So, Iran closed the Strait because Israel wouldn’t leave Lebanon. Some ships tried to leave to Iran struck the ships. Trump called that a violation of the truce and struck targets in Iran.
As predicted, there is no peace possible if the US won’t control Israel.
Hezbollah MP Hassan Fadlallah: ‘Hezbollah considers the Lebanese presidency and government illegal and unconstitutional. We shall not permit this unconstitutional institution to implement any deal on the ground.’
The Lebanese army can’t disarm Hezbollah, Hezbollah is far stronger. I doubt they’ll seriously try, whatever Aoun orders. The deal would amount to ceding southern Lebanon to Israel permanently. Aoun might not care, it’s all Shia land, but Hezbollah won’t go along.
No peace is possible if the US won’t either restrain Israel or cut it loose. “If Iran and Israel fight, we will not intervene.”
Controlling Israel is easy. What Kissinger and Nixon did was just stop weapon shipments. That’s all it takes.
Oh, and Israel lost its battle to take Ali Taher Hill. Wound up begging Hezbollah to allow them to retrieve the corpses of their fallen soldiers. The Israeli ground forces really are absolute crap.
The MOU was very one sided: everything was what Iran wanted, not what the US wanted. That’s because the Strait being closed really will wreck America. This remains true. Iran appears to believe this, and they are willing to go back to war or semi-war until the US disciplines Israel. No signs of cutting Hezbollah loose.
Hope you’re looking forward to very high food prices, bare shelves and eventual food riots. Because if the US doesn’t make peace these are all coming to America. Oil prices have been held artificially low by market manipulation, but there is a real world and in that real world distillates like diesel are running very low.
At this point it’s clear Trump has to go, for America’s sake. Vance is scum, but he’s realistic scum. If it was up to him, there’d be peace.
Here’s hoping the MOU gets back on track. I don’t like the world where it doesn’t.
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Purple Library Guy
The old Iranian guys would have caved and cut Lebanon loose for the deal. Murdering all of them was one of the key stupid things the Americans did.
Dan Kelly
Thank you Ian.
‘No peace is possible if the US won’t either restrain Israel or cut it loose.’
Indeed.
What are we up against?
The most recent Phil Giraldi is packed with info from the former spy.
Phil talks about how the US itself used to spy on the Zionist entity but other than perhaps some NSA electronic tapping that is no longer the case since 9/11.
https://youtu.be/0lkmNZ0WIYA?t=160
‘At this point it’s clear Trump has to go, for America’s sake. Vance is scum, but he’s realistic scum. If it was up to him, there’d be peace.’
What if the Zionist entity takes out Trump and Vance?
https://kevinbarrett.substack.com/p/israel-planning-false-flag-10-times
And then there’s this:
All quotes:
• Journalist Youssef Fares
– Two Israeli media professionals: Pushing Lebanon towards civil war was a goal from the beginning
A discussion on Hebrew Channel 13 sparked widespread controversy, after Israeli journalist Raviv Drucker said: “It seems that we are leading Lebanon towards a civil war, and perhaps this is not bad for us, so let the Lebanese government fight Hezbollah.”
Military correspondent Alon Ben David responded by saying: “This was the goal from the beginning.”
– Yedioth Ahronoth:
Unlike the agreement concluded in November 2024, this time the agreement will be closely monitored by the US Army, which will also train the Lebanese Army.
• Journalist Suhaib Al-Masalma
– The Israeli Prime Minister: We agreed with Lebanon on a pilot project to disarm Hezbollah, and the project will be implemented outside the yellow line north and south of the Litani River.
The tripartite framework of action with Lebanon ends Iran’s attempts to impose a complete withdrawal from southern Lebanon
https://www.moonofalabama.org/2026/06/iran-open-thread-2026-135.html/comment-page-3#comment-1376066
mago
@PLG, No. It was one of the smartest things they did from a resistance perspective.
GrimJim
Trump will go nuclear over this.
Whether it will be an EMP or a proper air or ground burst over Tehran, I do not know.
But his ego will not let him lose.
He already wanted to nuke them, and the last adults left in his vicinity were subsequently purged after they stopped him…