The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Understanding America’s Betrayal Of Ukraine

Let’s start with this: Ukraine is losing the war, and the longer it goes on the worse the peace deal will be. I absolutely agree with Trump that there needs to be a peace deal, and soon.

But the rhetoric coming out of the Trump administration and its proxies suggests that America owes Ukraine nothing, and that indeed, Ukraine owes America for all its support. This sounds reasonable, on the face of it, but only if you don’t know any history.

Let’s start with the 2014 Maidan protests which overthrew the Ukrainian government. They were a color revolution, heavily supported by the Americans and Europeans. Say what you will about Yanukovych, he was the elected President. There’s decent evidence that the sniper massacre was done by Maidan itself (see this academic study), and, post-coup, Ukraine was essentially run by Victoria Nuland.

The Maidan coup came in response to Yanukovych’s decision to accept Russia’s aid package instead of the West’s. This was the correct decision: Russia offered more money and aid with less strings, while the Western aid came with IMF restructuring. If you know anything about the IMF you know that their restructuring is always painful, and it doesn’t improve host nations economies. It does, however, increase inequality, and opens up the economy so foreigners can buy in.

Back in 2008 there was a brief Georgian/Russian war. Georgia had regions which were ethnically Russian, and they were de-facto independent, and recognized as such by Russia. When Georgia invaded South Ossetia, Russia counter-invaded. At the time, I wrote an article for FireDogLake predicting the next Russian war would be over Crimea and Sevastopol. Sevastopol is Russia’s main Black Sea port, and a Russian “hero city,” — much beloved. Ukraine leased it to Russia, and if Ukraine ever moved to kick the Russians out I predicted the Russians would go to war rather than comply.

Put simply, Sevastopol was and is a key Russia interest.

After the coup, Ukraine threatened to end the Russian lease. Russia invaded Crimea, and took it over. (Don’t cry too much, most Crimeans, except the Tatars, would much rather be Russian). Meanwhile, the East of Ukraine went into revolt, because they are mostly, actually Russian and had supported the ousted President. A small war was fought over that. The Russians intervened, routed the Ukrainians, and they set up a peace deal called the Minsk accord, which basically gave Donetsk and Luhansk semi-autonomy.

Notice that without the coup, which was backed by the US, there would have been no 2014 war between Ukraine and Russia, no loss of Crimea, or and no semi-independence for the far East of Ukraine.

The coup was anti-democratic, overthrowing a legitimately elected government which was accepting the best deal offered. (And folks, I’ve studied IMF deals. They are always bad. Always.)

Of course, having lost a war and territory, Ukraine now becomes very anti-Russia, at least in the West of the country. Understandable. Then there’s a HUGE military buildup. And, although Minsk was sold as the end of the matter, it was negotiated in bad faith by the West. This has been confirmed:

The West didn’t want peace, it wanted a chance to build up the Ukrainian military for the next round.

That next round came after Ukraine spent a lot of time shelling the hell out of Luhansk and Donetsk; this was a violation of the Minsk agreement. Then Ukraine and NATO started talking about Ukraine joining NATO, which Russia had made clear was a red line.

Now here’s the thing: Absent the US backed Maidan coup, there would be no Ukrainian war. It wouldn’t have happened. Additionally, absent the huge build up of the Ukranian military, again US- and EU-backed, there would have been no war, because Ukraine wouldn’t have risked it.

The US used Ukraine in a proxy war, after an anti-democratic coup. The West genuinely believed that sanctions would break Russia and allow Ukraine to win the war, and hoped that the loss would cause a break-up of Russia. Unfortunately for them, China needed Russia as an ally, and kept the Russian economy running, and it is Europe that was damaged by the sanctions, while Russia’s economy is, overall, booming.

Back near the start of the war, a peace offer was on the table, far more generous than anything Ukraine can expect now. Boris Johnson, Britain’s Prime Minister, with US support, told Zelensky not to take it — NATO would back him to the hilt, and Zelensky could win the war.

Fast forward: Ukraine is losing the war. On a map, Russian gains over the last year aren’t all that large, but the Ukrainian army is running out of manpower, and is being pushed past its line of prepared defenses. When the Ukrainian army breaks, and it will, the Russians will start making huge advances very quickly.

Now, Trump comes in, and acts as if America had nothing to do with all this and, further, acts like Ukraine has taken advantage of American generosity instead of Ukraine being an American proxy, which has been devastated after an American coup pushed it into a war with a much stronger country and America and the UK told Ukraine not to take a better peace deal.

