The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Why and When Good Wins

We live in a degraded Age. This isn’t to pretend that what came before was good in all ways, but all too often we deny the power of good. We think evil is smart, so good loses. Or we deny that good and evil even exist, claiming they are spiritual or metaphysical constructs with no impact in the world.

Raping someone is evil. It is always evil.

Torture is evil. It is always evil.

Feeding a hungry person is good.

Protecting the weak is good.

Healing the sick is good.

Kindness is good, and cruelty is evil.

This is not to say violence is never justified, or even killing.

Good must fight evil.

Those who refused to fight in World War I were right. Those who refused to fight the Nazis were wrong.

But here’s the important part: Good is Powerful.

When you refuse to do certain things like rape and torture, people want to be part of your group.

When you are known to be kind and take care of others, people want to be part of your group.

“Rational” evil people, who will rape or torture sometimes, and who will only help another person if it’s in their self-interest, are not trustworthy. When you need them–actually need them–they will not be there for you, AND if it’s in their interest to do terrible things to you, they will.

Good people, actual good people (and not those who pretend), can be trusted.

Anyone truly rational would rather be with good people.

But goodness can’t be based just on rationality. Rational people sell out. Rational people don’t help when they think helping isn’t in their interest. Rational people will be cruel to get what they want if they think they can get away with it.

Good, like any virtue worth having, must be something people do even when it is not in their self interest.

This is why people think good is stupid. Individuals are better off “free riding”; being evil and getting good people to help them. Groups, however, including the individuals in them, are better off if the group and the people are good.

Which is why good people have to also have an irrational hatred of evil. A complete intolerance for it. A “you get one chance and if you don’t reform you’re out” policy. (And out means either ostracism or death.)

Because rational people have to know that if they aren’t good, irrational people will fuck them up.

It is when good people refuse to enforce the norms of goodness, when they let people like those who run most of our societies today free-ride on the basic goodness and peacefulness of other people, that societies and groups turn terrible.

Good wins, but only if good believes in and enforces itself.

Evil, faced with actual good, tends to lose, because the good group is better to be a part of.

There are, of course, caveats and edge cases and “in group vs. out group,” but this is fundamentally true, and why, as long as they actually believed in their own ideology, hegemonic philosophies like Democracy and Human Rights and in older days Confucianism (despite its flaws) and even Christianity (before it became a state religion and turned evil) tended to win.

Evil has advantages, no question. But so does good, and when properly implemented, good’s advantages are greater.

Good loses when people want other people to be good so that they can be evil.


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38 Comments

  1. DMC

    “All that is required for the triumph if Evil is for good men to do nothing.” Sums it pretty well.

  2. Herman

    Good post but what I think makes supporting good difficult today is that there is no hegemonic ideology to work from. At one time Christianity provided a unified ideological background for Western societies and could be used for evil or good, the issue of slavery being a good example of this. Thankfully the anti-slavery Christians won out. After World War II, human rights, liberal democracy and a mixture of Christian and secular humanism provided the ideological background for people to promote good even in the face of hypocrisy by their own governments.

    But what do people have today? People are increasingly nihilistic. Social Darwinist ideas are making a comeback. I often see comments online that justify evil behavior by using arguments supposedly derived from evolutionary biology and evolutionary psychology.

    There is an upsurge in tribalism as people increasingly only care about their own social group. Tribalism and identity politics have always existed but it was usually tempered by some universalism like religion (particularly universalist religions like Christianity) or by some universalist ideology such as secular humanism, liberalism or Marxism. Universalism is out of fashion today as many people no longer believe in any grand narrative. Even our elites have degenerated into a myopic wonkery of the sort that sees every problem as purely technical. How can you inspire people with that?

    Most of the people who comment here probably dislike organized religion but I think the decline of religious belief in the West has been a complete disaster. How can you even believe in the concept of objective good if you think that humans are meat robots that only exist to reproduce? It is no wonder that so many young people are depressed.

