ can mount an Independent Candidate run against Jeffries in order to get Jeffries defeated. It would be worth risking a wished-for DemParty majority in the House if it made sure of defeating and deleting Jeffries. Jeffries is obviously a ” reach-across-the-aisle” cuck. He may even be some kind of Secret MAGA Agent. People should start chanting that at him at his every public appearance.
If someone makes such a run against Jeffries, I will send them a little bit of money.
James Carville: Urgent Message for Hakeem Jeffries
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xCzmVxxZfnI
different clue
And Kyle Kulinski of Secular Talk, who I believe is considered a Progressive ( as in NOT a liberal) discusses this secret meeting in his own special way. He makes clear his belief that Jeffries is indeed a Total MAGA Collaborator and a not-even-secret-anymore MAGA agent and operative. ( Just like Pelosi was probably a secret Bush-Cheney agent and operative . . . in my own purely layman’s opinion).
HAKEEM JEFFRIES IS F*CKED | The Kyle Kulinski Show
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ct1uFtxyD4
spud
JEFFRIES simply learned from the master, and there is a endless supply in the democrat party, that either learned for the master, or are being groomed to learn from the master.
Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich worked together during the 1990s, particularly on welfare reform and budget issues, despite their political differences. Their collaboration was significant in shaping policies during a time of divided government.
Wikipedia Cambridge University Press
Collaboration Between Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich
Key Areas of Cooperation
Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich, despite their differing political ideologies, collaborated on several## Collaboration Between Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich
Key Areas of Cooperation
Bill Clinton and Newt Gingrich, despite their differing political ideologies, collaborated on several important issues during the 1990s. Their partnership was notable for its impact on policy-making during a time of divided government.
Welfare Reform: Both leaders worked together to reform welfare, aiming to create a more efficient system that encouraged work and reduced dependency.
Budget Issues: They also addressed budgetary concerns, focusing on fiscal responsibility and economic growth.
Significance of Their Collaboration
The cooperation between Clinton and Gingrich was significant for several reasons:
Bipartisanship: Their ability to work together showcased a rare instance of bipartisanship in a politically polarized environment.
Policy Impact: The reforms they enacted had lasting effects on American social policy and budget management.
This collaboration exemplified how leaders from opposing parties can come together to address pressing national issues, despite their differences.
Wikipedia PBS
StewartM
DC,
So you knew Knoxville when it was a ‘scruffy little town’, eh? With hobos tenting out in the middle of the city between UTK and downtown? Where traffic was befuddled at “Malfunction Junction”?
StewartM
Hey, did you know I am now the author of ‘hate speech’?
Here is a LinkedIn/Facebook Post I was responding to:
On this day, August 23, 87-years ago Nazis and Soviets signed an agreement, which allowed Hitler to attack Poland from the west on September 1, 1939, and Stalin to attack Poland from the east on September 17.
This was the beginning of WW2, started by Nazis and russians.
The russian invasion of Poland led to the Katyn massacre which was a series of mass executions of nearly 22,000 Polish military and police officers, border guards, and intelligentsia prisoners of war carried out by the Soviet secret police NKVD, at Stalin’s order in April and May 1940.
According to the “secret” pact of Molotov–Ribbentrop, Eastern Europe was to be divided between Nazis and Soviets. This meant that Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Bessarabia, and eastern Poland became Soviet areas of influence. Eventually, russia managed to occupy these territories and the horrors of Soviet Union lasted for 50 more years.
Today, Ukraine stands between Europe and russian evil. Anyone who says that russia would not dare to attack other European countries is either delusional or simply doesn’t know the history.
Here is my reply:
As for the “murderous Soviets”, the Polish government funded a study into Polish war dead. It found the following:
Ethnic Poles (killed by Germans): 2.77 million
Polish Jews killed by Germans: 2.7 to 2.9 million
Poles killed by the Soviets: 150,000 of 0.15 million.