Trump’s attempting to get Ukrainian minerals in “repayment” for America pushing Ukraine into a war it couldn’t win, and is not even offering security guarantees in exchange. I loathe Zelensky, but he’s right to reject this one-sided “deal.”

This is despicable. This is honorless. The very least Ukraine deserves from America is a sincere effort to cut, for Ukraine, the best peace deal they can get.

Now Zelensky is delusional. Threats to fight on and a refusal to negotiate are insane. Russia’s BATNA (best alternative to a negotiated agreement) is to just continue the war, win it, and impose an unconditional surrender. Think Japan and Germany at the end of World War II.

But American negotiation seems to be about making the best deal for America, not for Ukraine.

My suggestion would be that Zelensky ask the Chinese to host negotiations. Yes, they’re Russia’s ally, BUT they’ve always supported a peace deal, and more importantly, they’re the only nation which really does have leverage over Russia; without China, Russia cannot survive economically. And, unlike America, China has said it is willing to put peacekeepers in Ukraine. Russia is NOT going to target Chinese troops.

Further, if China promises to rebuild Ukraine, it will do so, and do so quickly and competently. The Chinese are the best in the world at building roads, railways, ports, power plants, and all other types of infrastructure.

Ukraine’s government was effectively controlled by the West, and pushed into a war it couldn’t win. They need to end their Western alliance, and cut the best deal they can get. That means, especially, not letting Trump negotiate, because he’s not negotiating for them, but for America.

It’s a bad hand, an awful one. But it’s the hand Ukraine has to play.

As for American claims that Ukraine used them, rather the other way around, they are without merit and beyond dishonorable.

Let’s give Kissinger the final word:

“It may be dangerous to be America’s enemy, but to be America’s friend is fatal.”

 

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40 Comments

  1. j

    But I do cry for the Crimean Tatars, for they are the native people there. Living in Crimea, history has not been easy on them; being part of Russia, a major source of that unease, is not something one would wish for them either.
    That in no way means I reject the reality that Russia was never going to allow Crimea be part of Nato. It’s not better that Crimea is Russia now, but it is the only option on the table we set up ourselves. The tragedy of the Tatars is just another part of the clusterfuck that all of this is. We walked them into this willingly, not giving a rats ass about them, and it is what it is now.

  2. ZenBean

    “But I do cry for the Crimean Tatars, for they are the native people there.”

    The Crimean Tartars are one of many ethnics that took control of the peninsula by purging the people who were already living there. That stuff has been going on since at least the first Yamnaya conquerors. It’s not like the expansion of various Turkic peoples was particularly peacefule and their rule benign. Why should they deserve the much desired label of being the “true natives of Crimea”?

  3. Emma

    Nothing bad is happening to the Tartars under Russian control. They are far better off under the Russian Federation than they could ever be independently (thus a toy between great powers like Georgia or Armenia, and that’s a best case) or under a Western controlled regime like Kiev.

    I’m not sure why Russia or China wants to have anything to do with Western Ukraine at this point. Let themselves be abandoned by Europeans and Americans for a decade or two and see what happens. Gladio type operations are going to happen no matter what and direct involvement will just cause more problems.

    I don’t understand why Russia and China are more merciful and kind to their enemies and double dealers than to friends. No matter why or how, abandoning the Syrian people to HTS/Turkey/Israel is a terrible look. Still having normal relations with Israel is a terrible look. Letting Erdogan and Aliyev get away with what they do is a terrible look. They’re letting their purported pragmatism look like there’s no consequences for being their enemy and no benefits for being their friend.

  4. miss jenkins

    None of this is serious. Zelensky’s term ended last Spring. Anything involving him isn’t official anyway.

    Russia says this. Until they don’t.

    Why hasn’t Russia been able to defeat the US/NATO paper tiger? One would think the ‘Special Military Operation’ would be able to wrap things up rather quickly against such an easy adversary being led by all-out morons in ‘the west.’

    It’s been three years of this nonsense.

    At least two hundred thousand dead Russians, who knows how many dead Ukranians.

    In the battle of good versus evil it’s the regular folks who die.

    Congratulations to all of you who support this on all sides. You are all bloodthirsty warmongers with no consciences.