    If you browse forums where young people (particularly young men) congregate you can see that many unhappy young people see the world as meaningless and morality as nonsense so they eventually come to the conclusion that evil doesn’t exist or that what people call “evil” is actually useful because it helps you become financially successful or successful with the opposite sex. If you believe that life is nothing but pitiless competition for material resources and reproductive success, who is to say that they are wrong? I find that most non-religious leftists have a hard time arguing against this type of thinking.

  3. Most “leftists”, religious or no, have a hard time arguing with strawmen.

    Appreciate the candor, though, always good to know.

    Religion is the root of all evil.

  4. anon y'mouse

    good, up to the end.

    it isn’t because of “bad people”. it is because of an entirely bad system.

    in this system, it is always easiest, safest, cheapest, and most rewarding to do what is evil.

    we even have complementary systems of instruction-propaganda along to make you feel that it isn’t evil, because it is somehow better (think most of the field of economics).

    we need to come up with a system were doing good is the default option because it is simple. right now, it is just easier to live by doing evil and fooling oneself about the nature of what we are doing.

  5. Willy

    Maybe it’s time for a study about how American Christianity was coerced into unwittingly supporting evil. Many of their kind really are good men willing to do something about evil. But they don’t seem to have a clue about being deviously misled.

    All my warnings about Satan not doing his evil with hooves and horns in plain view, but instead, as a mild mannered Fox News reporter… wasted.

    Once upon a time GOP operatives decided to grow their brand by targeting white evangelicals. Did the operatives know that once captured, the faith-based reasoners would be rationalizing anything Dear Leader did because it all ‘originates from God’? Probably. There’s never been an openly atheist POTUS.

    Anyhow, I kidded my sister about her not giving out subscriptions of the Weekly Standard for Christmas anymore. Wasn’t Kristol being inspired by God? Apparently not. Not since he left Fox and went to MSNBC. The point is that my sister has the kind of brain that can just leave all that behind and never look back. She rationalizes. She forgets. But other people remember, including her own children. This won’t end well for her kind.

  6. GlassHammer

    “Good loses when people want other people to be good so that they can be evil.”

    ^That is just perfect.

  7. chimerika

    Using pure rationality, wouldn’t good triumph over evil based on the concepts of sustainability – a longer term view?

    Evil always strikes me as a short-term perspective.

    Empathy is a powerful tool for me in deciding moral questions – would i want it done to me?

    “Do nothing unto imothers as you would have them do nothing to you…”

    Evil disrespects this – it frequently chooses something for others different from what i want for myself

  8. someofparts

    Maybe our situation is what it looks like when the misleadership of an entire nation is sundowning.

  9. Hugh

    ” ‘Rational’ evil people . . . if it’s in their interest to do terrible things to you, they will.”

    I’ve known plenty of people in professional settings who would screw you over in an eye blink if you got between them and anything they wanted. In fact, they would screw you over sometimes when there wasn’t anything they wanted, just to keep in practice.

    Herman, Christian feudal Europe had slaves. The word “serf” comes from Latin “servus,” slave. Serfs were tied to the land, and so to whoever held that land. After feudalism, Europe in its imperial period (16th-19th centuries) had slaves pretty much everywhere it went.

  10. Mark Pontin

    @ Hugh

    “Christian feudal Europe had slaves ….etc”

    Just to be clear, the majority of human societies through history have had slaves. Nor was this limited to societies following the agricultural revolution ten thousand years ago and pre- industrial-industrial societies. Many Amerindian hunter-gatherer societies had slaves, too.

    @ Chimerika

    “Evil always strikes me as a short-term perspective.”

    Sure. But our lives are short- term things, too.

  11. Mark Pontin

    The above said, I disagree with the commenter above who offered the broad-blanket dictum that “Religion is the root of all evil.”

    Sure, Aztec or Inca priests cutting out the hearts of hundreds of slaves and the Spanish Inquisition are evil. Sure, Herman’s argument is a little facile. But I strongly recommend that everybody who hasn’t read the article I’ve linked to below by Chris Arnade, a former Wall Street trader who went out into America after the 2008 GFC to see the damage his class had wrought, should read it. Read it all now.

