The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

September US Covid Update

So, it’s been a while since we talked about Covid. The United States has been in a long slow decline, which you can see in the graphs below (both based on CDC numbers, which will be understatements.)

Cases:

Deaths:

As the charts show, the death rate was highest at the start. This is both because the initial cases blew through old folks homes and because we have become better at treating cases.

The trend looks good, but a lot will depend on how school and university re-openings go. My guess is that we’ll see a spike in cases in about 2 to 3 weeks, then a larger spike about 2 to 3 weeks after the universities send their students home. It is also true that I’m seeing a lot of states starting to have an R over 1 (each case infects more than one person.)

The fundamental issue here is that the shutdowns were never done properly in most cases. Here’s an exception:

The key to defeating this was always to do a hard shutdown, with no one but actual essential workers. Doing so in a widespread would have required actual income support, a cancellation of all mortgage, rent and and other payments, and actual organization to get people the food and medicine and other supplies they needed to genuinely shelter in place. Mandatory masks on leaving the house, etc, etc…

This has been done successfully by multiple countries, it’s not an unsolved problem, but it was never done in the United States and the result is an endless misery of cases, never ending. Openings from such shut downs as were put in place were done too soon, as well, and there are going to wind up either being reversals of many of those openings or a decision made to just suck it up and live with the cases.

Doing the latter, of course, means that America will be a pariah nation, with Americans unable to travel to other countries until there is an effective vaccine and Americans take it.

There are multiple causes for why the US has performed this way, but the simplest is that rich people aren’t scared any more (the truly rich get tested every day, and so do the people who interact with them, plus they can stay isolated) and Covid has thus been mostly affecting poor people and minorities, with some middle class folks getting hit. (Middle class to actual rich is poor, however,  you aren’t human to them.)

(Chart from Bloomberg. Now imagine the number for those who really matter, who earn, say, five million or more.)

In addition, the rich have become much richer during Covid as small and medium businesses shut down, they have consolidated.

So it’s all good to those who rule America, in fact it’s a once a decade opportunity to consolidate their wealth and power (the last one being the financial crisis, which, yes, did leave them richer.)

The rich were bailed out, you weren’t, they’re getting richer, and that will continue.

Keep wearing masks, take vitamin D3 every day, and hunker down, this is going to go on for quite a while yet. and there’s a good chance of another bad wave.

I’m sorry if you’re American and not rich. Your elites kill you for money, and there is nothing I can do about it but what I’ve been doing for a couple decades now: warn you so you can try and prepare for the next way their depraved greed will endanger your life, health and prosperity. To be sure, there are countries where the citizens have it worse, but few where it is more needless.


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57 Comments

  1. Thomas B Golladay

    Cases are going down because T-cell immunity is kicking in. The first wave is the largest and worse, and kills those with co-morbidities. This is what we saw in Sweden and South Dakota, both of which never locked down and just let it blow through after telling everyone to take precautions.

    Also what we are seeing across America is areas that already got hit hard are seeing few if any new cases while areas that avoided the first hit are seeing spikes in cases, but not hospitalizations because enough information has leaked out that people are now taking Zinc Ionophores and Zinc.

    Africa where HCQ is available over the counter has largely been spared. Asia where Big Pharma has largely been bitch slapped in line, Zinc Ionophores are being used extensively.

    We know how to solve and treat this, but Big Pharma runs the show and Trump and the Governors are not putting them in line, each for their own reasons.

  2. Willy

    The reason why poor people are poor is because they don’t have any money. I have all kinds of other bits of simple-seeming wisdom because everything I ever needed to know I learned back in Kindergarten. Sometimes it’s not so complex.

    So I try telling such things to these moral conservatives. I say that the reason why we went from Bruce Jenner All American Wheaties Box Hero, to “Caitlyn” modeling women’s fashions on the sociopathic Ellen Show, is mostly because we have a culture where our top leadership can get away with whatever it is they want to. If they can ruin the world while lying about it, then why can’t Bruce get away with a little feminine cosplay?

  3. GlassHammer

    Ian, in our COVID discussions on this site herd immunity and HQC not only propagate but go unremarked.

    It looks like some degree of acceptance has occurred.

    So I have to ask, do you endorse these arguments?

    I am genuinely curious what your thoughts are on these two areas of discussion.

  4. Ian Welsh

    I rarely censor comments and anything said by anyone in comments except me is not endorsed. Having any other policy opens up a huge series of problems.

  5. NR

    Glass Hammer: It’s even worse than that, there are flat-out COVID deniers who comment here sometimes and get away with it.

  6. GlassHammer

    Ian, I understand.

    To be clear I wasn’t calling for censorship.

    I just view “your content” as both your formal articles/posts and the commentary on display. I view all sites in this manner and probably always will. (It’s just how I interpret what I see, but I would not insist others do the same.)

    That’s why I wanted to square the comments with your thoughts.

    Thank you for taking the time to respond and I apologize if you stated all of this in the past, I just couldn’t recall seeing it.

  7. Guest

    Forget about the will to do anything needed, people in the US can’t even *conceive* of basic common sense steps. I have never heard anyone even suggest banning people from bringing their herds of uncontrolled brats into stores, and for whatever reason, they do that more now than before covid.

    And I’m pretty sure if I said it out loud I would get incredulous stares like suggesting sending the little shits to the moon. UNPOSSIBLE to leave a 10 year old at home unsupervised. Unpossible to leave your younger kids home under the supervision of your 12 year old, because modern twelve year olds have the maturity of kindergartners. And 40 year old men still think they can hang with skateboarders.

  8. Keith in Modesto

    “The key to defeating this was always to do a hard shutdown, with no one but actual essential workers. Doing so in a widespread would have required actual income support, a cancellation of all mortgage, rent and and other payments, and actual organization to get people the food and medicine and other supplies they needed to genuinely shelter in place. Mandatory masks on leaving the house, etc, etc…”

    All that could have absolutely been done and done well, by mobilizing the military and the USPS, giving everyone an account at a newly created public bank (maybe at the Post Office) and having the FED automatically depositing funds there each week, etc. But that would have required our political leadership to actually believe that the government can solve social problems. And the super wealthy who really call the shots do not want that kind of precedent being set. Not now, after decades of neoliberal indoctrination (“Government is not the solution to our problem, government is the problem,” — Ronald Reagan) have firmly established in the minds of the professional/managerial class that any government is at best a necessary evil and at worst The Enemy. That would be Collectivism. Communism. Better dead than Red, baby.

  9. Ian Welsh

    I very much DO NOT view commenters as part of my content. OMG. If I did, half the comments would not appear, trust me on that.

    It’s a place where people can talk among each others. If it gets completely out of control (it did once) I put on pre-approval of comments, but even then I let thru stuff I sure as hell don’t agree with, even stuff I very much disagree with.

    One thing to remember is that the vast majority of people who read the posts don’t read the comments, and of those a still smaller group make up the commenters.

    If more people read the comments, I might be more censorious, but I trust that people who read comments these days understand that they should apply a heaping pile of salt, and that regular readers of comments get to know the regular commenters, and form their own opinions about who to trust.

