The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Is Trump Right to Shutdown the Government over His Wall?

Yeah, I think he is.

Bear with me, I think the wall is stupid and mean. There aren’t actually a ton of emigrants coming any more, and there haven’t been since the early 00’s. It’s not a real crisis. (It never really was.)

And the anti-immigrant movement is based on cruelty. It was based on cruelty under Obama and Bush as well. A lot of outrages that came to light in the early Trump reign were actually things that happened under Obama. That said, Trump has, as with so many things, made it worse.

But Trump campaigned on the wall. If he had a main any campaign promise at all, it was to build the wall.

People voted for him, elected him, expecting him to build the wall.

People should, I believe, get what they vote for. At the least they should be able to expect the people they voted for to fight for whatever they promised.

Trump is doing that, and I would go so far as to say he should do it.

Other politicians, who promised to oppose him, should do so, though I fear the hypocrisy meter is pretty high on both Republicans and Democrats on this issue: Many who oppose him now have voted for border walls in the past, there’s plenty of already existing wall, etc.

Is all this worth shutting the government down over? Not to me, not to most of my readers, I’m sure.

But it was Trump’s main promise, and he should fight for it.


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48 Comments

  1. Hugh

    Promises? Trump? You have got to be kidding. He also promised that Mexico would pay for the wall, to make America great again, and a middle class tax cut. Trump fights for nothing, stands for nothing, that isn’t Trump. Again don’t read into Trump what isn’t there. There is no there there.

  2. The problem is that one side has to capitulate, so at least one promise is going to be broken in any case. This is doubly true after the new congress is seated.

  3. Job

    Trump can’t get his priorities straight, other wise the great wall idea would have in fact been paid for by Mexico as advertised by his own big mouth at the start of his failed presidency. Instead he pushed a tax cut through which was never paid for; adding billions to a tab people have finally realized will never be paid. And now he wants to add another 5 billion on top of that paid for by US because yes, he is running out of time because those pesky democrats are taking over the house and Rush and Ann gave him the stink eye…So he says he will own a government shutdown of his own choosing and then immediately afterwards puts the blame on democrats?
    One has to wonder if this guy has any critical thinking skills at all?
    Amateur hour has consequences. Being we have a house of representatives and supposing they represent US citizens and they choose no wall, you would think that would be it but no… let’s throw another temper tantrum and scold/fire/bad mouth everyone at Christmas. We have installed insanity and now live with it.

  4. Apparently, Trump and very few supporters of his have ever seen Patton. Kinda funny since most of them probably claim to be big supporters of the military.

  5. sglover

    I thought he also promised that Mexico was going to foot the bill for his precious wall. So why is this an issue of U.S. government appropriations at all?

    And anyway, if it’s a question of meeting, some, *any* promise — didn’t he cover the swamp-draining pledge when he hired the Goldman Sachs guy at Treasury?

    At this point, promises kept isn’t a useful measure. It’s more a matter of how much damage can he do. And he’s still got time, and he’s still got his cult.

  6. Ian Welsh

    Eh. He’s put tariffs on Mexico. I’d simply say that is Mexico paying.

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  8. Ron Wilkinson

    The wall is a waste of money, it’s an ecological disaster, it’s ineffective, an insult to our neighbor. Trump is a lying piece of shit and that’s where it comes from, racist dog whistling.

  9. Willy

    Maybe St. Trump could just move the swamp to the border and call that the wall. It’d stay there until the swampies replaced Obamacare with something really great, after of course, locking her up.

    I visited a cult hangout tonite. After years of expansion, my birth family’s wingnut church appears to be contracting. For some reason the pews aren’t being replenished. I know they blame the MSM, the sinister Soros, and those dangblasted pink haired SJWs for corrupting their youth. But something tells me they may wanna think about realigning their own values.

  10. Daize

    *sigh* None of the responses so far have even come close to addressing the main point of Iain’s article (they are just ad hominem attacks); do we live in a democracy, or do we not, and should a president actually follow up on the promises which got him elected? We are so used to a president doing no such thing (Obama, and many who came before), that it is a shock to see a president (no matter how much of a liar, how disgusting etc. he may be) actually attempt to do so. I really do wonder where America is going, atm it seems it is headed straight for a brick wall at full speed (not to say things are much better elsewhere).

    IMHO, with the current state of technology, government could and should be run directly by the people through online referendums. Politicians/thought leaders would simply represent their arguments for or against one legislation or another, and the vote would occur online, not in congress. I suppose that would require a free press and for lobbying to be made illegal first though :/

  11. Stirling Newberry

    He stole the election with it.

  12. Ché Pasa

    One of the errors in this line of thinking is the presumption that Trump was elected ‘by the people’. Note that Ian is careful not to use the wide-spread rightist trope that claims a majority of the electorate, sometimes even an overwhelming majority, elected him. That didn’t happen.