Yep, those “murderous Russians” only killed 2.7 % of the Poles who were killed in WWII. And mind you, there were plenty of killings across Europe post-war as the peoples (and occupiers) took revenge against those who had collaborated with the Nazis.
My comment, but not the original post talking about “evil Russians” was flagged as hate speech.
(I had to break up my reply into two parts due to LinkedIn’s restriction on comment length; the first part of my reply dealt with Polish-German military negotiations from 1935-1939 regarding a joint invasion of the USSR, negotations that broke down because Poland and Germany couldn’t agree how to divide the spoils–both wanted Ukraine and the Caucases. That went through, but this reply was deleted as ‘hate speech’, even thought the original poster comments openly about ‘evil Russians’)
different clue
@StewartM,
I lived there from 1957 till 1972. We lived out in the subdivision of Far View Hills. On a clear day ( which was often till I was about 12 years old), I could see the Smokies from my house and even way better from the top of the ridge ( which I used to call the top of the hill). I remember hearing about Malfunction Junction way after the fact. I never even knew about the hobos tenting out, even though my father worked at UTK.
But . . . there are things I do remember. Too many to list right here right now. Maybe later in another comment. But I will just say that I was struck by all the kudzu growing all over everywhere in some parts of the city and even more so outside of city limits.
I sometimes used to watch the Cas Walker Show on early morning TV, before my parents were up. It felt almost like a ‘forbidden pleasure’ given how antisouthernitic my mother was and tried to raise me to be.
Here is a present day newscast with some embedded footage of Dolly Parton’s first appearance on the Cas Walker Show.
Dolly Parton’s first TV appearance on Channel 10’s ‘The Cas Walker Show’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5lnh36PpyRU
Here are some legacy clips from the Cas Walker Show on the Daily Motion website. I hope the link works right.
https://www.dailymotion.com/video/x3qanfo
different clue
I have gotten tired of typing out the long-ass phrase ” KlanMAGA Christianazian Republicanfederate”. So I will use an acronym for it. KCR. If anyone asks me what KCR stands for , I will be happy to type it out to explain it. There could also be a partial acronym form . . . KC Republican.
All that is by way of offering a link to a speech given in the Louisiana Senate.
From the BlackPeopleofReddit subreddit, here is . . . “The last breath of the confederacy”
https://www.reddit.com/r/BlackPeopleofReddit/comments/1w00u5q/the_last_breath_of_the_confederacy/
After all that has happened the last two years, any identifiable voting region or micro-region which still votes majority Republican will be outing itself as a Last Holdout Refuge of the Klan Confederacy. And those regions should be treated by the decent people of decent regions with that reality in mind.
Carborundum
Good luck with the surgery and hope you fell better soon. Take it easy and concentrate on the recovery.
mago
Wishing you and your readership a most auspicious full moon lunar eclipse.
May all our aspirations come to fruition.
Jack
Here’s to a speedy and healthy recovery!
marku
Hoping for a competent surgeon and a quick recovery!
Ian Welsh
Back home. Sore and tired, but otherwise OK. Doctors were lovely. Might have something up Saturday, if not, Monday.
different clue
Here is a Belle of the Ranch video called . . .
Let’s talk about Hegseth’s war on the military….
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9BtlIecG2YA
These blog-threads are a good place for commenters to offer hopes, dreams and wishes. Maybe other readers will see them and try moving them out into the analog meatspace realisphere.
So a hopey wishy dream I have is that if a DemParty PrezNom takes election 2028, that such a DemPrez would earnestly ask every single military person ousted by the KCR Regime whether they would like to come right back in at their same rank and everything-status, and that their every KCR replacement be gracefully demoted or gracefully retired. Any such Trumpseth-ousted military person who wanted to come back on that basis would then be re-instated. It would begin a decontrumpination process in the military. All the former books, policies, signs, programs, everything that Trumpseth removed would be re-instated. Any new KCR recruits into the military who didn’t like it would be general-discharged with just enough Veterans benefits to keep them happy or at least quiet in their after-discharge life going forward.