    It mirrors my experience. Like Arnade, I am not a true believer. Pre-2008, however, I used to work as tech-science-business journalist, often pulling down $3 a word from top publications, including relatively prestigious mags like MIT Technology Review. I flew to DC for congressional hearings and listened to sociopaths like H. Clinton; I even got into a fight with New Gingrich over a motel breakfast table once. Afterwards, I got a gig as a musician at an African-American church in Oakland (I am a white Brit) and have been doing it since. I make a lot less money, yet am a lot healthier and happier.

    ‘Back Row America’ by Chris Arnade
    https://www.firstthings.com/article/2019/06/back-row-america

    “On the streets, few can delude themselves into thinking they have it under control. You cannot ignore death there, and you cannot ignore human fallibility. It is easier to see that everyone is a sinner, everyone is fallible, and everyone is mortal. It is easier to see that there are things just too deep, too important, or too great for us to know. It is far easier to recognize that one must come to peace with the idea that we don’t and never will have this under control. It is far easier to see religion not just as useful, but as true.”

  12. 450.org

    The definition of evil needs to be broadened. For example, most wouldn’t consider this news coverage of Epstein’s alleged “suicide” evil, but I would. This is public radio? Bullshit. It’s not public in any way, shape or form. It’s private masquerading as public and it’s a water carrier for the plutocracy every bit as much as Wall Street is. Containment at its finest. The Praetorian Guard doing its job. Never forget. When the time comes, if it ever does, they ALL must be rooted out and brought to justice. Otherwise, they sprout again and again and again and again.

    Justice Department Raises Questions About Jail Where Epstein Died

  13. Dale

    Mark,

    I want to thank you for the article by Chris Arnade. Although I do not agree totally with his beliefs, I truly respect both of you for presenting them. You comment that we never truly have any control over our lives, and our subsequent deaths. Isn’t this what the religious philosophies all tell us? As a retired earth scientist and fledgling naturalist this is what geologic time and a crude understanding of the living world tells me.

    My wife and I have several bird feeders in our back yard. We love to watch and identify the birds that come to them, listening to their chirping and activities generating by that food source. Recently, a red tailed hawk swooped in from seemingly nowhere. Holding a young sparrow in its claws on the ground until all life had left it. Then just as suddenly as it arrived, it was gone with its prey held tightly beneath it. Our yard was quiet for several days. No birds would come to eat at the feeders or splash themselves in our water fountain. But slowly they returned and are now are their impatient selves letting us know when the feeders are empty with their squawks. I realize this is a poor metaphor for all life, but there you have it.

    Why do we need something spiritual in our lives? Why are we so driven to pull as much material wealth to ourselves as possible, leaving others with little in exchange? Why to so many questions? May you find your answers in church. I search for mine in nature.

  14. ponderer

    There are a few problems I have with this argument. Firstly, its too simplistic. Good and Evil are simple concepts that are emotionally charged which nearly precludes rational debate. Second they are inaccurate or at least easily misleading. Feeding the hungry, good. Feeding the hungry solders on their way to slaughter peasants, Evil. So now we need Oracle like knowledge to determine if some action was properly Good or Evil. Any argument that requires an Oracle is faulty on its face. Context is required in every situation to determine the difference between them.
    Because we use these ambiguous terms, and yes I’m guilty of this too, we end up jumping through hoops to justify our actions and how we want the world to be.

    This isn’t a model of understanding of the human condition. It’s an attempt to map the human condition to how you want the world to be. That leads us here:

    Which is why good people have to also have an irrational hatred of evil. A complete intolerance for it. A “you get one chance and if you don’t reform you’re out” policy. (And out means either ostracism or death.)

    Irrational hate, is not good. The most Evil characters from history would read that and think “yes, that’s exactly what I have been talking about.” We recently had two mass shootings. One by people on each side of the “fence”. The one thing both of them had in common,.. irrational hatred. The Antifa member isn’t mentioned very much because it inconveniences the media and the “resistance”. But that’s pretty much the model of what the Left wants when they say that we need to “fight evil.”