    Trump’s policies, including the marketing gimmick called The Wall, are for the most part very unpopular (if you believe the polls), and he was elected by a minority of the voters, a vanishingly small one if the many non-voters are taken into account. Whether he fights for this or that gimmick or not is irrelevant. He changes his mind whenever he wants, and his fans devotedly go along with it no matter what. What was a fight yesterday is something else tomorrow. Thus any “fight” he engages in is more likely kayfabe, something Washington and the mass media are very, very familiar with.

    The unfortunate thing is that these phony fights have real outcomes and real harm can and often is done.

    Mr. Market isn’t happy. Not any more. The deterioration of the regime due to incompetence and its mercurial leader is undeniable. Alarms are going off, red lights flashing, and what will happen is anybody’s guess. Intervention has long been called for. So what kind of intervention do we get? Fox and Friends. Laura. Rush. We are blessed, no?

    Our rulers, not just Trump, have shown themselves to be empty shells, feet of clay, blah blah blah, with no clue how to do the right thing — or even what the right thing is — in a crisis. Chaos is Trump’s métier to be sure, but an open eyed observer recognizes it’s not only him or his cronies. Chaos pervades the mindless rulership class.

    So here we are.

    And a Merry Christmas to all, and to all a good night.

    

  13. StewartM

    Dizzie and Ian:

    I get the point about ‘we live in a supposed democracy’ and ‘elections have consequences’, but the point is that most Americans aren’t for the wall. Don’t their opinions count too, if we live in a supposed democracy?

    People cast votes in elections based a sum appraisal of what a candidate is and what he/she has to offer, not on single issues. People can and do cast votes for someone even if they support things they are against, or are against things they are for. Only 35 % of Americans, give or take, support a wall–smaller than the fraction of popular vote Trump won.

    The way I see the way a democracy is supposed to work is that when a leader or party takes power, it is reasonable that they be able to implement the facets of their agenda they espoused that enjoy broad popular support. But it also perfectly compatible with democracy that the parts of it that aren’t popular go down in flames. They don’t willy-nilly get to implement everything, popular or unpopular, just because they won the last election. A functioning democracy should also nix the unpopular stuff, no? We don’t run things by the fuhrerprinzip.

    Besides, Trump also promised everyone ‘great health care’, and given but tried to push through crap care (even he admitted it was). Given the popularity of a more universal health care system, I’d say this would be a far bigger betrayal of Trump voters than anything over the wall.

  14. Synoia

    If Trump wants to control the flow of Refuges, Refugees cause primarily by US policies to Latin America, he should address the policies.

    For example: Sanctions on Nicaragua and Venezuela who have the effrontery to believe there are other paths other than the US way.

    This all mixed up with the US frothing at the mouth because of possible Russian interference in US elections. That’s a bit rich coming from a country which interferes in elections world wide.

  15. Giles

    At 25% tariff on $3 billion and 10% on $1 billion, Mexico is apparently paying on the world’s slowest layaway plan.

  16. nihil obstet

    One of the major things I never forgave Obama for was that prior to the 2008 Pennsylvania primary he promised to help filibuster any bill that granted immunity to telecoms for violating privacy laws. The primary looked to be close and this was a serious issue for civil liberty types who oppose technical end-arounds (hey, it’s private, it’s not the government doing illegal spying, so the private companies who rely on business from the government can spy and pass the results on to the government!). After the primary, he returned to Washington and whipped FOR the immunity-granting bill. If we don’t hold politicians to their promises, electoral democracy means absolutely nothing.

    On the other hand, there’s an issue with how far an elected official should go. Trump promised to build a wall. It was a major campaign promise. Does that require that he shut down government in pursuit of a particular part of the promise? I’d say no, but then I think the wall is an obscenity. He also promised to get our military out of the Middle East, and although it wasn’t as big a part of his campaign promises as the wall, I would support a government shutdown if it would produce a reduction of America’s endless and ubiquitous wars. In short, I disagree with Trump’s priority here, but there are so many other things to complain about that it doesn’t really jerk my chain that much.

  17. Daize:

    *sigh* None of the responses so far have even come close to addressing the main point of Iain’s article (they are just ad hominem attacks); do we live in a democracy, or do we not, and should a president actually follow up on the promises which got him elected?

    I wrote above:

    The problem is that one side has to capitulate, so at least one promise is going to be broken in any case. This is doubly true after the new congress is seated.

    How precisely was that an ad hominem attack (an overused fallacy accusation, in any case — in political issues often the person really does matter)? How did it not respond to Ian’s main point on promises?

    In any case, my point was: the US system (and not just the US, most representative-democracy systems) allows politicians who promise contradictory things to be elected simultaneously. So someone is always going to be unable to deliver on their promises. When a Democratic house is seated in January, elected specifically to thwart Trump, should the promises be kept by two years of shutdown? Whose promise should be broken?