    Also, I do not usually follow comments closely, a policy I decided on some years ago. So… again, comments are for other people more than me.

  10. js

    An interesting test on HQC would be India, they stockpiled it, and they have cases, 2nd in the world now after only the much less populated U.S. of course.

    As for herd immunity it seems debated in legitimate circles and most would put a threshold much higher than any that is likely achieved HOWEVER I don’t think it means what people think it means. Suppose 20% of the population was infected, perhaps that is enough to slow the rate of transmission enough that it poses no threat to overwhelm the hospitals, but the other 80% still are personally vulnerable if this thing spreads slowly at a steady rate rather than exponentially through the population. I don’t see any means by which it could be otherwise when even with vaccinations for measles, measles clusters have broken out among anti-vaxers. So I think a discussion of whether at some point exponential spread becomes impossible regardless of masks, openings etc., somehow is assumed to be some magic cloak of immunity for those with no actual immunity.

  11. ProNewerDeal

    Ian, I contend that the majority of US big business would have increased profits in the next 6 month period, IF a nationwide 6-wk lockdown with temporary UBI were enacted. The initial 6 weeks obviously would have lower profits, but the overall 6-month profits would be increased relative to the status quo. Data scientist Mr. Gu from covid19-projections site referenced that OpenTable restuarant sales data was down even in states like GA that had a minimal/insufficient lockdown. Sales are down in many industries due to potential consumers’ fear of COVID risk.

    Assuming Prof. Thomas Ferguson “Investment Theory Of Politics” is true (which I personally do) that most US politicians are mere puppets of their Billionaire & S&P500 CXO campaign funders, why does this Funder Oligarch class not insist to their politrickian puppets on such a 6-wk lockdown?

    Perhaps your point about oligopolistic consolidation with small/medium business closing would lead to greater upcoming 5-year profits, even if upcoming 6-month profits are down, & that could be why the Funder Oligarch class is not demanding 6-wk lockdown? (Side note: this would contradict the notion that US Capitalists are short-term quarterly profits, uncaring about the next 5 years IBGYBG).

    Perhaps it is a fear of showing the “bad example” of the US Federal Gov’t deficit spending for 80% or 99%er concrete material benefit that the 6-wk lockdown with UBI would show, as oppose to traditional big Federal Gov’t spending on 1%er interest like Endless Wars or 2B2F bailouts? That the Funder Oligarchs would rather sacrifice upcoming 6 month profits that even show 1 “glitch in the matrix” that deficit spending for concrete material benefits for the actual public is possible?

    Ian, what am I missing here?

  12. GlassHammer

    “I very much DO NOT view commenters as part of my content. OMG. If I did, half the comments would not appear, trust me on that.” – Ian

    I understand, I just don’t draw a separation in that manner (at least not by default) because if/when the commentaries become largely disconnected from the main content I can’t get a handle on what the site is trying to show me.

    It is as if I am seeing the letter X and talking about X while many see the letter Y and are talking about Y. (Sorry for the odd explanation, I would provide a better one if I could.)

  13. Willy

    IMHO, you cant talk Sweden without talking about all of the countries immediately surrounding Sweden. Norway, Finland and Denmark appear to be reporting significantly better covid success than Sweden is. What’s up with that? Those folks all look and politicize the same to me.

    Meanwhile the USA, with the best health care system in the world, is having covid success similar to the likes of Brazil and India, with of all their favelas and slums. Should we be comparing that to them?

    Finally, Jordan Peterson went to Serbia to be treated because “North American health care sucks”. Not sure what’s up with that either.

    There seems to be much for us rabble to be able to discuss here.

  14. S Brennan

    Since many who disagree with Ian’s view state that at the onset I don’t see how one would become confused and so helpless that they need the Blog host’s help in making sense of the world.

    Now, that’s not to say that it hasn’t become popular for people to attempt to censor those that they disagree with…by appealing to the blogger…by running multiple comments using long quotes and all the other bullshit that people do to drown out views that they don’t agree with during political years.

    Generally, after a election is decided many such commenters disappear for two, or, more normally, four years. That said, this year may be different in that regard since various DNCers have announced a priori that should Biden lose in November, the 2020 election will be contested until 2024. According to Kamala/Hillary Kiev style riots will continue until Kamala er..ah..Mr. Biden has been installed in office…the gullible seem ready to sacrifice their well being for Kamala/Hillary’s pleasure…so why wouldn’t they not want to give it a go?

    I disagree with much of this post by Ian on Covid-19, and I note, my prediction 06/27/20* based on seasonal D3 levels have come true far more accurately than I could have hoped and…far more accurately than Ian’s predictions. But so effing what? Ian’s an intellectually honest blogger, I have no bone to growl over. Besides, who wants to be a lone Cassandra calling shots, watching the balls drop and then having to listen to others, who almost always miss the call, pontificate on why now is the time to bring the wooden horse through the city gates?

    =====================

    * 27 June 2020 –

    “There are two graphs in links below, one is infections/day, the other deaths/day. While correlation is not cause and there should be a 5-15 day lag between infection and death rate, it’ll be interesting to see what the death rate does in the upcoming weeks. Will the death rate spike to meet the infection rate or, not?

    Vitamin D3, or the lack thereof was shown to have a correlation to hospitalization & death. With the solar day at it’s peak during the 2 months preceding and following 21 June it will interesting to note how a population nearing their seasonal peak of vitamin D3 absorption fares against Covid-19/SARS II.

    I know all “serious” people accept Fauci/CDC’s admonition that there can be no effective treatments administered at this time..we must await a vaccine*. Still it is an interesting thought experiment. Since correlation is not cause, if the death rates do not rise to the mid 2000s/day in the upcoming week it would not necessarily prove that D3 is a factor, however, the opposite is not true, if the daily deaths do rise to the mid 2000s…Fauci/CDC will be proven correct, D3 is worthless in combating SARS II. Interesting; as Spock would say.

    If by chance, D3 has a negative effect on Covid-19/SARSII like it did on SARS I, [something we won’t know for years with the type of certainty CDC requires], we, the United States of America, might have ass-backwardly stumbled into a bit of luck…in spite of all parties concerned best efforts. We may see a large portion of the population infected during a period time when the risk of hospitalization/death are at minimum. And we need luck at this time, not further politicization.”

  15. marku52

    PND, Kalecki figured this out back int he ’40s. Capitalist profits would be higher in high growth full employment economy, why do the capitalists not prefer it?

    Because they prefer fearful workers terrified of the lash of unemployment.

    They prefer the power to the money.

    “Kalecki believed that the full employment delivered by Keynesian policy would eventually lead to a more assertive working class and weakening of the social position of business leaders, causing the elite to react to the erosion of their political power and force a displacement of that policy, in spite of profits being higher than under a laissez-faire system.

    From the Kalecki wiki.

  16. GlassHammer

    ProNewerDeal

    The interest of owners, CEOs, and boards of directors, do not necessarily align with interest to keep a business open and running. (They don’t always earn from the health and strength of the company many of them earn as they diminish that health and strength.)