    Jesus or Buddha or whoever were exceptional human beings because they recognized irrational hatred is harmful. Preaching peace and serenity among the violent apes on this planet might be a fools errand, but it’s inspiring. Trying to convince your “good” group of people to be intolerant only ends with mass graves.

    WWII was just Evil, there was no good there. We now know how FDR tricked the Japanese to attack pearl harbor, and bullied Churchill into a war with Hitler. We also know the Allies had a secret plan to attack Russia the week after Hitler attacked. The media will never mention it, but it’s become settled history. Just like all the POWs McCain and Co. abandoned. Read “American Pravda” by Ron Unz for details and more sources. It’s well documented.

    I guess my point is that if we are going to talk about Good and Evil, and to a lesser extent helpful and harmful, we should be wary of any context that requires Oracle level knowledge. That makes any kind of hate or irrational thought “problematic”.

  15. Ten Bears

    If you’re to disagree with me, could you at least provide a little meat? I think the dark Robert E. Howard portrait of an evil greasy cloud blotting out the sky ore the Aztec cutting the living hearts out of tens of thousands of humans a day appropriate analogy to the Catholic Church’s twelve hundred year genocide of upwards of a quarter billion – yes, with a “b” – humans but, seriously, Conan the Barbarian? Can you give me a little better example of how religion is not the root of all evil?

    And I am feeling just a bit charaginned at how I treated Herman earlier. I meant no ill-will. To the years I’ve been hanging out here I’ve never seen him push it, where I have been known to be indiscriminate in my denunciation of religion. He has respected me, I respected him. What we’re dealing with is a true clash of worldviews: he can no more see the world without god than I can.

    Interestingly, Robert E. Howard’s world was incredibly diverse, with literally hundreds of languages and philosophies, religions old and new all intersecting in the truest of free markets, a melting pot. Not the sort of world sniveling little cuckold snowflake dogs would life long in.

  16. Joan

    This post addresses something I have contemplated for many years. Back in high school, I remember trying to reconcile my anti-war beliefs with concepts like pacifism and those who are conscientious objectors, etc. I liked these ideas, but I did not see how they would not lose every single time, how these concepts would not result in “roll over and let someone conquer us.” Good must not tolerate evil, must even fight evil, somehow without becoming a monster in the process, without losing sight of good. I will continue to ponder, so thank you.

  17. Willy

    I once observed a robin building nests so large they’d topple. Then it’d move on to the next nest and do it again. Too many hoarding genes? Some kind of learned insecurity? Seemed a pathology of some kind anyways. If a hawk killed well past its own subsistence needs, for enjoyment, I’d consider that pathological. And evil.

    Birds seem to have more sense then people. I didn’t see other robins over-feathering their nests because they thought that robin was cool. I’ve seen gangs of crows mobbing single large birds of prey so viciously they fled the area. Seems common sense. People might do well learning from birds. But most seem so easily confused and mislead by things that don’t really matter in the larger scheme.

    I can’t imagine how any Christian can get to a state of rationalizing a capitalism gone pathological. So anybody questioning is automatically an evil socialist? How is giving unlimited freedom to obvious pathology even remotely Christian? A Christian might need to uncover that hidden special scripture for me.

  18. bruce wilder

    Perhaps the word we are searching for is, community. Communities have cultures and a thriving community will have a political culture of norms that both reinforce ethical behaviors among individuals and enable shared or collective “irrational” righteousness, aka altruistic punishment of evil.

    The culture of the community is interwoven with and depends on “hegemonic ideology” as another commenter termed it: not necessarily a specific theological belief so much as shared rituals and perhaps some social mechanisms for shaming or ostracizing deviants.

    For those of us who are skeptical about the ethical usefulness of religion, there are the problems of hypocrisy and of purely ritual strictures, and even more morally serious, the possibility of disguised or undisguised human sacrifice.

    I can see the case being made, though, that the left has become heedless of the need to affirm and reinforce community norms, even as it has ceded to the Right the responsibility to define those norms because the Left is so cynical and careless of religion and nationalism.