And of course then do the same for every other Department, Agency, Bureau, etc.
A fully human DemPrez would do that. If a DemNom gets elected, would that DemPrez be human enough to do that? Or would DemPrez 2028 be the sort of subhuman cuck scum which would make Upchuck Schumer and Secret Agent Hakeemaga proud by carefully keeping every piece of dogtrump preserved throughout the military and everywhere else and kept exactly in place in homage to the Prime Subhumanist Directive of Look Forward, Not Back and to Michelle Obama’s unique restatement of the Prime Subhumanist Directive . . . ” When they go low, we go high” ?
different clue
” ‘ The time has come’ the walrus said, ‘ to talk of many things.’
‘ Of leopards eating faces, of cabbages and kings.’ ”
Sad Florida Republicans Got EXACTLY What They Voted For
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=geJiJMyfZ6E
mago
I am the egg man/i am the walrus/kookooachoo
Thus spoke Zarathustra, or maybe it was John Lennon
Anyway, yellow matter custard dripping from a dead dog’s eye
Something like that
Glad you’re back and on the mend Ian.
StewartM
DC,
I remember the Cass Walker show too, though I wasn’t a regular viewer (I wasn’t in Knoxville until after you left). What was funny is that he had ads from his grocery stores with prices listed stacked on a easel, and he would announce each ad and then tilt the ad over to fall on the floor before announcing the ad hiding behind it. Very amaterurish.
However, when I was a boy (before Knoxville) there were a lot of locally-produced shows. We had a local “cowboy” who sang songs, including a sanitized version of “The Big Rock Candy Mountain” I’ll never forget. We also had a local comic playing a hobo (in the style of Red Skelton’s “Freedie the Freeloader”) and once I think my class, or another children’s group to which I belonged, got to sit on stage behind the comic during shooting. That was probably the only time I was deliberately on TV (though I made a cameo appearance riding a bike through a CBS morning show on the little town I live in now).
different clue
This must be in Turkey . . .
Shoe shiner provides a brushing to a cat
https://www.reddit.com/r/MadeMeSmile/comments/1w0yvf7/shoe_shiner_provides_a_brushing_to_a_cat/
spud
Ian:
glad all is ok.
——–
one of my favorites just explained what i found out with the first real gold bubble back in the 1970’s.
i got out before the top. because it was apparent that american can pay its bills, no austerity needed, and bonds issued were not for debt, because there is no government debt, unless is priced in some other currency.
in a deflating economy, you might be forced into selling off your high priced assets, to raise scarce cash to pay your bills.
its already happened recently, but the big one might be coming soon.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2wfGapJ6XMY
Why Gold Can Fall When the Next Crisis Begins | Steve Keen
Aug 24, 2026 Market Updates and Analysis
Professor Steve Keen says the AI bubble has less than a year to run, with revenue from serious users running at roughly one fifth of what these companies are spending. Speaking with Jeremy Szafron, Keen argues the debt that matters is private debt, not the $40 trillion everyone is watching, and explains why companies that have serviced their loans comfortably for 15 years could start defaulting.
Keen was voted first by readers of the Real-World Economics Review in 2010 for having warned earliest and most clearly about the global financial crisis, ahead of Nouriel Roubini. He wrote Debunking Economics and built the economic modelling software Minsky and Ravel.
He explains how commercial banks create money when they lend, why he says more than 90% of the money created since 2000 came from the private sector rather than government, what the Federal Reserve’s bank stress tests miss, and where he parts company with Ray Dalio on sovereign versus private debt.
On gold, Keen calls it a speculative commodity that does well when people distrust the financial system, while warning it is “not a one-way bet” because leveraged holders get forced to sell into a crisis.
Recorded August 24 2026
Follow Steve Keen on X: @ProfSteveKeen ( / profstevekeen )
Follow Jeremy Szafron on X: @JeremySzafron ( / jeremyszafron )
Follow Kitco News on X: @KitcoNewsNOW ( / kitconewsnow )
CHAPTERS
00:00 Private Debt at a Breaking Point
01:00 What Is Gold Waiting For?