    Decisions and consequences/rewards from those decisions are based on the time sensitivity of the person making them. Many will take a short term reward for a Devastating long term consequences.

    I suspect the primary reason owners are not leaning that hard on politicians is that they already know if their company will or won’t survive the next 12 months.

  17. Ian Welsh

    American elites, in general, seem more interested in owning/controlling more of a smaller pie than having higher profits but lower control/ownership of a larger pie. This has been a very long term matter: if US elites wanted higher growth, they would pursue high demand policies not so driven by credit, and they haven’t pursued such policies for about 40 years + now.

    Also, they prefer financialized profits, which they consider secure, as oppose to genuine capitalist profits based on production and sales, which are less secure.

    There are exceptions, but most of the American elite now are rentiers and financial elites: they don’t want actual competition, and they find the rewards of control far greater than the rewards of genuine widespread growth, which would leave them richer but less internally powerful.

    Edit: Yes, Kalicki is/was right.

  18. GM

    It needs to be added that it wasn’t just that the rich felt insulated from COVID that was the reason for not doing a proper shutdown.

    You yourself listed the things that need to be done, and all of those are completely unacceptable to the rich.

    1. Debt cancellation? This is the most sacrilegious one. It’s not that they need those 4-6 months of debt and they can’t live with a one-off cancellation, the problem is the precedent that this sets. Debt is how wealth gets transferred from the many to the few. The principle that debts are to be repaid in full no matter what has to be held sacrosanct, if you cancel debts once and show people that this can in fact be done, they will get the idea that it can be done again and again.

    2. Government providing direct assistance to people? Same thing — it’s not about how much that will cost, it’s the precedent and the principle of it.

    3. Government telling business what to do (i.e. mandating corporations to produce masks, ventilators, etc.)? Also unacceptable, government has to be subservient to and under the control of business.

    4. Then there is the one that you missed, which is that there could have been no effective response to the pandemic without healthcare being free at the point of service for the duration of the crisis, so that people are not afraid to seek medical help and can be found, tested and isolated. For obvious reasons, that’s completely unacceptable and also a precedent that cannot be allowed to be set.

    More generally, you can’t find a pandemic without society acting together, redistributing resources as needed, and subjugating the individual interest to the common good. And again, this is exactly the opposite of the principles on which the USA has been run for many decades now.

    Of course, all the above assumes a starting point somewhere in March at which infections are already widespread and a lockdown is the only solution.

    But history did not start at that point. Why things were allowed to get to that point remains a huge unanswered question, that raises a lot of very unpleasant suspicions…

  19. GlassHammer

    “Since many who disagree with Ian’s view state that at the onset I don’t see how one would become confused and so helpless that they need the Blog host’s help in making sense of the world.” – S Brennan

    I view sites like products so I evaluate them in their entirety, everything included. (I doubt I am the only one who does this but whether or not others do is up to them.)

    And since it a product how I conceive of its quality and utility is relevant to my continued use.

    “Now, that’s not to say that it hasn’t become popular for people to attempt to censor those that they disagree with…by appealing to the blogger…” – S Brennan

    Look, data curating and data integrity demand data removal.
    There is no way to maintain a sound source of information online without censorship.
    A data free for all is just a collection of garbage at the end of the day.
    So yes, people appeal for data integrity to keep the site functional.

    There can’t be a zero censorship environment, it doesn’t work.
    There can only be a minimal censorship environment but even that must change if it’s required.

  20. Mel

    “I view sites like products so I evaluate them in their entirety, everything included. (I doubt I am the only one who does this but whether or not others do is up to them.)”

    And that’s why Ian can’t personally endorse your comments. Yet here they are.

    🙂

  21. nihil obstet

    Beyond a certain point, material wealth has no additional material benefits. It has relational benefits. That is, you can have all the clothes, huge houses, luxury cars, and servants that you can even think of, but you always want more status, more deference. If you have 80% of $500 billion while others you deal with get 20%, you would have $400 billion. If you could get half of a larger pie, say $1 trillion, you’d have $500 billion. Would you prefer that? Not if others in the society now get the other half. You’d have no more material benefits than you had before (you haven’t magically increased the amount of clothes you can wear), but others have increased their status.

    I like having a comment section that I can comment in without very much risk of being banned. I’ve seen too many interesting commenters get banned from blogs for disagreeing with the blogger on an apparently sensitive issue.

  22. GlassHammer

    “And that’s why Ian can’t personally endorse your comments. Yet here they are.”

    Sigh….

    Like I said it’s how I view it.

    No one has to endorse my comments but it’s odd (to me at least) to think of them as something outside of the site or outside of its content.

    Frankly if Ian wanted to remove them (any of them) I would understand since it derailed the topic.

    I don’t share Ian’s view on comments, and I couldn’t manage them the way he does. (I lean more towards total site data curating. It’s a byproduct of my current and prior profession.) Ian isn’t wrong but since I didn’t understand his approach and had to explain mine we ended up at this point in the comments.

    In the end I got an answer to something I was thinking about for awhile.

  23. Ian Welsh

    I understand the total site curating model, and it has a lot of advantages. Just not what I want to do with this site.

  24. Willy

    Maybe we could do an experiment.

    Commenters from the wealthiest 1% get their comments posted in large print. Those from the bottom 50% get their comments posted in a font size proportional to their wealth, which I’d think wouldn’t even be readable without a microscope. However, those from the bottom could ‘combine their asset value’, but then they’d either have to speak all together as a group, or vote for one member to speak for them all. It might take a few hundred people commenting together as a group before their comments would be even be viewable, but that’d be part of the rules of our little experiment.

    The experiment could be called, The Way Capitalistic Freedom Really Works Commenting Experiment. Or something.

  25. Zachary Smith

    Are Masks a Kind of Vaccine Against COVID-19?

    Answer: That’s the way to bet.

    More recently, studies conducted in hamsters seem to show that “higher doses of administered virus led to more severe manifestations of COVID-19,” Gandhi and Rutherford wrote. And when the hamsters were protected with simulated masking, they “were less likely to get infected, and if they did get infected, they either were asymptomatic or had milder symptoms than unmasked hamsters,” the experts noted.

    For ethical reasons, similar trials in humans haven’t been conducted. But population studies seem to support the “mask as vaccine” theory. For example, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported that by mid-July about 40% of coronavirus infections were asymptomatic, but in areas of the United States where mask wearing was very prevalent, that number rose to 80%.

    So wearing a mask, and properly, is the way to go. Whenever I must go into some especially unhealthy-looking place, I add side protectors to my eyeglasses. Once back in the car, I have some of the amber (25% ethanol) mouthwash in a small bottle for gargling. Does it help? Who knows, but my mood is surely improved. (An old folded bath towel does good service as a “spittoon”.)