  19. nihil obstet

    Martin Luther King was a preacher. The anti-war movement has been maintained for decades by religious bodies, with secularists becoming active at times of particular stress. Sanctuary movements are centered in churches.

    It was the rise of the Republican southern strategy focusing on hot-button emotional problems and its enthusiastic embrace by neoliberals that made God into a prurient voyeur, out to punish sex. Especially, women’s sex. And made God the PR guy for the golden calf.

    An accurate depiction of religious Americans is likely to find a large proportion of them to be active lefties. It is useful to the powers that be to portray religious belief as just about personal bigotry. The Federal Society alums now in lifetime appointments in the federal courts will find it useful in exempting right wing cruelty from legal restraint.

    Even with the problems of the Abrahamic religions — based on appeasing a constantly pissed-off sky god — the structures and rituals developed over the centuries form a means of searching for good for many people. It’s a little broad brushed either to extol or dismiss religion.

  20. Ten Bears

    There are so many reasons to avoid these conversations, non the least the very definition of atheism, of a-theism: not-theism… no religion. But that’s for maybe if we all ever get together for a beer*. What’s really bothersome (and this thread is trending that direction) is this treatment of good and evil as if it were something alive (picture M$ creepy typefont).

    One of the twelve “steps”, the first step, in AA is acceptance that alcohol is an entity, an outside force greater than ourselves, one “cunning, baffling and powerful”. That it’s alive, conscious, capable of conceiving and carrying out nefarious intent. This is where I parted with AA: it is an inanimate object, no more alive than a rock, a molecule of water or the bumper of my pickup.

    There is much in this world that can be ascribed to both good and evil, but let’s not treat them as if they were some alien species running our lives.
    *Or somethin’

  21. Willy

    I’m open to God being a bored omnipotent artist, currently doing performance art in this particular universe as a pissed off sky guy. Maybe in his last Creator go-round he was the kindly benevolent supreme being lording over his perfect domain. Then they sang that same dangblasted worship song yet again for the millionth time and he just frickin lost it and smashed the hell out of everything in a massive brimstone tantrum. So here we are in a less then perfect universe with a god who doesn’t always make sense, intentionally. He fucks with us mostly because he’s just plain bored.

    That would explain the right winger Christians being all mammon warlord authoritarian batshit, and the lefties more the old school Jesus meek-n-peaceful. Still, I wonder why the lefties don’t confront their angrier brethren more.

  22. anon y'mouse

    i find it disturbing that the post posited ethical situational decision making, and everyone is blabbing on about God. is that the only tool in the drawer for this issue? or is this another one of those “common man needs things dumbed down, so all he needs to do is be obedient”?

    yeah, community. culture, ethics. what we do here on earth.

    where does “god” fit in at all? i don’t see this as necessary.

    my own complaint is that our culture, society and ethics have made being good so difficult, that if you do you are likely to be fired from your job, turfed out of your house and impoverished. the society’s rule structure is antithetical to “goodness”. we are all trying to “get over” in more or less obvious ways. it is the mass heirarchy of interpersonal, and especially impersonal slavery and the need to now run just to stay in place for most that have made it so.

    or call it what it is: capitalism. everyone is looking for a way to justify why they should be allowed a good spot on the lifeboat, and therefore why their neighbor should be tossed overboard, or at least denied food and drink for the journey. our society is evil. an impersonal evil that boils down to “just doing business”. if you are high up enough in the food chain to disbelieve this, well…your money is bribing you to look the other way about what you are doing. down here at the bottom, it is pretty obvious. one cannot have two masters, and one’s master is always the Boss. and we aren’t even approaching having oneself as master, which decisions about good and evil require us to have in the first place.

  23. Ian Welsh

    Yes, God is not necessary for good and evil.

  24. Willy

    When 70% of Americans still identify as Christian, it might still necessary. GOP operatives probably thought about being all secular and rational to sell their dreams but realized that nobody would buy it. So they strategied.

    What’s strange is that at most lesser organizational levels, such as corporations, PTAs, HOAs… nobody has display their Christianity merit badge.

  25. someofparts

    Okay. Here goes a female take on all of this.