03:00 Why Markets Underreact, Then Panic
04:37 Why Gold Can Fall First
05:31 Why Private Debt Still Rules the Cycle
07:30 Households Deleveraged, Companies Didn’t
09:23 The Debt Chart Nobody Shows You
12:18 Credit Creation Drives Unemployment
15:30 Can Central Banks Rescue the System Again?
18:05 The $410B AI Debt Boom & Junk-Yield Risk
20:15 Why the AI Bubble Bursts Within a Year
23:45 Why Data Centers Age Faster Than Houses
25:44 How Commercial Banks Actually Create Money
27:48 Treasury Cash Drawdowns & Bond Buybacks
29:35 Double-Entry Accounting: Bank vs. Government Money
32:00 Are Treasury And The Fed Really Separate?
34:03 How Bond Sales Drain System Liquidity
35:52 What Happens If the U.S. Revalues Its Gold?
38:12 Could The Fed Just Buy All The Debt?
39:18 Inflation vs. Solvency: Where Risk Truly Lies
42:02 Step-by-Step Anatomy of a Corporate Default
46:04 Bank Capital Depletion & Equity Write-Downs
49:49 Why the Fed’s Bank Stress Tests Miss Reality
51:58 What Actually Triggers It, And When
54:30 The Impact on Savers & Unleveraged Households
55:50 Ray Dalio vs. Steve Keen: Sovereign vs. Private Debt
57:04 Irving Fisher & Modern Debt Deflation
59:45 Does Physical Gold Protect in a Debt Deflation?
01:00:20 What Would Prove This Framework Wrong?
01:02:08 Steve Keen’s New Book & Closing Thoughts
FIND STEVE KEEN
Substack and Patreon under Prof Steve Keen. His course is at skool.com/profstevekeen. His next book, How Economists Will Destroy Capitalism, is due from Polity Press.
different clue
Here is a little open-air interview-talk from Doug Ford. I gather there are non-Conservative Canadians who don’t like his politics for one reason or another. But as an American Okayness Ordinarian down here in KCR-occupied America, I like Ford’s style.
American Exceptionalists might be offended, but American Okayness Ordinarians will like it just fine. They will wish that the DemoCucks would even think like this, let alone talk like this.
Ontario’s Doug Ford tells ‘dictator’ Donald Trump: ‘Kiss my ass’
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gC2UdIX2p2c
different clue
Content creator J. S. Candid offers the following video talk. . .
Y’all About to Be Pissed at Me: Talarico Supporters, Live w/ Your Choice
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AUQPKOiK4Xc
She is telling the Talarico people that they need to put on their big boy pants and work to win for their candidate. She also reminds them that Talarico has himself instructed his supporters to shut their mouth about Jasmine Crockett. But they keep running their mouth about Crockett. At this rate, they themselves will get Talarico defeated. She reminds them to stop doing that, and start focusing against Paxton and shutting their mouths about Crockett at this point.
different clue
Here is a disturbing video from Guard The Leaf. If viewed and interpreted in the most pessimistic way possible ( which is the only reality-based way to view anything related to DemParty promises and intentions), it seems to indicate that no DemParty regular will reverse or even weaken any of Trump’s tarriffs if a DemPrez should get elected in 2028.
The only way to pre-weaken or pre-mitigate that DemPrez deceit threat would be for a non-cuck non-mainstream DemNom wannabe to run through the primaries on a promise to cancel every single Trump 2.0 tarriff without any analysis or regard to which ones “might” actually be “good” by “accident”. If such a primary challenger could defeat all primary enemies on a clear promise to return to pre-Trump 2.0 zero-point cancellation-reset of all Trump 2.0 tarriffs, there might be a chance that such a DemPrez would actually do that.