    IMHO, with the current state of technology, government could and should be run directly by the people through online referendums. Politicians/thought leaders would simply represent their arguments for or against one legislation or another, and the vote would occur online, not in congress. I suppose that would require a free press and for lobbying to be made illegal first though :/

    A lot more preconditions have to be fulfilled before a referendary democracy makes sense. Annual sortition-based legislative jury-selection is probably better.

  18. Charlie

    My belief is the government shutdown is less about funding for the wall and more about forcing the fed to lower interest rates due to a possible lowering of US debt credit rating a prolonged shutdown would ensure.

    That the Democrats are so against the wall makes this the perfect opportunity to force a correction.

  19. NR

    Daize:

    “do we live in a democracy, or do we not, and should a president actually follow up on the promises which got him elected?”

    The president is not the only democratically elected (well, somewhat anyway) official in the United States. Members of Congress are also elected, and the Constitution says that Congress decides what federal money gets spent on. If the people wanted Trump’s wall, they were perfectly free to vote for members of Congress who supported it. The fact that they didn’t means something too.

  20. S Brennan

    This idiocy really tickled me pink, apparently, according to “Phil” watching a movie on Patton is de rigueur for military:

    “Apparently, Trump and very few supporters of his have ever seen Patton. Kinda funny since most of them probably claim to be big supporters of the military.” – Phil Perspective

    Well Phil; my father knew/despised Patton as did much of the officer corp.

    It sickens me when I hear today’s “left” talk military matters. BTW, there was a time when the LEFT actually served and knew WTF they were talking about. Let-me-see there’s George McGovern, who served with distinction and then there’s…oh wait, that’s not what counts as “liberal” or “left” nowadays.

  21. Dale

    We live in a republic not a democracy. Big difference. Trump promised that Mexico would pay for the wall, not U.S taxpayers. Big difference. Trump raised tariffs on Chinese products too. Is this payment for the proposed wall?

  22. Me, 016, “good, bad or indifferent the more effective catalyst for change.”

  23. Willy

    It’s a hybrid system. For example, anticorruption initiatives can be democratically passed to be struck down by elected representatives sponsored by wealthy kleptocrats who proclaim that citizens don’t know what they’re doing, resulting in an idiocracy. Nobody’s figured out how to break that cycle yet.

  24. davers

    Off Topic;

    Ian, I just read an article on the nature of human consciousness, which contains many ideas you’ve spoken of in previous posts. I think you’d find it very interesting.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/the-brains-autopilot-mechanism-steers-consciousness/

  25. Hugh

    “It sickens me when I hear today’s “left” talk military matters. BTW, there was a time when the LEFT actually served and knew WTF they were talking about.”

    Lincoln and FDR never served in the uniformed military. Hitler, on the other hand, was a corporal in WWI. So using S Brennan’s logic, Lincoln and FDR were incompetent by definition to wage the iconic wars in which they were engaged while Hitler knew WTF he was talking about when he invaded Russia. Good to know.

    I take Daize to be a Trump-bot although a cut above the run of the mill. The pearl-clutching (people are being mean to his/her bully in the pulpit), the mandatory invocation of Obama, (Clue to Daize, Obama hasn’t been President for two years.), etc. Daize promotes the same error Ian does. As pointed out by others, Trump was all set to sign the CR until two racist rightwing nutjobs Ann Coulter and Rush Limbaugh made a stink about the Wall and then Trump caved. There was nothing in any of this supporting the ridiculous notion that Trump was fighting for something he believed in (as if Trump believes or cares about anything or anyone beyond himself.) Or to bring it back to Daize’s language, with Trump it is never ad rem. It is always ad hominem. If you don’t take things ad hominem with Trump, you have missed the point.

  26. cripes

    Trump is a faux-populist and rank opportunist with the mentality of a 3rd grade bully, and he has an unsophisticated instinct to make pronouncements to build walls and remove troops from an 18-year failed imperial war. He doesn’t consult focus groups or the MIC or the interventionist Obama democrats. This is breaking the rules. Even if he is responding to prodding from his base and radio demagogues, he is defying the established, anti-democratic and elitist practices.

    The corollary to Obama’s telecom betrayal would be if Trump championed sanctuary cities and full rights end benfits to undoumented workers and their families.

    So, yeah, he is in a revolting way, he’s way more honest.

  27. Billikin

    I know that we are supposed to accept threatening to shut down the government as an acceptable tactic, but doing so means that the government breaks promises to the people on a wholesale basis. It smacks of “taking my ball and going home” when the ball is not even yours. Besides, anarchists and “drown the beast” ideologues aside, no legislator really believes in shutting down the government. (And by threatening a veto, Trump is acting as a legislator.) Like all games, the political game of legislation is played by rules, and shutting down the government breaks the rules. Trump may not mind shutting down the government, because Trump is not really interested in governing, and will use any means to win in his own eyes, but that does not make his threat OK. For others who have used the threat to shut down the government as a tactic, it is political theater.