    Some time ago I learned that the thing the distinguishes us the most from the other animals is that we are born without our full suite of instincts already installed. All of us are, in terms of instinct, born prematurely. The reason for this is that, in order to walk upright, human females evolved to have much narrower hips than our primate cousins. So, in the first years of human life, we literally install the remaining necessary instincts into our own children.

    When Margaret Mead studied six different communities on one large island, she found that each tribe produced different personalities in their offspring. They ranged from the tribe living at the highest mountain altitudes, who were aggressive and warlike right through to the other extreme, who lived closest to the seacoast and were very peaceful and gentle.

    So, to the extent that we can manage to raise children to be gentle and humane from their earliest days, we can change human nature into something better than what we are now.

  26. Willy

    raise children to be gentle and humane

    Isn’t that what the PTB are already trying to do – turn us into something gentle and docile? I’d settle for raising gentle and humane children with a nasty little glitch, a violent intolerance for anything that wasn’t gentle and humane. And liars too. If somebody dared try to bully or even lie to anybody, they’d be all over that guy like crows on an eagle.

    Easier said than done of course.

  27. Mike Barry

    Ron Unz is mentioned up-thread as an authority on WWII. One of his essays was on the holocaust, which he concluded probably didn’t happen:

    http://www.unz.com/runz/american-pravda-holocaust-denial/

    American Pravda: Holocaust Denial
    Ron Unz • August 27, 2018 • 17,600 Words • 2,327 Comments
    .
    .
    .

    I think it far more likely than not that the standard Holocaust narrative is at least substantially false, and quite possibly, almost entirely so.

    He ends his piece with a threat against those who believe otherwise:

    Until thirty years ago, Communist rule over the USSR and its Warsaw Pact allies seemed absolutely permanent and unshakeable, but the roots of that belief had totally rotted away, leaving behind nothing more than a hollow facade. Then one day, a gust of wind came along, and the entire gigantic structure collapsed. I wouldn’t be surprised if our current Holocaust narrative eventually suffers that same fate, perhaps with unfortunate consequences for those too closely associated with having maintained it.

  28. ponderer

    @Mike Barry

    There was a time when suggesting FDR allowed thousands of lives to be lost by not preventing an attack on Pearl Harbor was treated as treasonous. Now we know he arranged the Japanese to “intercept” confidential communications describing an attack on Japan. If the Japanese didn’t hit Pearl Harbor and take out Americas fleet they fully anticipated an American attack with everything we had. It was in effect a defensive maneuver. What we call today a “preemptive” strike.

  29. bruce wilder

    someofparts: we are born without our full suite of instincts already installed.

    Interesting hypothesis.

    Compared to other mammals, humans do not appear to have so many strongly motivated instincts. To some extent, the hardware appears broken: our sense of smell is still pretty good, but the wiring that would connect smells more to compulsive behavior is gone, to take one example.

  30. Willy

    Psychopaths have the over-expressed instinct to control which is considered by experts to be incorrigible. The Russian Fox Experiment created pet quality foxes by breeding agreeableness into them. You put your hand into the cage of a standard fox and it’ll likely bite it and escape if it can. But their special bred foxes want to be petted and loved. I don’t know of any experiments done to see how each kind of fox fares if released into the wild. I’d assume that tame foxes would be more likely to need survival training like hunting skills from a parent.

  31. Willy

    https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/The_Unz_Review

    After reading me some Unz I’ll be heading over to the Flat Earth Society and then to hobnob with some moon landing hoaxers and climate change deniers. Anybody care to tag along?

  32. StewartM

    I agree with most of what you said, Ian, but I differ slightly on this:

    But goodness can’t be based just on rationality. Rational people sell out. Rational people don’t help when they think helping isn’t in their interest. Rational people will be cruel to get what they want if they think they can get away with it.

    That’s true only if you define “rational” to be a synonym for “narrow, self-centered, short-term, self-interest”. If you define “rational” to include:

    1) Long-term interest
    2) the interest of all, not just yourself

    Then rationality, I would argue, can and usually does drive good behaviors. The reason why hunter-gathering societies have appeal is that the focus of self-interest is over a lifetime, one knows that one will need the help of others at some point, and that therefore building up good will are “savings” that can be drawn upon in stressful times.