And if such a DemNom wannabe could crush and destroy all primary enemies running on purging every Trump 2.9 hire out of government and restoring every Trump 2.0 fired-person back into government if they want back in, and a promise to sign the Big Beautiful Repeal against the Big Beautiful Bill if a cuck-free Dem House and Dem Senate were to pass the Big Beautiful Repeal, such a DemPrez might actually be able to do that too. And if such a DemNom wannabe were able to crush and destroy all primary enemies on a further promise to purge out and impeach every Federalist Society Judge from the Judiciary, including from off the Supreme Court; that might be achievable too, if run on and won on in advance.
Also, winning on a promise to strip out all the cheap tacky gaudy gold from out of the
White House, tear down Trump’s Ballroom if Trump gets it built, tear out Trump’s cement patio from the South Lawn and totally restore Jackie Kennedy’s rose garden, and other symbolic-meaning real-content actions signalling a total fumigation and ‘cultural autoclaving’ of every physical trace of Trump’s presence from Washington DC and anywhere else that Trump took a dogtrump dump. And esPECially to leave the East Wing of the White House destroyed and demolished exactly the way that Trump left it . . . . and put up big signs on the White House grounds calling it the Trump Monument and describing the history of that TearDown. That is one trace of Trump which should be preserved for all time. ” Behold! This is a perfect expression of everything that Republicans stand for! This teardown right here.” ( There is even a Black Content Creator video calling for exactly that regarding the Ballroom, and explaining exactly why. “No matter what, we have to tear down Trump’s corrupt ballroom” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pkFNAd1DaaA )
But anyway, here is that Guard The Leaf video explaining why the current type of Mainstream Democrats can’t be trusted to remove any Trump Tarriffs and why they may in fact be committed to keeping every single one of them. How do any mere Dem-sympathetic citizens in the field feel about all this? Has the time come to think in terms of breaking the US into pieces the way the Soviet Union was broken into pieces? In hopes that some of the pieces could be rid-as violently as necessary- of maga-filth and democuck-scum so that those pieces could be the nucleus of future small decent-people-based countries? ( Would such a process give some of the Indian Nations a chance to regain Land and real effective Sovereign National Power? The way they had before the Western EuroColonial Settler Invasion?)
All is in flux. The ice floes grind around.
Newsom Couldn’t Promise To End Trump’s Tariffs. Dems Didn’t Last Time Either
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mwy9mmwRFOs
spud
the trade deficit and the balance of payments are real debt that is dominated not in dollars, but the currencies of others. to understand money, is to understand debt.
bill clinton created the debt, and the only way out is through tariffs, that is why biden kept and enlarged trumps tariffs, and why the idiot neo-liberal democrats can’t get rid of the tariffs.
bill clinton doomed us to debt enslavement, no neo-liberal democrat will come clean.
the future is bleak indeed, the idiot running the fed looks like he will worry about inflation and the bond vigilantes, when in fact, the inflation is coming from free trade and monopolies that bill clinton created, and will raise rates in a deflating economy. and of course, their is no bond vigilantes.
debt deflation here we come. and we are witnessing the results of all of that debt, by robbing other countries through war and coercion since 1993.
——-
Democrats face challenges in discontinuing tariffs due to concerns about the balance of payments deficit, which has been cited as a justification for maintaining certain tariffs. This situation complicates their ability to shift trade policy without risking economic repercussions.
asil.org piie.com
Challenges for Democrats in Discontinuing Tariffs
Democrats are facing significant hurdles in their efforts to discontinue tariffs, primarily due to concerns surrounding the balance of payments deficit. This economic factor has been used as a justification for maintaining certain tariffs, complicating any potential policy shifts.
Key Factors Influencing Tariff Policy
Balance of Payments Deficit: The balance of payments deficit is a critical issue that Democrats must consider. It has been cited as a reason for keeping tariffs in place, as removing them could exacerbate the deficit.
Economic Repercussions: Shifting trade policy could lead to economic repercussions that may negatively impact constituents. This concern makes it difficult for Democrats to advocate for the removal of tariffs without risking backlash.