  5. Jefferson Hamilton

    In the second paragraph, I’m pretty sure “suggests that Ukraine owes America nothing” needs to be vice versa, otherwise the sentence makes no sense, and then in paragraph three, “see this academic study” isn’t actually a link.

  6. Ian Welsh

    Thank you Jefferson.

  7. Paul Damascene

    Agree w/ virtually every word, except perhaps China’s role in supporting Russia seems overstated. Aside from remaining friendly, refusing to join economic war, continuing to buy Russian exports that China itself badly needs, buying them in yuan instead of dollars, and exporting things under the table that Turkey, India and Kazakhstan would have sold to Russia sub rosa, I’ve seen little news of China ‘propping up’ Russia. After and even during the conflict, China will have needed Russia more than Russia needs China. Though the interdependency is significant.

  8. Tallifer

    Ukrainian society was divided into two parts: those who wanted to stay in the Soviet past, were content to be ruled by oligarchs and looked to Russia for support, and those who wanted to move into a democratic, free-market, socially progressive future like the Czech, Baltic and Polish countries. Russia supported one side, the West the other. Neither Russia nor the West created these tensions, but only one side slaughters Ukrainian civilians and kidnaps their children.

  9. Ian Welsh

    If China hadn’t done all those things Paul, sanctions would have worked. Honorary mention to India, but it’s China that mattered because everything Russia needs except some oil tech, they can get from China. If China had joined in on sanctions, Russia’s economy would have collapsed.

  10. Mark Level

    This is a useful post, covering the broad outline of “How we got here.”

    It’s missing one key piece of data, which clarifies a lot, especially who is responsible for initiating the War– it’s The Rand Corporation’s 2019 “Overextending & Unbalancing Russia”. The plan proposes several axes of “cost-imposing measures” to threaten & destabilize Russia and to prepare it for a “Color Revolution”/ coup. The fact that this was proposed a year after Nuland’s Maidan coup shows the step-by-step nature of the US’s (primarily, the Euro Chihuahas of course tagged along) vain hopes to dismember a federated Russia into several tiny Bantustans, ripe for rule and exploitation.

    https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB10014.html

    miss jenkins scolds us that no one should support either side, that sympathy for the victims (always a war-like society’s weakest people, with the least ability to resist their Masters), but it is clear that one side initiated and provoked the war, & the other acted with restraint. In fact, Provoked is the title of a new Scott Horton book on the conflict, and its inevitable end.

    The ghoulish mandates of the Aggressors, such as “Economic Cost-Imposing Measures,” show who is fully responsible for promoting a war and all the subsequent carnage. One can’t sit on the fence and support this, or “both sides” it as attempted, either. Even International Law (fake as much of it is, or biased on behalf of the rule-makers) is very clear about a given casus belli.

    More than one point within the Rand study proves how stupid the people making these world domination plans are. Let’s just pick one– Under “Cost-Imposing Measures” see the claim, true at the time, that “Russian Petroleum Exports are Declining”– Well, forcing Russia into a war reversed that dramatically, and Russia is now #4 in size (accd. to the World Bank & IMF, certainly not pro-Russian. The 9 writers of this “plan” are deeply stupid.

    If the Russians were nearly as murderous and ruthless as the Zionist state is allowed to be, these people would need to watch their backs out in public in the future. But it isn’t, they caused the almost-total destruction of Ukraine, and the expansion of Russia’s borders. Heckuva job, Brownie!!

  11. Bill H.

    I think you pretty much nailed it, but it’s worth mentioning that this is what America does. It has done precisely the same thing to nation after nation. No nation has ever survived friendship with the United States. Britain? Yes, Britain is in wonderful condition, isn’t it?

  12. marku52

    Excellent stuff Ian. The idea of the Chinese negotiating , monitoring, and rebuilding is brilliant, tho i suspect the Cocaine Cowboy is too far out of it to consider it. And whoever the US replaces him with won’t be allowed to consider it either.

    It must be a sad thing to know how Cassandra felt…..

  13. Eclair

    Thank you for the clarifying history time-line, Ian. I am thinking of Ukraine now as a damp, bedraggled squeaky toy, tossed between two pit-bulls, Russia and the US, who would eventually tear it to shreds.
    But, Ukraine shares a border (that’s the meaning of their name!) as well as history, culture, genetic make-up, with Russia. The US is thousands of miles away. (And let’s stop with this pretense of the US as a beacon of ‘democracy’ and ‘freedom:’ we have invaded (and wrecked) more sovereign countries since 1945 than Russia. Or China.)
    Ukraine, to survive, needs to be neutral. And the US needs to stop interfering.