    This year was a splendid one for elderberries, and all of mine got processed into syrup. My recipe was on the order of 6 cups juice, 1 cup sugar, and 1 cup whiskey. The latter items serve two functions – pure elderberry juice has an awful taste, and these provide some coverup. They also prevent the syrup from quite freezing, and a little spoon can remove as much of the berry slush as a person feels he needs for a dose.

  26. Zachary Smith

    Severe coronavirus more deadly than heart attacks among young adults: study

    That’s the title of a FOX article. Another piece:

    Health experts urge athletes to get heart screenings after COVID-19 recovery

    A mucked-up heart can result from Covid. Even for those who “recover”. I’m mighty cynical about millionaire “coaches” who try to bully their players into ignoring the risks. Lots of parents are also part of the problem.

  27. GM

    nihil obstet

    If you have 80% of $500 billion while others you deal with get 20%, you would have $400 billion. If you could get half of a larger pie, say $1 trillion, you’d have $500 billion. Would you prefer that? Not if others in the society now get the other half.

    Yeah, and that’s kind of what happened with COVID — all the talk about “economy vs. lives” was complete BS — the only way to truly save the economy was to eliminate the virus. Restaurant, hotels, etc. business are just not built to run on 60-70% capacity.

    But to save the economy as a whole it would have been necessary for the some of the ultrarich’s wealth to be transferred to the masses.

    Can’t have that.

    Of course, not only was that not allowed to be an option, the ultrarich used the situation to actually increase both their absolute and relational wealth…

  28. S Brennan

    Beside the death toll, Covid-19 infections leading to ICU admissions & hospitalizations declined in August. What gives?

    >SOMETHING< besides "herd immunity" and "better treatments" is changing disease outcomes. Since the CDC still does not recommend ANY treatment prior to hospitalization, it can't be early treatment unless…unless the whole northern hemisphere was subject to some massive UNKNOWN/INVOLUNTARY drug therapy during the summer months.

    Any ideas? I'm stumped, can't think of anything, you guys?

  29. anon

    States are returning to normal as if this is all over. My state is in the process of opening gyms and students will be participating in organized contact sports this fall. The stupidity, selfishness, and carelessness are astounding. No one is safe unless you are in the top 1-5% and don’t work for anyone else nor need to work a full-time job for the next several years. In America there will be a second wave of COVID. There will be a stock market collapse. There will be a real estate market collapse. Just be prepared for this starting this fall into 2021 Some of my friends have liquidated their stocks and are hunkering down for the worst next year. Other friends have parents who have lost their jobs and are lucky to still have theirs in order to help their parents stay afloat. As we already know, many people won’t be as lucky nor have the support of other family members to avoid eviction and homelessness. I am frightened of what 2021 will bring. I’m thankful to have my job and be in a house that is paid off, but I expect to be isolated at home for most of winter when COVID and flu cases spike. We are living in awful times.

  30. @Willy
    “IMHO, you cant talk Sweden without talking about all of the countries immediately surrounding Sweden. Norway, Finland and Denmark appear to be reporting significantly better covid success than Sweden is. What’s up with that?”

    If you’re genuinely interested in understanding this, see the excellent youtube “Viral Issue Crucial Update Sept 8th: the Science, Logic and Data Explained!”

  31. anon y'mouse

    while i personally have asked Ian to moderate at times simply to prevent the comment section from devolving into the most base ad hominems, other than that i appreciate his extremely light hand.

    if you have a problem with understanding that what is written here comes from their individual writers and NOT Ian, and have little to do with Ian, then that is your problem. the same order prevails in most comment forums on the internet, subject to variable whims of individual places. you must not get out very much, even virtually.

    please stop trying to turn the place into what you “expect” from a news source. Ian is writing opinion and so are the commentators. Ian backs up his opinions in various ways, but that’s about it. places can become “curated” to death. see NakedCapitalism.com, or Wikipedia.

  32. S Brennan

    anon y’mouse, I think it fair to say we rarely agree on much but…I am in complete agreement with your comment above, good one.

  33. Hugh

    All the screw-ups have made the situation in the US far worse than it needed to be, but given where we are, we won’t be past this until there is a vaccine and a large portion of Americans ~70% have taken it.

    It would be nice to see a public information campaign ramping up to sell the importance of taking the vaccine. But so far it all seems pretty passive.

  34. ProNewerDeal

    Thanks for the replies. Ian & several others endorsed the Kalecki notion of the US 1%/Oligarchs preferring relative social control & relative net worth over absolute net worth/profits

    However, the US Oligarchs seem to be a unique outlier in taking this Kalecki-style approach of refusing a nationwide lockdown during COVID-19 among rich nations, even among the Anglo rich nations. Anglo nations Canada/Australia/New Zealand for instance did take mitigation measures including the lockdown & are among the best nations in the world in terms of a low 1-week prevalence. Covid19-projections has Estimated Currently Infected at US 1.04% in contrast to Canada 0.08% & Australia 0.16%.

    What explains this contrast?

  35. S Brennan

    ProNewerDeal; I can’t believe having to say this, to compare the USA to New Zealand shows a complete lack of geographic knowledge and scale. Unbelievable…in this day and age we have a geographically illiterate public.

    BTW ProNewerDeal, back in Feb/Mar I pointed out that it was the end of Summer in the southern hemisphere and that might influence infection rates just the same as it does in the northern hemisphere.

  36. GM

    @ProNewerDeal

    New Zeland is a very simple case — that is where the billionaires have their post-apocalypse survival mansions and bunkers.

    One can’t help but see a connection between that fact and the decision to pursue elimination of the virus from the very beginning. The only “western” country to do so.

    In fact back when COVID was initially spreading out of China, there were flight tracker maps floating around that showed all the private planes launching from North America and Eastern Asia in the direction of NZ. And Australia too (I in fact know of a few people belonging to the “elite” who took long-term vacations in Australia and are still there — it is not as good a survival destination as NZ, but it is the second best thing).

    So that may have something to do with Australia locking down hard too, even now, when they are doing it for a second time. However, there also seems to be a very strong push toward reopening too (check the incessant anti-lockdown propaganda that Sky News Australia is pumping out all day), so there is clear tension there (while there is no such problem in NZ).

    We will see what happens.

    But I have this feeling that these far flung outposts of a civilization tend to preserve the energy, vigor, and fighting spirit that made that civilization rise in the first place for quite a bit longer after the core areas have entered terminal decadence (which is why in post-Roman Western Europe it was Ireland, seemingly the unlikeliest of all places, that preserved the most of the late Antiquity civilization during the dark age). So that might explain why we see this difference in response.

    Canada I would really be hesitant to call a success. They got to 250 deaths per million very quickly before they got it under control, which is too high to declare victory, but more importantly, this is the same “having in under control” that places like Spain, Italy, France and the UK achieved, i.e. the virus was not eliminated, there were still hundreds of cases a day, and thus it was just a matter of time before it all blows up again. Which is now happening in Europe, and it looks like cases are also going up in Canada. And they are having kids go to school there too.

    Let’s see how the winter goes in the various countries in the Northern hemisphere before we evaluate their response. This is a marathon, not a sprint. There are very serious reasons to expect a complete catastrophe in a lot of places, not just the US, starting a couple months from now.