Current Political Landscape
Mixed Support Among Democrats: There is a divide within the Democratic Party regarding trade policy. Some members support free trade, while others are more skeptical, reflecting a broader realignment in both major political parties.
Public Opinion: Support for international trade is at an all-time high among the U.S. public, which may influence Democratic strategies moving forward. However, elected officials may still be cautious due to the potential economic fallout from tariff removal.
In summary, the balance of payments deficit and the associated economic risks are significant factors that complicate the Democrats’ ability to discontinue tariffs.
Forbes asil.org
Bill Clinton’s presidency oversaw a period of rising U.S. current account deficits, with the balance of payments “mess” linked to free-trade policies like NAFTA and deregulation that expanded trade imbalances and financial flows.
Dissent Wikipedia
Overview of the Balance of Payments During Clinton’s Presidency
Bill Clinton’s presidency, from 1993 to 2001, was marked by significant economic changes, particularly in the area of trade and finance. One of the notable issues was the rising U.S. current account deficits, which were closely linked to his administration’s economic policies.
Key Factors Contributing to the Balance of Payments Mess
Free-Trade Policies: The implementation of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) and other free-trade agreements aimed to promote trade but also contributed to trade imbalances.
Deregulation: Financial deregulation during Clinton’s tenure allowed for increased capital flows, which exacerbated the current account deficits.
Rising Deficits: The U.S. current account deficit grew significantly, reflecting a broader trend of increased imports relative to exports, which was partly a result of the policies enacted during this period.
Implications of the Current Account Deficits
Aspect Description
Trade Imbalances Increased imports led to a higher trade deficit, impacting domestic industries.
Financial Flows Deregulation facilitated greater financial transactions, contributing to instability.
Economic Growth While the economy experienced growth, the sustainability of this growth was questioned due to the rising deficits.
Clinton’s economic policies, while credited with fostering growth, also set the stage for challenges related to the balance of payments, raising concerns about long-term economic stability.
Wikipedia Dissent
——–
so many are befuddled, its why this time it will not be different.
Many people during the Great Depression misunderstood the role of debt and monetary policy, which contributed to the economic crisis. This lack of understanding was prevalent as individuals and businesses faced severe financial hardships and high unemployment rates.
Teaching American History Wikipedia
Understanding Debt During the Great Depression
Misconceptions About Debt
Many individuals and businesses during the Great Depression struggled to grasp the implications of debt. This misunderstanding played a significant role in exacerbating the economic crisis. Key points include:
High Unemployment Rates: As unemployment soared, many people found themselves unable to repay loans, leading to widespread financial distress.
Severe Financial Hardships: The economic downturn caused many to misinterpret their financial situations, often underestimating the impact of accumulating debt.
Role of Monetary Policy
The Great Depression was also influenced by monetary policy, which was not well understood by the general public. Important aspects include:
Gold Standard: Adherence to the gold standard restricted the money supply, which contributed to deflation and worsened the economic situation.
Debt Mismanagement: Many did not recognize how excessive borrowing and poor financial planning could lead to greater economic instability.
Consequences of Misunderstanding Debt
The lack of understanding regarding debt and monetary policy had several consequences:
Consequence Description
Increased Bank Failures Many banks collapsed due to unpaid loans and poor investments.
Widespread Poverty High levels of debt led to increased poverty and homelessness.
Slow Recovery
Mismanagement of debt hindered economic recovery efforts.
Understanding these factors is crucial for recognizing how misconceptions about debt contributed to the severity of the Great Depression.
Teaching American History Wikipedia
Free trade can lead to international debts as countries with trade deficits borrow from surplus countries to cover their spending. This situation often results in imbalances where deficit countries accumulate liabilities while surplus countries accumulate assets.
cer.eu Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Understanding Free Trade and International Debts
Free trade can significantly influence the financial dynamics between countries, particularly in terms of international debts.
How Free Trade Leads to Debts
Trade Deficits: Countries that import more than they export create trade deficits. To finance this excess spending, they often borrow from surplus countries.