  14. GrimJim

    Great observations Ian! Just one minor correction:

    “That means, especially, not letting Trump negotiate, because he’s not negotiating for them, but for America.”

    Should read:

    “That means, especially, not letting Trump negotiate, because he’s not negotiating for them, but for TRUMP.”

    Nothing Trump ever does is for the United States.

    Trump only does what is good for Trump, and maybe his friends, and when he is already sated, perhaps an ally or two.

    Every transaction Trump makes is for Trump. If the US profits thereby, it is pure dumb luck.

    Everything else is performative. He’ll keep making things look good for his supporters, until he is strong enough that he does not need them anymore. Then, all for Trump, all the time…

  15. GrimJim

    “… those who wanted to move into a democratic, free-market, socially progressive future like the Czech, Baltic and Polish countries.”

    LOL.

    Oligarchs there, oligarchs there, it is all run by oligarchs.

    “Democratic” — No such thing, it is and has always been smoke and mirrors. If you are on the side of the United States, you are owned by their oligarchs.

    “Free-Market” — Again, no such thing, especially once you have accepted the IMF’s kiss, they then screw you any way they want, any time they want. “Free-market” just means you are reduced to economic and financial concubinage to New York and London.

    “Socially Progressive” — OK, I’ll give you this one. But the era of the Democrats with their fiscally conservative and socially progressive policies are over, we are now moving into the fiscally regressive, socially hyper-regressive Christofascist era of the MAGAts. So, caught between the Russian Orthodox Church and the Anglo-Evangelical Christofascsists… I dunno — is that tomato, tomato or potato, potato?

  16. those who wanted to stay in the Soviet past, were content to be ruled by oligarchs and looked to Russia for support,
    ——
    Yea, the USSR home of the rich oligarch billionaires. Glad the the West defeated those capitalist pigs!
    The former USSR was so much better off switching over to the anti-oligarch western system. It’s not like life expectancy sank 5+ years and didn’t reach pre-collapse levels until the late 2000’s. It’s not like the 90’s saw an economic depression so large it took until the late 2000’s before the economy was even back to 1989 levels. Not like the share of income going towards the top 10% almost tripled meaning that even by 2015 living standards for the bottom 80% were still below the standards in the 80’s. Wait…
    What did Ian say about sounding responsible if we don’t know history?

    Imagine if commies took over say Japan. The economy collapses, 10 million people die and 20 years later the Japanese were poorer and lived shorter lives than before. What type of society would we live in if the masses considered that proof that Communism was superior? That’d be a 1984 level dystopia and that’s exactly the world we live in.
    Consider the implications of living in a dystopian society. Should you trust the oligarchs and their funded experts? Should you follow the propagandized masses? Should you go read the dissenters instead of yelling how the censored are crazy conspiracy theorists?

  17. Eric Anderson

    This post should be adorning the pages of every MSM outlet in the nation. If, that is, we were a nation that values the unvarnished truth.

    But instead, we drink the #CapitalistPropaganda varnish convinced it will hurt someone beside ourselves.

    I just marvel at the stupidity of anyone who watches a television anymore — unless of course it is to monitor the workings of the high priests of propaganda.

  18. Feral Finster

    “But I do cry for the Crimean Tatars, for they are the native people there. ”

    The irony being that Russia offers far more protections for ethnic minorities, including the right to schooling and to petition the government in their own languages, than does the aggressively galicianizing government of Ukraine.

    And yes, ZenBean is correct. Tatars are not autotchonous to Crimea.

  19. Revelo

    >As for American claims that Ukraine used them, rather the other way around, they are without merit and beyond dishonorable.

    You are forgetting that Ukraine used BILLIONS of USA dollars to influence USA politics (bribing politicians, bribing journalists) in favor of Ukraine and also in favor of Democrats versus Trump in all of his elections. Ukraine and especially Zelensky (he wasn’t involved in 2016 election, only 2020 and 2024) owes the USA and Trump personally big time for that interference.

    It was a giant payola scheme: USA politicians vote for and journalists produce propaganda in favor of money to Ukraine, Ukraine feeds money back to those politicians and journalists. Ukrainian people need to hang their own politicians from the nearest tree or else the Ukrainian people take responsibility for the corruption and therefore owe the USA for every penny they took from USA plus interest.