  37. GM

    @S Brennan

    There does appear to be a major seasonal effect indeed. The virus is not exactly stopped by the summer, as the catastrophic situations that developed in places with eternal summer like Guayaquil, Iquitos and Manaus clearly demonstrated, but based on what happened in the Southern hemisphere it does appear to spread much more easily in cold dry winter weather, as is the case with all respiratory viruses (which also means cases are on average more severe, because of higher initial viral load, compounding the problem).

    And that is as ominous for the coming 6-7 months in the Northern hemisphere as it gets.

    But NZ is not a case of that effect.

    They decided to pursue elimination there as a deliberate general governmental policy. While in the US the equivalent deliberate general governmental policy was to let it rip through the population. This had nothing to do with the weather.

  38. ProNewerDeal

    Have there been any empirical studies about work productivity by occupation, for the subset of occupations that have been mostly working remotely during the COVID pandemic, vs the pre-COVID physically go to the office/worksite status quo ante?

    I feel we are fortunate that the COVID pandemic happened after the mass adoption of PCs & the internet. Had the pandemic happened say before 2000, I feel (at least in the USA) many employers would forced workers to work at the traditional worksite & the Infection & Death Rates would be much worse.

    OTOH, if the PERCEPTION of the execs is that the remote work productivivty is even 80% of pre-COVID level for a given occupation/work activity, I fear massive offshore outsourcing in the next few years. There has now been a multi-month experiment in remote work, presumably on an unprecedented scale for many work groups & organizations. For example, assume a 10-person USA work group, an exec could PERCEIVE that he could lay off 5 of the 10 USians, hire 8 in India, have more productivity at lower labor cost (which may or may not be reality but the PERCEPTION not reality will drive the exec’s decision).

    Pick your poison: remote work-possible occupations have Offshore Outsourcing risk
    vs.
    remote work-Impossible face-to-face occupations have COVID/future pandemic health risks

  39. S Brennan

    GM,

    In reference to:

    “And that is as ominous for the coming 6-7 months in the Northern hemisphere as it gets”

    Please read up-thread to my original comment on this thread, thanks.

  40. Zachary Smith

    Though I’m getting mighty tired of the Covid situation, I can’t figure out any way it is going to end, let alone end well. There was a chance early in the year to grab the bull by the horns and do some useful things. It wasn’t done. Trump didn’t even try, and even if he had, I’m not sure if the US of A is capable of doing such things anymore. From the Digby site:

    The spiral begins when people forget that controlling the pandemic means doing many things at once. The virus can spread before symptoms appear, and does so most easily through five P’s: people in prolonged, poorly ventilated, protection-free proximity.

    These and other things didn’t happen, and because of Trump’s sh*t-stirring, they’re not going to happen. Idiots now feel “empowered”, and the right-wing noise machine is going to keep them that way.

    In a pandemic without a functioning and capable national government, the separate States will do as they please. All it takes is one dingleberry Governor to spoil everything, and we have many of that breed.

    Cutting to the chase, Reagan’s efforts to shrink Government to the point it can be drowned in a bathtub have been successful. The rich bastards run things now, and when they do it badly there are nearly zero consequences for their own precious selves.

    https://www.oftwominds.com/blogsept20/melts-into-air9-20.html

    How will the status quo collapse? An open conflict–a civil war, an insurrection, a coup–appeals to our affection for drama, but the more likely reality is a decidedly undramatic dissolution in which all the elements of our way of life we reckoned were solid and permanent simply melt into air, to borrow Marx’s trenchant phrase.

    In other words, Rome won’t be sacked by Barbarians, or ignite in an insurrectionary conflagration–everything will simply stop working as those burdened with the impossible task of keeping a failed system glued together simply walk away.

    Ordinary things aren’t working any more. Mostly that’s because the rich bastards don’t use the same infrastructure as the rest of us. They have their own private jets. They live in gated communities where the water systems and and sewer plants and all the rest are kept in good repair. They have their own schools, so why waste anything on the those for the peasants. “Public” schools are beginning to greatly resemble the Segregated schools of years past – places where damned little money was spent. They also have their very own medical systems, and virtually unlimited subsidies from what remains of Government.

    While the Federal Reserve and the Billionaire Class push the stock market to new highs to promote a false facade of prosperity, everyday life will fall apart. The New Nobility’s primary characteristics are infinite greed and near-infinite hubris, and so they will wrongly assume that the professional and working classes they need to keep slaving away for wages that are losing purchasing power are as greedy and blind as themselves.

    Anybody who imagines things will get better with President Biden needs to see a shrink. IMO Biden has done a hell of a lot more damage to the nation than has Trump, and that’s really saying something.

    Regarding the Covid, I’ll get the vaccinations when they are shown to be safe. And if another variation of these vaccines becomes available in this country, I’ll try to get that one too. In the meantime, a person can only hunker down and cultivate serenity.

  41. Plague Species

    Biden, when asked in an interview, while in Michigan, about Woodward’s latest reveal said what Trump has done is doing is “almost” criminal. Almost? Get out of my face with that preemptively exonerating bullshit. What Trump has done and is doing is not ALMOST illegal. It is illegal. Egregiously illegal. He is an admitted mass murderer endorsed and supported by the Elite. He’s an Elite Killing Machine. The ultimate bioterrorist. The Bioterrorist In Chief.

    Politics as usual will not defeat Trump. A book a day panhandled by the liberal faction of the media will not defeat Trump although it will enrich his faux detractors who have made prodigious bank off of him. Trump is a massive black hole when it comes to politics as usual. The former tried & true political antidotes don’t work with or on Trump. Trump eviscerates politics as usual. All of it is sucked up and destroyed in the chaotic black hole that is Donald Trump.

    There is only one way to get rid of Donald Trump, the Elite’s Golem. Their Precious. Politics won’t and can’t do it. Trying to vote him out of office won’t do it. Relying on Congress to constitutionally remove him won’t do it namely because that’s also politics as usual. There is no will. He’s too good for their bank accounts. Why ruin a good thing.

    Once the Golem is dispatched from this realm, if ever, then those who created and enabled and promoted, tacitly and implicitly, the Golem that is Trump must also be dispatched from the realm. Anything short of this is not a full measure and anything short of a full measure will prove unsuccessful.

    Make it 2020 is 1917 versus 2020 is 1984.

  42. Plague Species

    All the screw-ups have made the situation in the US far worse than it needed to be…

    Screw-ups? They weren’t and they aren’t screw-ups. We know that now, or at least we should. I’ve known it all along and have said as much. To call what has been done and not been done “screw-ups” is to let Trump and the Elite off the hook. Trump not only hasn’t done anything to manage the pandemic but in addition has gone out of his way to prevent it from being managed and he has goaded people to do exactly the wrong thing all the while lining his pockets and the pockets of the Elite. There’s a saying. Take the money and run. Trump and the Elite are taking the money and have taken it but they’re not running. Why should they run? There is no threat. It’s like taking candy from babies, or better yet, like throwing rocks at toddlers, something Trump is quite skilled at considering it was his hobby growing up.

