The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

May 15th US Covid Data

The seven-day moving average continues its downward trend. A reminder, again, that outside of a few major metropolitan centers, which are showing large declines, Covid is growing and, as restrictions are eased, it is likely that a second wave will occur.

Note that the raw data and the three-day moving average has a heart-beat pattern. Different days of the week have higher and lower numbers predictably, this is mostly an artifact of testing and reporting.

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May 14th US Covid Data


Why Armed Right-wingers Were Able to Shut Down Michigan’s Legislature


  1. S Brennan

    Moving this up one Covid-19 post.

    In my [D] controlled state testing is being slowed down by requirement for a Doctor’s visit AFTER the triage nurse gives you the nod. My Doctor is hundreds of miles away so I called a local Doctor, they said they could set me up with an appointment June 11th. Of course, that’s pointless.

    When posters blame the lack testing solely on Trump and ignore [D] state governments and a CDC full of feckless bureaucrats they may think they are virtue signalling, which may work with this audience but it’s delusional to think the rest of the country buys the con job.

  2. Zachary Smith


    President Trump says he would “rapidly” mobilize the U.S. military to distribute a coronavirus vaccine once it’s ready, focusing first on nursing homes and the elderly most vulnerable to deadly complications from the virus. Mr. Trump made the comments during an interview with Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo.

    “We’re mobilizing our military and other forces but we’re mobilizing our military on the basis that we do have a vaccine. You know, it’s a massive job to give this vaccine. Our military is now being mobilized so at the end of the year we’re going to be able to give it to a lot of people very, very rapidly,” the president said.

    According to a Wiki the Army, Marine Corps, Navy, Air Force, Space Force, and Coast Guard have a total membership of about 2.3 million men and women. By way of comparison, the US has over 900,00 doctors, around 3.5 million nurses, 700,000 LPNs, and 123,000 phlebotomy technicians. The latter group you’ve met in the Lab where they draw blood and give vaccinations. If you add the odd 300,000 Pharmacists – many of whom also give vaccinations, what the devil is Trump talking about with dragging in the Military? Is he just running his mouth again? Only a tiny fraction of that 2.3 million Military will be useful for anything except waving around their M-16s. Hasn’t anyone told the doofus we have all the vaccination people we need already? Or might he have something else in mind?

    If your aim is to turn the entire US population into anti-vaxxers, this is a good first step. At some point even his base is going to rebel at his total lunacy, and this could be that point. Being dragged to a vaccination place at gunpoint doesn’t appeal much to me, either.

  3. S Brennan


    You may never have perused the US Constitution but, when you find time for it, you’ll discover their are prescribed limits to presidential power.

    The President can order military personal, [which includes tens of thousands of medical personal] but he can not order civilians to do his bidding. Are suggesting Trump should? And if Trump did, could he count on your support?

    Additionally ZS, if you do a little research, the military has a logistics infrastructure and that’s kinda handy when you are trying to distribute something in a hurry.

  4. Joan

    @S Brennan, that situation certainly sounds ridiculous and I hope you’re able to get tested soon.

    @Zachary Smith, some smaller countries have called up their militaries and civil servants to work in food warehouses and other distribution centers, but I don’t see why the US would need to do that when they already have personnel in place.

    I’m definitely in favor of the military serving a more national guard-style position of community support and natural disaster response rather than interventions abroad. Rebuilding local infrastructure, helping at food banks during a crisis, etc.

    Based on today’s numbers, this looks like we’ll hit 100k by June 1st?

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