  20. Ian Welsh

    America put those politicians in place. And I’m sure Nuland told them to spend the money on US elections.

  21. I think Trump knows that “rare earths” aren’t rare because only Ukraine has them; they’re rare RVERYWHERE. But Trump was savvy enough to know that if he backed out of Ukraine without a bullshit trophy like “rare earths”, the Lindsey Graham wing of his own party is liable to defect. At least now that Zelensky has refused “the deal”, Trump can try to walk away as a spurned peacemaker. Try to walk away…Congress and the MIC still may not let him.

  22. GrimJim

    “You are forgetting that Ukraine used BILLIONS of USA dollars to influence USA politics (bribing politicians, bribing journalists) in favor of Ukraine ”

    So, for the cost of a few sniper rifles and color revolution flags, US politicians were able to use the Ukrainians to wash US government dollars into bribe dollars to do… exactly what they were going to do anyway?

    And Trump’s main complaint about this is that he didn’t get bribed?

    Sounds about right.

    Maybe that’s because unlike MAGAts, the Ukrainians know that Trump will eventually turn on any ally, at any time, for any reason or none, so any bribe to Trump is money pissed down a hole.

    At least Democrats, once bribed, stay bribed. Trump, like most Republicans, have no honor.

  23. Soredemos

    The only points I’ll argue with are that the ethnic Russians in Eastern Ukraine revolted in that they wanted federalism. Our media habitually calls them ‘separatists’, but they actually wanted what would effectively be a United States of Urkaine after the central government in Kiev was clearly taken over by anti-Russian fanatics. Once Kiev’s response was to wage a war of ethnic cleansing against its own citizens, the attitude shifted over a decade to where those oblasts are now fine with just being formally annexed into Russia proper.

    Now, related to this is the idea that the ‘separatists’ never had any real legitimacy, and were just Russian troops in disguise. This is the Ukrainian excuse for why their ‘anti-terrorism’ operation failed multiple times. It’s hard to prove what degree of direct Moscow involvement there was, but if you look up the biographies of key Donbass and Lughansk people like Givi (and basically all of those OG militia guys are dead now, mostly killed by Ukrainian terrorist actions), they were all authentic locals who were born in the old Ukrainian SSR. This is also where the habit of fighter pilot style callsign nicknames in this conflict originally came from; these people were actually from the area, still had family there, and were trying to protect their identities. Eventually the Ukrainian troops took up the habit, completely missing the original point, and now you have all these Nazi thug bozos walking around calling themselves Thor or whatever.

    A lot of the Donbas militia fighters were genuinely locals, and to the extent there were any Russian regulars going undercover, many of those were volunteers, but I can’t say to what extent they were genuine or were rather Flying Tiger style ‘volunteers’ operating with firm Moscow sanction. I do believe at some point Putin actually at least rhetorically tried to curb the flow of Russian citizens going there to fight.

    The reality is that Eastern Ukraine was, and is, extremely tightly integrated with Russia, families and business connections extend across the border to the point there’s little distinction, and plenty of Russian citizens were willing to go there and fight for it entirely willingly. In addition, Ukraine was filled with military equipment (the Cold War Urkainian military was far larger than the 40,000 it had been downsized to by 2014. All that old gear didn’t just vanish), and there were plenty of local people with prior military service to fill out the militias. The ‘separatists’ really were plausibly predominantly homegrown and self-supplied.

  24. Feral Finster

    Soredemos is correct. I personally know people who lived in and who fought for Novorossiya.

    Donbas separatism really was born when it became apparent that election results didn’t matter in Ukraine – the United States ran the show and would simply depose any election winner that it did not like.

    Crimean separatism had long been a thing. Crimea was considered a hardship duty for Ukrainian conscripts, as they were treated like an occupying army.

  25. bruce wilder

    I don’t understand the “honor” argument or headlining the “betrayal of Ukraine”.

    We (for some value of a collective “we” representing the powers that be, not me personally) made common cause with some Ukronazi’s and Russiaphobes and now changing our collective minds is dishonorable and a betrayal of what? whom?

    It seems to me that Victoria Nuland and company were betraying the interests of the United States itself by pursuing a policy of destabilizing a divided Ukraine in a long-shot attempt to weaken Russia when Russia was as pacific as it has ever been historically. Their whole plan was at its core, just evil. There’s nothing honorable about conspiring with crazy, hateful people to start a war those people cannot hope to win. It quickly becomes death and destruction for its own sake.