    ….we won’t be past this until there is a vaccine and a large portion of Americans ~70% have taken it.

    So many assume there will be an effective vaccine against this virus. I’m not so confident and in fact, my educated guess is there will never be one despite tghe propaganda to the contrary. Magic bullet thinking won’t rescue us from this virus.

    It would be nice to see a public information campaign ramping up to sell the importance of taking the vaccine. But so far it all seems pretty passive.

    Please tell me this is sarcasm. Trump is the public information campaign related to a vaccine. He has told us to expect it by October. I, for one, will not be receiving any vaccine even if it’s mandatory. The Elite have proven they are mass murderers every bit as much as their Golem Trump. We’re to believe the same malevolent scum who gave us the Golem Trump on a platter are going to save us with a vaccine? Save us for what? For further torture?

  43. Plague Species

    This is the Elite laughing in our faces. It’s the Elite telling us, as if it isn’t transparent enough, that they’re gaslighting ALL of us. Every day I imagine their torturous death. That is the honest truth. I pray that day comes soon. May they ALL die with extreme prejudice.

    https://twitter.com/daveweigel/status/1304195354372562947

  44. Ché Pasa

    Around here, the virus seemed to start among travelers returning from Europe, Egypt, New York and California. The terrible outbreak on the Navajo Nation was traced to brothers returning from a Christianist religious revival in Southern California and spreading the virus quickly among co-believers in Navajoland. Much more needs to be written about the Christianist determination to spread this virus as much as they can get away with.

    But the first cases here and many other places were among the rich or nearly rich. Then very quickly among the poor. Then a kind of wild spread through assisted living and nursing homes. Prisons and other detention sites. Etc.

    The rich seemed to figure out how to control it and survive it among themselves very soon after its first appearance — after a few losses, of course. Even among themselves they will sacrifice a few individuals to protect the rest of the herd.

    Avoiding contact with the potentially infected unwashed was, of course, crucial. But before they retreated to their guarded compounds, they were actively spreading the virus among their servants and factotums. Who then spread it among their own family and social circles. And so on.

    In the United States availability and quality of care and treatment largely depend on ability to pay and so those could pay were provided with “the best care” possible and (mostly) survived to retreat into their hermitages for the duration.

    There appeared to be a conscious decision (from where? from whom?) to let the old, weak, and especially the poor face the full brunt of the virus and in many cases just let them go. If they weren’t strong enough, rich enough, young enough, and yes, white enough to get the virus and survive, oh well. Poor devils, right?

    It’s very hard to counter that kind of decision making. We the rabble can’t force better care from those above us — who don’t care what happens to those below them anyway.

    As many others have pointed out, there was not a lot of mystery about how to effectively control the spread of the virus, nor after some early missteps, was effective prevention and treatment particularly mysterious in most cases. But decisions were made (by whom? where?) not to effectively control or treat the virus among the bulk of the population of the US, and a PR decision was made at the top to actively oppose effective control and treatment among certain groups.

    So the virus continues to rage among the vulnerable who can do little about it.

  45. @Ché Pasa

    “Avoiding contact with the potentially infected unwashed was, of course, crucial. But before they retreated to their guarded compounds, they were actively spreading the virus among their servants and factotums. Who then spread it among their own family and social circles. And so on.”

    So, obviously, the rich must have either fired all their servants; or else, forced them to bubble, NBA style, after 14 days in quarantine.

    Funny, but I haven’t heard about such a phenomena.

    Well, far be it from me to question your research into the doings of the rich people. You’re obviously an authoritative expert.

    “In the United States availability and quality of care and treatment largely depend on ability to pay and so those could pay were provided with “the best care” possible and (mostly) survived to retreat into their hermitages for the duration.”

    Do you understand, or don’t you, that the best prophylactics (vit D, hydroxychloroquine, zinc, selenium) are all rather cheap? Not to a poor person, but for most of the population? So, the de facto, main, modus operandi of the powers that be, which damaged the health of the population as a whole, was to suppress information regarding such? (And, in the case of HCQ, availability.)

    Chris Martenson has recently spanked the NIH for not doing randomized controlled trials of HCQ. And Dr. Campbell has recently spanked the WHO for not doing randomized controlled trials of Vitamin D. (They called for them, but never funded them.)

    See how that works? You can thus have poo-bahs like Fauci saying “no evidence for HCQ”, when he’s lying by omission, on the one hand (lots of other types of evidence for HCQ efficacy). And also lying by omission, on the other hand (not pushing for such studies; quite the opposite.)

    Now, if I’m to take you seriously, “the rich” are all quite happy with such suppression of information and research. As well as the suppression of availability of HCQ. Because, you say, they can get the “best care”.

    If so, they’re idiots. Even with the “best care”, you may be left with lifelong, or long lasting, damage to your heart, kidneys, etc. But such is their greed that they just tossed their dice, figuring that, at least if they die, they won’t need the increased wealth they would have sucked out of the lower classes.

    It’s sort of ironic that I’m spanking you for such a baseless fantasy, because I largely agree with you, if only you changed “the rich” to “the Medical Mafia”. It is old, old ‘news’ that inexpensive, effective therapies get suppressed by a Medical Mafia. And sure, the main underlying motive is almost surely profit (though some people would argue “control” and “depopulation”.)

    So, the type of greedy lowlife you (and I) believe exists are surely causing pain and suffering to millions. Unfortunately, you imagine a whole class of such people, orders of magnitude larger than the one actually doing the damage.

  46. “So, the de facto, main, modus operandi of the powers that be, which damaged the health of the population as a whole, was to suppress information regarding such? (And, in the case of HCQ, availability.)”

    Speaking of which, mercola.com is carrying an article “FDA Wants to Ban NAC Now That It Combats COVID-19”, dated Sep. 3.

  47. Chicago Clubs

    “it’s odd (to me at least) to think of them as something outside of the site or outside of its content.”

    I think it’s totally insane to view comments as part of a blog’s “product.” They’re virtually effortless to create while requiring a titanic effort to moderate, so unless you want comments shut off (frankly not a terrible idea) like a lot of newspapers, you should separate them in your mind.

  48. Ché Pasa

    Our Betters learned long ago, thousands of years ago, that the best prophylactic for them was to have as little contact with the rest of us as possible. That lesson has only been reinforced with the advent and spread of the Outbreak.

    They don’t go out to mix with the rabble, and in most cases they won’t even appear above/among them. Their lives are almost entirely separated from those of the masses, and they no longer need or want the personal contact servants they once did. Nearly everything they require can be done or provided without ever coming in contact with a member of the Lower Orders. When one has to be served personally, one has a highly trusted and tested-out-the-wahzoo retainer come in to the protected compound to do only what’s necessary and then leave. Nancy Pelosi’s Dye-Gate incident just showed how slow she’s been on the uptake. No one in her position goes out to get their hair done. The idea is absurd. That she did just shows that she hasn’t caught on to the New Reality. She’s still back in 1970.

