After the Lebanon ceasefire, Iran decided to open the Strait. Trump then said the blockade of Iranian ports would continue.
— gd.shepherd3 (@gdshepherd3) April 18, 2026
And:
Mass turn around, nearly every ship attempting the crossing has turned back. pic.twitter.com/lHBOOMLw6G
— OSINTtechnical (@Osinttechnical) April 17, 2026
Iran has not agreed to a new round of talks with the U.S., citing pressure and “unreasonable demands,” and says negotiations will only continue if those stop, with the message conveyed via Pakistan (Tasnim).
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If this is truly existential for Iran, for its leadership and for its civilization, it behooves them to get radical and address the root of the onslaught against them. That root is, collectively, the likes of Ellison and Musk and Karp and Thiel and Fink and so many more of their filthy ilk. It would behoove them to target that vermin directly and take them out. Mangione, but a nation instead of a lone individual. The wealthy elite are combatants. They gave the world Donald Trump and they should pay the true price of that. Don’t leave Richard Branson off that list, Obama’s good buddy who was also good buddies with Epstein and I guess don’t leave Obama off that list considering he was good buddies with a dirtbag who was one of Epstein’s good buddies.
https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/170207080749-obama-branson-kitesurf-challenge.jpg?q=x_0,y_0,h_648,w_1151,c_fill/w_1280
DanFmTo
It’s a terrifying experiment in how long markets can remain irrational, Trump has blown away my expectations in how long he’s kept the oil price much lower than it ought to be by various chicaneries, most of which everyone watching understands are bullshit but somehow the markets still collectively self-delude even where most actors within them must know it’s a bubble.
I fear Iran does need to keep the strait closed until all the oil reserves & seaborne oil being used up right now really does run out and actual material shortfalls start biting core countries that the West cares about. The West is incapable of rationally seeing the end of the pier and stopping short, we must fall off it before we accept it is real.
Feral Finster
What on earth did Iran think would happen?
Not to mention, Iran offering to give up its best leverage (presumably at Chinese urging) was foolish beyond imagination. “Put the gun down, and then we’ll talk…”
bruce wilder
The War of Narratives is being shredded as it is processed thru competing, fast-fashion narrative-control engines aimed at doom-scrolling market observers.
I have read that mysterious short-sellers or prediction market savants have emerged to profit from each 20-minute turn of the Wheel of Fortune. I don’t know if those reports are true, but it is strange to me that the financial markets are taking as long as they have to register the implications of either cutting off a big chunk of oil and gas or cutting off a big chunk of the flow of dollars to the GCC countries.
Rapid cycling of confused, contradictory messaging is the new censorship.
The ship movement monitoring is objective data that provides a modest check on runaway narrative construction. Notice we don’t have any equivalent window on the kinetic war or the ongoing genocide in Gaza.