    So waking up from Nuland’s fever dream and attempting to reverse gear is “dishonorable” and “a betrayal”?? I don’t see the honorable purpose and commitment in the original project that anyone could dishonor and betray.

  26. mago

    Wasn’t going to comment, because nothing of value to add, yet here I am once again.
    Have to agree with bruce wilder about honor and betrayal. All the players are dishonorable, no matter their motives and the coercion involved and the complex subtleties, blah blah.
    Also wanted to mention that most of the readership here is probably familiar with the sequence of events since 2013 or so, but maybe not.
    Most of the western general public propagandized as they are seem clueless from what I’m reading and hearing in person.
    There is no cure for stupid.
    I scratch my head at Sir Tallifer’s remarks. Deliberately obtuse and contrarian, or genuinely clueless?
    Doesn’t matter. Opinions are just that. Everyone has one just like a poop chute.
    So in the end I toss my opinions in the wind, because, you know, nothing better to do.
    Blessings to all, and may the dark ignorance and suffering of sentient beings be dispelled . . .

  27. witters

    I think you are right, Bruce. And re China: Ian seems to forget that the US’s explicit aim is to smash China.

  28. Bukko Boomeranger

    Ian, you — and just about everybody else I’ve read — fail to put Kissinger’s quote in context. It makes him look like he’s being CRITICAL of being friendly with the United States. However, what Henry the K was saying was in service of NOT assassinating a puppet.

    He was talking about plans to bump off Nguyen Van Thieu in the early 1960s after South Vietnamese spooks had killed Thieu’s predecessor, Ngo Dinh Diem. Kissinger was saying “DON’T do that, or everyone will think that it’s fatal to be America’s friend.” I detest Kissinger (although I despise Dick Cheney more) and I’m glad I lived long enough to see him croak. (Still waiting on Cheney. He’s partially a cyborg now, so do they actually die?) I’m not meaning to defend the Nobel Peace Prize-winning mass murderer, but people draw the wrong meaning from that quote.

    P.S. I’m enjoying the heck out of your Twaater stream (which I read via xcancel.com because I never signed up for the Musk borg.) You and T Ryan Gregory are on fire with your anti-“51st State” Twaats. Also too (h/t Sarah Palin) I see your comment section is being blessed with many familiar nyms from Naked Capitalism. And some ex-NC nyms — hi ho, Feral!

  29. Failed Scholar

    @Bukko Boomeranger

    Interesting info on Kissinger’s quote, but if that’s true it makes the quote even more ‘based’ as the kiddos would say. I mean, what ended up happening to Thieu?

  30. Most of the western general public propagandized
    —–
    Some steps for successful propagandization/cult indoctrination.
    -Create a sense of urgency, fear, sadness and moral indignation.
    -Convince people that position A will return us to normal, ending all the subsequent miserable feelings.
    -Tell people that position A makes them morally and intellectually superior.
    -Get them to invest. The sunk cost bias is key. Money is a second tier cost compared to internal investments. It’s much more effective if they say cut ties with a dissenting friend, hurl insults, etc rather than spend money.

    Accomplish that and you’ve got a group of people who won’t even bother to intellectually engage or understand the topic. Doing so would mean contemplating that not only are they marks, but that their feelings of intellectual and moral superiority are backwards.

  31. Mark Level

    Sorodemos & Finster called it. Ukraine was destroyed in 2014 when a fascist and ultra-racist fantasy regime was installed. I’ll agree with Bruce also: there is little “moral” honor or behavior in diplomacy, absolutely ZERO in US “diplomacy.” They are known to violate every agreement they make, therefore no nation with sovereignty or self-respect wants to deal with them. Globalist thieves like Ms. Von der Lyin’ are happy to serve them. (Had a great laugh when Pepe Escobar called her a “Toxic Medusa”, certainly for Germany’s future, that is 100% so.)

    But hey, let’s give Sir or Madam Tallifer some credit. S/he makes for great comedy, blathering the nonsense that society’s least informed and most gullible patsies would stake their lives on. Keep on keepin’ on, Tallifer. You are an endless source of entertainment, on a site that sometimes features grim and unhappy content.