Accumulation of Liabilities: As deficit countries continue to borrow, they accumulate international liabilities. This means they owe money to countries with trade surpluses.
Surplus Countries: Conversely, surplus countries accumulate assets as they lend to deficit countries. This creates an imbalance in the global economy.
Implications of Trade Imbalances
Aspect Deficit Countries Surplus Countries
Financial Position Accumulate liabilities Accumulate assets
Economic Impact Increased debt levels Increased wealth and investment power
Trade Dynamics Dependence on borrowing Influence over global capital flows
The relationship between free trade and international debts highlights the complexities of global economic interactions. While free trade can foster growth, it also creates vulnerabilities, particularly for countries that find themselves in persistent trade deficits.
cer.eu somo.nl
Egoculexegonos
Hey! Happy to hear you’re back and well. Get a speedy and sound recovery, Ian! My best wishes. Nice to hear you were treated well. The Spanish public health system used to be one of the best in Europe but it has been progressively and unevenly (depending on the region) dismantled to favor the private sector for ~15 years now. A clear degradation can be noticed now. Still great people left there but less and less means and worse and worse service.
Just some scattered bits currently swimming in my half-melted brains.
This year Spain might surpass the 100 million tourists mark. The most touristic cities are seeing an acute spike of gentrification. Airbnbs are sprouting everywhere like mushrooms while renting a place to live or buying one is becoming more and more prohibitive, especially for the youth. It’s not a new problem but it has radically accelerated in a year or two. The coming fuel crisis might radically change international tourism, though.
The recent, horrific flash flood in Nepal seems to have been triggered by the partial collapse of a glaciar or glaciar lake up the mountain. It reminds me of Switzerland’s increasing collapsing of mountain chunks due to their inner permafrost melting (check Bergsturz von Bondo, Brienz, Lostallo, Fontana Cevio, Blatten…) or the September 2023 9-day-long earthquake produced by a massive landslide and further tsunami inside Greenland’s sealed Dickson Fjord. Beware the big, glaciar covered mountaing ranges.
Last week I was rereading info about big biogeological, cataclysmic changes such as, for example, the Great Oxidation in the Siderian and later ages by cyanobacteria or the massive eutrophication (phosphates in the sea triggering anoxia) and temperature drop (CO2 being absorbed) produced by the advent of the first trees. Many big extinction events have been driven, facilitated or exacerbated by biological novelties. In that sense, we, humans, are not that special, except, maybe, on the speed of our changes. The interesting thing for me is that, even though we have seen and known for decades what kind of thing is coming to us, we are still BAUing even though we are supposed to have agency. We consider ourselves an intelligent species but we keep on doing “our inertial thing”, acting like cyanobacteria and trees do, thanks to a bunch of mind-controlling parasites before our own disaster. We behave like “Toxoplasma”-infested mice. “Toxoplasma”, at least, has a real incentive and benefit while our parasites actually don’t. They just can’t see beyond their noses.
different clue
Here is a video titled: “How hostile architecture came for skating”
https://www.reddit.com/r/LoveTrash/comments/1w4jv8p/how_hostile_architecture_came_for_skating/
Its a little history of who and what began filling cities up with anti-sit chairs, anti-sleep benches, anti-skate surfaces of all kinds, etc. A pro-human-life Mamdaniform mayor might make some friends among the urban non-rich and non-powerful by ripping out all those anti-use disfeatures infecting the urban landscape.
different clue
Just a little more about Trump showing his true innermost self because why not?
The one who celebrated wasn’t the left
https://www.reddit.com/r/MurderedByWords/comments/1w7g0m2/the_one_who_celebrated_wasnt_the_left/
It would make sense for people to wonder . . . where is evidence of the radiocast Trump is supposed to have made when the subject was days fresh?
Well, here is some recorded evidence.
Donald Trump on 9 /11 bragging that his building is now tallest in NYC
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aPvemZHnd0s