    In short, don’t let the Ayn Rands define what “rationalism” or ‘reason’ is, else you will get some horribly irrational and unreasonable results. It’s also why many agnostics, acting ‘rationally’, are some of the best (as in good) people I have known.

    Evil has advantages. No question. But so does good, and good, properly implemented, are greater.

    I recall an old original series Star Trek episode ( The Savage Curtain ) which had Kirk and Spock (plus Abraham Lincoln and Surak of Vulcan) as “Team Good” versus a “Team Evil” of historical villains staged by the planet’s hosts. While Kirk and Spock win out in battle over Team Evil, the hosts remark that the contest only taught them that good and evil use similar means (i.e., violence) to triumph.

    What Kirk maybe tried to clumsily point out at the episode’s end, is that in human society, good and evil don’t line up and slug it out in a one-on-one vacuum as the hosts of that planet had it staged: they do it in a social context. And there is something about “good” that appeals to most normal humans, causing most people to support good. Good wins out largely because of numbers. This is so true that evil usually tries to deceive and masquerade as ‘good’.

  33. Ivory Bill Woodpecker

    I wonder if Ponderer insists on Reynolds Wrap for his hats, or does he find generic aluminum foil sufficient?

  34. StewartM

    Ponderer:

    There was a time when suggesting FDR allowed thousands of lives to be lost by not preventing an attack on Pearl Harbor was treated as treasonous. Now we know he arranged the Japanese to “intercept” confidential communications describing an attack on Japan. If the Japanese didn’t hit Pearl Harbor and take out Americas fleet they fully anticipated an American attack with everything we had. It was in effect a defensive maneuver. What we call today a “preemptive” strike.

    No, no, and again no. Unz tortures the historical record until it screams.

    For starters, how did Marshall’s alledged ‘leak’ (which was actually contrary to his actual strategy) matter when the Pearl Harbor attack had already been planned (plans began in early 1941) and approved (November 5th 1941) before the supposed leak occurred (November 20th 1941)? And where is the evidence that the supposed leak made any difference whatsoever in Japanese military or diplomatic planning?

    Where can Unz point out the Japanese saying “Holy Crap! The Americans are going to attack! We’d better hit them first!”. He can’t because that didn’t happen.

    Yes, the Americans knew that something was afoot and that conflict was highly likely. They just didn’t think the Japanese would have the audacity to hit Pearl; the Philippines and SE Asia were thought to be more likely targets (read David Kahn’s The Codebreakers if you want to read some of the actual decrypted Japanese messages; and I challenge you to find anything that said “we’re going to attack Pearl Harbor” in them–you won’t because the decrypted texts are *still in code*–what they actually contain are discussions about a supposed marriage which are being planned and the hope that the marriage will result in ‘a healthy baby boy’. The US codebreakers who broke in JN25 had to then make sense of what the ‘internal code’, so to speak, was saying).

    Nor would FDR have need to have those battleships in the Pearl mud to achieve the goal that Unz says he wanted–if, say, two days before the attack, the whole fleet puts out to sea and puts as much distance between them and the Japanese carrier strike force as possible, then the Japanese would have ended up hitting an empty harbor and the airfields, killing civilians and military personnel alike, and the public would have been just as outraged and FDR could have had the war Unz says he wanted *and* the fleet, which I would suppose would have been a more preferred result. Finally, both Marshall and FDR were primarily concerned with Europe, not Japan, which showed in the actual wartime planning. War with Japan was going to be the secondary theater if it occurred at all. Stephen Ambrose’s Rise to Globalism I think contains the most accurate summation of how US military and diplomatic policies intertwined before, during and after the war.

  35. bruce wilder

    I think I agree with StewartM: Ian makes rationality, which is only a means at best, too closely synonymous with a narrow version of selfishness, which whatever else it may be, is at least a genuine end.