    For fair-minded folks, Judge Napolitano, Larry McGovern and Ray McGovern are in Moscow now, reporting on how beautiful, rich and cop-free it is!! Who is the Soviet Union now, with a sclerotic, corrupt, & ancient nomenklatura, open corruption, and a miserable and beaten-down populace without hope, the infrastructure decayed and mostly non-functioning? Also, Trump is “negotiating” with “Governor Trudeau” over the tariffs, another story the troika cover. Who is the real Imperialist, who changes borders willy-nilly, based on false narratives? Intelligent people can figure it out. Link is https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dhhAGcDCWeU

    Good luck with the “Modern, Global” Shiny Object, Tallifer!! Long may it entertain and delight you.

  32. Feral Finster

    “Let’s start with this: Ukraine is losing the war, and the longer it goes on the worse the peace deal will be. I absolutely agree with Trump that there needs to be a peace deal, and soon.”

    Has it not occurred to you, that the Ukrainian ledership does not want peace, that the war has brought them nothing but benefits?

    Before February of 2022, Zelenskii was the increasingly authoritarian ruler of a corrupt, Nazi-infested shithole. Not only has the war bestowed rivers of sweet western cash for him and his cronies to skim, after February, 2022, Zelenskii was mystically transformed into a leader more resolute than Churchill, more democratic than Pericles, more humane than Marcus Aurelius, wiser than Solomon. Goodthink western liberals were bleating recycled Nazi slogans in support of Zelenskii, the leader so democratic that he need not bother with pesky elections or tiresome terms of office. The little twerp even became a fashion icon!

    Sure, Ukrainian kids are press-ganged to get slaughtered at the front, but why should he care? Zelenskii’s kids are safe. Sure, Ukraine may never recover, but so what? Zelenskii and his loot will be long gone, he’ll never have to repay those “loans”, and besides, they never will get paid back.

    Why on earth would he want this war to end? You think a chicken rancher would want people to adopt veganism?

  33. Bukko Boomeranger

    Scholar — was that a biographical question, about Thieu, or were you making a point? As for the actual guy, he was in charge of South Vietnam until the final days, then fled to America and lived out the rest of his life quietly before he died in 2001. I was a kid while the Vietnam war was on, my dad was in the U.S. army and the TV news was always on, so Thieu’s name was familiar to me. If you were being rhetorical about what ended up happening to Thieu, I’d say he did OK as far being America’s friend. He lived, unlike a million or more Vietnamese on both sides of the DMZ who got killed. The only person whose life was SAVED by Kissinger the Killer…

  34. miss jennings

    The man with the purse strings says the sanctions (acts of war) on Russia will remain. I realize Russia has effectively worked around these but the point is that this is official policy.

    Attention will now be turned almost entirely towards Iran/Middle East and China.

    ‘Bessent said the U.S. Treasury would no longer apply “lackadaisical” sanctions that create opportunities for circumvention. Going forward, he said U.S. sanctions would be used “explicitly and aggressively for immediate maximum impact.”

    He called former president Joe Biden’s sanctions on Russian energy “egregiously weak,” saying they allowed Russia to continue financing its war in Ukraine. He added that Biden’s last-minute sanctions on the Russian oil and gas sectors in January were done for political purposes, but Bessent did not mention any plans to review them.

    “This administration has kept the enhanced sanctions in place and will not hesitate to go ‘all in’ should it provide leverage in peace negotiations,” Bessent said.

    Regarding Iran, he said the Treasury was imposing a “maximum pressure” campaign of sanctions to choke off its oil exports and put pressure on its currency.

    “We are going to shut down Iran’s oil sector and drone manufacturing capabilities,” Bessent said. “Making Iran broke again will mark the beginning of our updated sanctions policy.”‘

    The article goes on quote Bessent, the former head of the London office of Soros Management, recommending bank deregulation domestically.

    They’re going to let the big guys almost entirely out of the cage.

    https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/us-treasurys-bessent-says-fsoc-will-drive-regulatory-change-outlines-tariff-2025-03-06/

    ——

    Remember the first time around when Trump would occasionally mention the Fed and dangle the idea of perhaps shaking things up?