    Treatment for the virus seems to be more refined than it was, and the barbaric insertion of ventilators hither and thither has been curbed. Oxygen saturation (as was used on Boris Johnson) seems to be preferred, but it depends on circumstance. Masking seems to work even better than drugs. Had masks been available and used/required at the outset, the spread of the virus might not have been stopped, but it would have slowed considerably.

    Masks were not available for months, however, unless one made them. Hand sanitizer wasn’t available for months. Even soap was hard to find. Disinfecting wipes still aren’t available. Bogus sanitizer, useless masks, and quacks with their crap “cures” flood the market.

    Same as it ever was.

    If HCQ were so effective then India and Brazil wouldn’t have so many cases, would they? But they do, as does the USofA, also awash in HCQ. (Disclaimer: I’ve been taking it for years but not for the virus. My doctor says some of his patients taking HCQ got the COVID just the same.)

  49. S Brennan

    Up thread a commenter referred to seasonal change as “weather”, implying that amount of daylight hours and the type of radiation received by organism over a three month period and that of a cloudy day are interchangeable. I beg to differ; the persistent lack of high inclination sunlight has a dramatic effect on biological organisms.

    Below is graph that shows average 25 OHD/vitamin D serum levels over the course of a year with two decades of flu season deaths graphed alongside. What is happening this year with Covid-19 deaths closely resembles this graph and ought to inform us of what well could happen if we do not now start to take precautions.

    Indeed, I wrote Ian the other day, [not to ask him to curate the comment section], but, to remind him that the season for change in average 25 OHD/vitamin D serum levels was about to occur alongside a new study* that showed 25 OHD administration** at initial hospitalization for Covid-19 led to a dramatic change in outcomes. It takes about 3 days for our bodies to metabolize D3 into 25 OHD, so keeping your D3 levels up should help your outcome as Covid-19 will spread more easily in the late-fall/winter/early-spring.

    As for the woulda, shoulda, coulda electioneering, whereby, the D’s hope Covid-19 will do for them what “Trump is a Russian Spy” could not, I’ll leave to political hacks***. As I’ve said many times before, endlessly talking about things you can not control, to the exclusion of things that you can control, things you can do for your immediate circle of Family, Friends and Colleagues does nothing for any cause you happen to champion. Be the guy who helped people get through this tragedy, not the guy who spends his time hectoring passersby from a soapbox.

    https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Seasonal-variations-of-serum-levels-of-vitamin-D-in-the-Nordic-countries-given-as_fig1_51127364

    *It was small and needs to be enlarged but, as the treatment is dirt cheap FDA/CDC/Fauci et al will have no interest in whether it works or not. It’s not clear to me if the FDA can ban the use of Calcifediol as a Covid-19 treatment; for now, the FDA doesn’t have to, as few know about it.

    **With standard treatment at that hospital

    *** Any honest look at the record will show that there was a government-wide failure, from both parties “leadership” and particularly, the Deep State which, as it always has, failed horribly but, managed, as it always has, to remain blameless.

  50. @Che Pasa

    I don’t know many details about HCQ use in India and Brazil. Do you? By details, I mean, what percentage of people get it prophylactically, what percentage get it during (presumed) early onset, etc. I do recall one of their medical groups endorsed it’s use.

    I did hear a US doctor, of Indian origin, Dr. Moheen Syed, recently talk about the severe level of vitamin D deficiency in India. I think he said about 65%, but I can’t access the transcript, right now. See “New Study – Vitamin D High Dose and COVID-19” on youtube channel Drbeen Medical Lectures. He goes into more detail about vitamin D against covid19 than anybody I’ve ever heard, before.

    The recent report out of Spain, that Dr. Syed talked about, has gotten a lot of press on independent youtube channels. (Laura Ingraham also briefly mentioned it.) It’s gotten attention because (IIRC), it was randomized, “placebo” controlled study, with a p value of about .001. (It wasn’t double blinded, though.) Both arms of the study were getting the “standard of care” in this hospital (or hospitals) in Spain, which included HCQ + azithromycin. However, one arm of the study was also given calcifediol, which is a form of vitamin D that is quickly converted to usable form by the body. (The vitamin D3 you buy from the store takes something like 5 days to be available, biologically.)

    So, in this study, HCQ was given after presentation of symptoms severe enough to land you in the hospital. No mention of zinc, that I recall. When no calcifediol was given, about 50% of the HCQ treated patients nevertheless had to go to ICU. So, again, late administration severely degrades it’s efficacy.

    Although I would question it’s ethics, additional data showing the same standard of care, with one arm getting calcifediol, and the other arm getting standard, oral, vitamin D3, would be of great interest. It’ inconceivable to me that standard D3 would be as useful, but that’s why you would do the experiment. So that you would know, for sure. I think Dr. Campbell claimed that you’d get the same results if the patients were given vitamin D3 5 days, earlier. Of course, in this wonderful world of ours, it’s not just the US government that is failing to protect their citizens by encouraging vitamin D sufficiency. So, the people presenting covid symptoms bad enough for a hospital visit are highly likely to be D deficient, and those 5 days could make all the difference.

    They were talking about it’s use in Brazil, in a recent (say about 2 weeks ago) Steve Bannon warroom show. They said there, the use of HCQ had also been politicized, in a manner analogous to red and blue states in the US, which similarly affected it’s availability. They also mentioned some Latin American country (Paraguay?), that had banned it, for a while. When their infection rate increased, they reversed the ban, and then their rates declined.

  51. S Brennan

    Metamars as I know you know;

    I posted that study’s abstract a few days ago:

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7456194/

    After researching the first reports on the study, I wrote my family, friends and colleagues a week before, I wrote Ian and before I posted the study on this site. I wrote Ian in the hope that he would write it up as self help post. As you see above he chose not to, instead he pushed for a harder shutdown, which, like purple unicorns, isn’t going to happen in the USA or any other large country. People are going hungry as we speak form the first shutdown. When I posted the study on a previous thread you buried my self-help post under a post that virtuously called for a charity to be set up, how’s that coming? I’ve tried to work with you in spite of our political differences but, for you, it’s all about you. Let me know when you get that virtuous charity of yours set-up?

    Metamars; I also wrote a prediction dated 27 June 2020 using the same data shown in Ian’s post and predicted the outcome you see Ian’s post above. That was based on serum vitamin D level being seasonally induced factor. I know you want to be the smartest guy in the room just from your youtube watching but, unless you have a post predating 27 June 2020 on how serum vitamin D levels will influence Covid-19 hospitalization/mortality rates you are behind the curve.

    Calcifediol which quickly converts to 25OHD was used, like almost every other treatment for Covid-19 [or more properly SARS II] was used in the first SARS I epidemic with positive results. In fact, if you want to get ahead go study all the successful treatments employed in SARS I.

    As for “leaders” not pushing the results, I hope to hell that Trump doesn’t mention the Reina Sofia University Hospital Study at all.