    I am suspicious of a morality that makes too much of abstract selflessness. None of us is selfless and it is an unreasonable morality that asks purity of motive judged by the standard of martyred saints. A saint is already dead.

    We all benefit from close social cooperation that involves commitments deep and abiding — people who would cheat the system have to be resisted and punished to save the benefits of the system. There is a real, instrumental and material aspect of social cooperation, upon which we really should be calculating, just not opportunistically concerning how much “we” can benefit at the expense of “they” and all.

    We are material and particular beings. I would not trade away that reality for the dubious advantage of reasoning on high abstract principle, however much I admire the moral courage of (self)sacrifice for others. The sacrifice by the powerful of the powerless has too many rationales already.

  36. ponderer

    @StewartM

    That comes from Revilo P. Oliver. Head of a 175 member “secret research group” during WWII.
    http://www.unz.com/runz/american-pravda-secrets-of-military-intelligenc

    The dates are different than what you cite. According to Oliver it was January 1941 the the message was sent for Japan to intercept. Oliver maintains that the Germans didn’t fall for our provocations and that was why Japan was used. His narrative seems to follow other authors as far as the facts were concerned. His accusation that FDR arranged the intercept purposely was apparently known /revealed only to him. I think it fits, but it is a judgement call.

  37. Tom W Harris

    Ahh yess…good ol’ Revilo Oliver. Originally he was a prominent member of the nutjob John Birch Society – you know, the guys who maintained that Eisenhower was a Communist. He left the Society because they weren’t extreme enough for him.

    “Oliver maintains that the Germans didn’t fall for our provocations and that was why Japan was used. ” — ponderer

    Germany declared war on us, not the other way around.

    Although Oliver is now dead, his website remains. A sample of his work will suffice to characterize him:

    http://www.revilo-oliver.com/news/1985/09/academic-prostitution/

    The life and works of a great American writer and thinker.

    HomeAboutContactDonatePapers

    Academic Prostitution

    by Revilo P. Oliver
    (Liberty Bell, September 1985)

    MANY READERS of Professor Arthur Butz’s incisive demolition of the Jews’ filthy Holohoax, The Hoax of The Twentieth Century, have asked the question that the author himself asked: “Why was it necessary for a Professor of Electrical Engineering to do the work that should have been done by professional historians?”

    At the link one can view a portrait of this so-called white nationalist. He bore a distinct resemblance to Thurgood Marshall.

  38. ricardo2000

    The most ancient notions describe good as ‘wisdom’, and evil as ‘destruction or chaos’.
    Later societies inserted ‘God’ and ‘society’ into the mix so that those who rule would have a convenient means of destroying those who would reduce their authority and greed.
    ‘Society’, ‘the nation’, ‘Religion’, ‘the tribe’, ‘the family’ can be particularly odious as they can encourage people to ignore others because they are defined as not really fully human. To me ‘humanity’ is an act of imagination, and those who are wise can see the humanity in strange people: can see and welcome the wisdom of others. Most people wouldn’t recognize and welcome the wisdom even if it looked like Keira Knightley. This explains why the Arts are so valuable: they provide timeless presentations of people and societies that we could otherwise never know or understand.
    The Mists of Avalon discusses this at length, with Gwenhwyfar terrified of the world to the extent that she can’t leave castle or cloister walls, and Avalon abandoning the fight for wisdom and humanity to retreat into the mists of legend.

    Lyndon B. Johnson: “If you can convince the lowest white man he’s better than the best colored man, he won’t notice you’re picking his pocket. Hell, give him somebody to look down on, and he’ll empty his pockets for you.”

    The weak and stupid are have always been easy to manipulate through self-serving lies and vaporous terrors. Evil people always use fear and chaos to manipulate. Those that seek to use these means instead of patiently educating are always evil (trump, unz, bigots of every stripe, any corporate whore).

    Voltaire: “Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities.”
    H.L. Mencken: ‘Nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.’

    ‘Rationality’ is a tool, and ‘Wisdom’ the art. Read Plato’s destruction of ‘sophists’, those who reason with pretty, but false arguments.

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