    He never really talked about the power of the Fed and its unconstitutional independence from the political process, but he would at least mention potential changes – unlike any other president of recent memory.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8HZSwoHwOhg&t=2139s

    https://youtu.be/8HZSwoHwOhg?t=7

  35. Jessica

    The division in Ukraine, visible in the maps of results of every election in independent Ukraine, is between the eastern half that was part of Russia for three centuries (and the middle that was part of Russia for nearly two centuries) and on the other hand, the westernmost region, which only became part of Russia during WW2.
    The eastern 3/4 of Ukraine that was part of Russia for centuries was industrialized by the Soviets and was economically, culturally, and personally deeply interconnected with Russia.
    Meanwhile the westernmost part was part of Poland then Austria then Poland again, all of which were strongly anti-Russian. This western part is often referred to as Galicia, though technically there were other small regions of Ukrainians not belonging to Russia.
    The entire Black Sea coast of Ukraine was conquered by Russia from Ottoman Turkey, mostly in the 1700s.
    Crimea was transferred from Russia to Ukraine by Khrushchev in 1954. No one seems to know exactly why. Ukrainians were never more than 10% of its population. It was an autonomous republic within Ukraine from 1954, meaning that it reported to Moscow, not to Kiev. At some point, its autonomy was withdrawn. There was a plebiscite in 1991 to restore Crimea’s autonomy and that passed. After Ukrainian independence, there was an attempt to hold a plebiscite on independence. The Ukrainian government threatened to cut off Crimea’s water and energy supplies, so that attempt was abandoned.
    According to Zubok’s book about the collapse of the Soviet Union, it was clear to the Russians in 1991 that Donbass and Crimea being part of Ukraine would be trouble.
    What should have happened (and the US could easily have made this happen at that point) was plebiscites (in fine detail, at least oblast by oblast) to see which nation people wanted to belong. Most likely that would have resulted in a smaller but much more Ukrainian Ukraine.
    After WW1, such plebiscites were used to set the Danish-German border, the Austrian-Slovenian border, and the Austrian-Hungarian border. There have been no issues about those borders since then.

  36. Jessica

    As others have pointed out, the Tatars are far, far from being indigenous to Crimea. They came out of Central Asia with the Mongol Horde. The ruled what later became Russia for centuries. Moscow rose to dominance within what became Russia as collection agents for the Tatars.
    They have their own republic, Tatarstan, with its capital at Kazan within the Russian Federation. Many Tatars were deported from Crimea during WW2 because Stalin feared that they would side with the German invaders (as many did; the enemy of my enemy).
    Crimea has a fascinating history. It belonged at one time or another to Persia, Greece, Rome (the western one), Rome (the eastern one that lasted until 1453), Genoa, Ottoman Turkey, the Crimean Khanate (Tatars), Russia, the Soviet Union (Russian FSFR then Ukraine SSR), then Ukraine, then Russia.
    It was often the case that the hinterland was held by one steppe nomad people or another while at the same time, the coast was held by one of the larger trading empires.

  37. Failed Scholar

    @ Bukko Boomeranger

    No, I meant it only as a rhetorical question. Being a ‘friend’ of America in South Vietnam’s case meant the United States upped and ditched the country to it’s fate (although you are correct, Thieu himself survived into exile). I can’t recall who said it, but they made the point that the United States is a sea power that is far away from all the misery that it causes, and that the United States has no problem cutting their ‘allies’ loose and sailing away from the mess they created. Land powers and bordering powers are stuck with you no matter what, which makes for a different geopolitical dynamic.

  38. Failed Scholar

    @ Jessica

    You make a great point about that. I always chuckle when you hear some Westoid go on about the Crimean Tatars, as if they were somehow ‘more indigenous’ to that area than any of the others that have showed up over the centuries.

    Sevastopol, Simferopol, and Yalta were all ancient Greek colonies and still carry that heritage in their names to this day. Pericles was eating grain from this region hundreds of years before anyone even heard of the various Turkic speaking peoples.

  39. different clue

    @Failed Scholar,

    I haven’t thought about Thieu for decades. My memory is that when South Vietnam fell, he flew off into the sunset in a helicopter full of gold bars.

    By the way, I remember seeing a political cartoon decades ago in the Knoxville News Sentinel, by a cartoonist last-named Bassett. I have never been able to find it online.
    It may not be online. I will describe it as best I can. LBJ is looking sad and stumbling forward. He has a little Thieu puppet on his hand. The little Thieu puppet is grinning.
    The little Thieu puppet is holding a string leading to a ring in LBJ’s nose.

  40. nope

    Good. Fuck Ukraine. They literally have assassinated and attempted to assassinate american journalists. No better than Israel.

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