    Why? Because if Trump mentions 25OHD we will spend the next [week/month..until election] listening to how Calcifediol is a deadly poison, that Calcifediol has killed thousands of people, maybe millions…how a wife murdered her husband with Calcifediol…blah…blah…blah. That’s not Trump’s fault, that’s the D’s/Deep-State & Media-Minions.

    The fact of the matter is; D’s/Deep-State have every incentive to increase the misery factor in this country to help an senile man, who had a hand in much of the evil that besets this nation, and a viperous sleezebag, who’s ambition knows no moral limit, achieve the Presidency of the United States.

    We watched the D’s/Deep-State & Media-Minions four year long coup finally fail in March of 2020 with effing “Trump is a Russian Spy” shit. No matter how much you hate Trump, the ability of the D’s/Deep-State & Media-Minions to desecrate the election process with half the nation willing to go along with the shit-show inured to their own long-term self-interests should concern those individuals capable of understanding how the 3-letter agency’s “color revolutions” actually work.

  52. @S Brennan

    your post is equal parts bizarre, insulting, and showing signs of a persecution complex. It may also be manipulative, but that depends on whether you were writing things disingenuously, to create an effect; or else actually believed what you wrote.

    So, you “tried to work with me”, but whatever “work” you had in mind is a mystery to me (except for me to ferret out information of interest to you; e.g., desirable dose of quercetin. I pointed you twice to an interview of Zelenko by Dr. Drew. You thanked me neither time.) Needless to say, I never agreed to working with you on anything.

    You claim I “buried” your post “under a post that virtuously called for a charity to be set up, how’s that coming?” So you think I write posts of a certain length, so that I can somehow maliciously suppress your posts – at least for people who are in SUCH a rush to scroll towards the end of the comments? Are you really unaware as to how bizarre this seems?

    The charity: water project is very impressive, and I just threw the idea of an analogous effort out there, as an act of hopeful desperation. (I’m also thinking of going into NYC and pitching to whoever they have on staff. Not for ME to do, but for THEM to do.) Why, then, do you ask “how’s that coming”? Did I indicate, or even hint, that I would be trying to organize a charity, myself? It seems like you couldn’t resist an assumed strawman, as a pretext for taking a couple swipes at me.

    “Why? Because if Trump mentions 25OHD we will spend the next [week/month..until election] listening to how Calcifediol is a deadly poison, that Calcifediol has killed thousands of people, maybe millions…how a wife murdered her husband with Calcifediol…blah…blah…blah. That’s not Trump’s fault, that’s the D’s/Deep-State & Media-Minions.”

    Boo, hoo. You again show a tribalistic tendency to excuse Trump. It’s too bad you don’t care as much about your fellow Americans dying from cheaply preventable diseases, as much as Trump’s re-election chances. Oh, your argument has a sort of circular, self-defeating logic to it. By such “logic”, though, Trump should have gone silent on HCQ as soon as the media started their histrionic, HCQ-related smearing. I.e., be an even bigger coward than he demonstrated.

    In point of fact, I think Trump’s chances to get re-elected would improve if he actually FOUGHT for Vitamin D sufficiency, and HCQ availability. If he and his staff weren’t such losers at PR and honest propaganda, they would USE the predictable lying and histrionics of MSM, against them, judo style.

    You’re free to disagree, but I hardly care about that.

  53. S Brennan

    “You’re free to disagree, but I hardly care about that” – Metamars

    Metamars; you put together seven rambling paragraphs on something you didn’t care about? C’mon dude, that lie just makes you look stupid.

    Sad. Very sad indeed. Have a good day.

  54. “Metamars; you put together seven rambling paragraphs on something you didn’t care about? C’mon dude, that lie just makes you look stupid.”

    You’re just digging a deeper hole, aren’t you?

    The sentence immediately before:
    “You’re free to disagree, but I hardly care about that.”

    is:
    “If he and his staff weren’t such losers at PR and honest propaganda, they would USE the predictable lying and histrionics of MSM, against them, judo style.”

    Most people would have correctly realized that the last sentence does, indeed, refer to the one just before it. I find it hard to believe that this did not occur to you, also. So, you again chose the dark side.

    As you are rapidly losing credibility in my eyes, I care that much less if we happen to agree on any number of subjects. However, your bizarre accusation prodded me to respond.

    If you continue down this path, I suppose I might lose any motivation to even defend myself against yet more of your false accusations.

    Then again, just the opposite might happen.

    ======================================

    I was ruminating on the bizarreness of your post, above, as I was walking around on my job. The thought occurred to me that you’re not actually a Trump apologist (as you appear to be), but, instead, a Big Pharma plant. In this case, your job would be to make people avoid organizing for accountability of the Medical Mafia, via the government. This would degrade the desired response to the appalling dysfunction, since millions won’t enhance their immune status without prodding and approval by government, and it’s agencies. They crave “official” legitimacy.

    Of course, vitamin D sufficiency is a transpartisan issue, par excellence. A real horror scenario for the powers that be is that the political fragmentation which serves the oligarchs so well would start to heal. The “powers that be” could equally be the plutocracy, in general. Or else, the Medical Mafia.

    I’m a big believer in “lifestyle activism”, but only up to a point, and only understood as complementary to political activism. It’s morally criminal for the government not to have alerted the public as to the dangers of Vitamin D insufficiency. It’s also individually morally indefensible to sit around waiting for the government to do right by you, since the government has a long history of throwing the hoi polloi to the wolves. These things are both true, simultaneously.

    In fact, my attitude towards the question “what is to be done?” can easily be inferred from the call for a “Movement In 2 Parts” on my website GovernmentIncompetence.org.

    I’m not making any definite accusations regarding the real motivation behind your bizarre posts. I can’t crawl inside your head, and look around. However, something isn’t right.

  55. S Brennan

    “So, you “tried to work with me”, but whatever “work” you had in mind is a mystery to me…” – Metamars previous post

    A 30 second search turn up this:

    https://www.ianwelsh.net/may-26th-us-covid-stats/

    S Brennan permalink
    May 27, 2020

    Metamars,

    This comment may be in vain, as almost all of my comments are being delayed by 12 or more hours or, disappeared entirely.

    I watched the Vid [fun begins at 21:45] and agree on the point that the HCQ “studies” are so poorly constructed with the documentation being the very definition of obscurantism…they appear to be fraudulent. At the very least, the often cited HCQ “studies” are without scientific merit.

    I appreciate your lonely efforts on this board…trying to help those willing to educate themselves on treatments adopted from other viral infections, particularly, the SARS I epidemic. And I note for those made unwillingly ignorant, this pandemic is SARS II.

    =============================

    Metamars, You do make me laugh involuntarily at you. Stop hanging on every word you hear on youtube, it’s a “curated site” go get a life and uh…try to remember that this site can be googled…k?

  56. So, to your way of thinking, agreeing with some point of another poster, or expressing some appreciation for their “lonely efforts”, amount to attempting to work with them?

    I appreciate many of things Ian has written. If I make that appreciation explicit, does that mean that I have attempted to “work with him”?

    You continue to discredit yourself, and digging a deeper hole.

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