    But leaving aside the question of legitimacy, Trump is not really fighting for a campaign promise. Yes, he stirred up anti-Latino hatred during his campaign — where, oh where, is the border wall with Canada? — but, unlike other so-called promises, such as the promise to “drain the swamp”, Trump’s rhetoric about the wall on the Mexican border was never coherent. When that was pointed out, his supporters said that we should take Trump seriously but not literally. In the past two years Senators and Congressmen have taken Trump’s symbolic wall seriously, but not literally, and have passed legislation to incorporate Trump’s promise seriously but not literally. Now Trump proposes to take himself literally, for whatever reasons. He wants to break the rules of the game in order to score something that he can call victory. That’s not fighting for your campaign promises, that’s just fighting for the sake of fighting.

  28. ponderer

    Yes he should, Ian. It’s a very good point, but the most important is why. It has nothing to do with the wall (which is mostly symbolic) or its effectiveness, Trump’s personality or which groups lose out.

    If anyone should be held to their word, it should be politicians. Once a politician has been elected it is almost impossible to get them out. We keep running this cycle where candidates make promises that no one expects them to deliver on. They wink to one special interest group or another, while lying to the public and then betray everything they “stood” for once in office. The corporate party then white washes everything they do in the service of their own enrichment and that of the 1%. We get “reformed” Bush’s and Clinton’s selected by the MIC rammed down our throats. The party apparatchiks and their water carriers are always on standby to sow FUD should there be any questioning of the corporate parties interest.
    In the instance of a clear campaign “promise”, voters should demand that those they elect follow through on their promises, even the dumb ones. The majority of people who identify as part of the two Parties, don’t do that (nor the “fringe” parties afaik). They will say they have an excuse such as when the Constitutional Scholar decided it doesn’t apply if you leave the country, or might be difficult to arrest, and so death-by-drone isn’t really a Law issue. This will make them careful about what they promise, and give the country some idea of how they will govern. That is, it will help every voter, even the losers.

    I’m not in favor of stupid laws. I’d like to think that if any elected official were to find that some policy were egregiously detrimental to their constituents (not just those who voted for them) that there could be a process by which they could demur from say, bombing Iran. Otherwise, and by-large, they should be fearful of breaking any promises with their electorate which is the exact opposite of what we have now. This current system of gas lighting of the American voter is not going to work out the way the partisans here think. It’s why Trump got elected and will get reelected. No one wants to put their future in the hands of someone who will lie to you 100% of the time. 50% looks pretty good if you’ve had 90%+ for the past 30 years. If Trump does even half of what he says, especially the monumentally good ones like pulling out of Syria, he’s going to be in office for awhile yet. Again, for those stuck in the partisan muck, I’ll say if you don’t like Trump, wait until you see the next guy.

  29. NoPolitician

    Trump did not merely promise a wall. He promised a wall which would be paid for by Mexico. His supporters may want a wall, but I doubt that they would be on board with paying more taxes to build that wall. If it’s free, then who cares. Ask them to pay for it and their tune will change.

  30. ponderer

    Mandos:
    “When a Democratic house is seated in January, elected specifically to thwart Trump, should the promises be kept by two years of shutdown?”

    The same people didn’t elect them. Even if they did, both should keep their promises. At least some effort should be expended by both sides. It’s one thing to try and fail, and another to never really try, or if you are a Democrat tell the little people you tried while starting wars and killing hundreds of thousands, enriching the 1% at the expense of the rest, knee capping every group that might support you that doesn’t work on Wall Street, oh and complain about the Trump tax cuts not going to the middle class like when Obama bailed out the middle class through the banks. har har, sorry couldn’t help myself..

    This is not a foreign concept. Politics always has winners and losers. As long as we embrace this bizarre partisan gas-lighting “divide”, we can expect the losers to lose big. Neither is a government shutdown foreign or unheard of. I don’t think the nation will actually close down for good, like immigrant support, its largely symbolic. The thing is, Republicans are more likely to hold their politicians to account. Get ready for another Blue “compromise”. One that keeps the barrier to immigrants high and assures a financial incentive continues for those who benefit. The Democrats are just as invested as the Republicans in this, don’t kid yourself. That’s why Trump will win this one.

    nihil obstet:
    I remember the same betrayal. It was a great disappointment, more in the party than the man. I couldn’t understand why he got so much support from the base after that. It was like the Great Orange Satan didn’t care about the Rule of Law. An outright lie, defended for the Greater Good. At least some stuck to their guns on that, and more later admitted their error and were vociferous in their condemnation of his worsening betrayals. Not enough by far though.

  31. Troy

    Dunno. Being cynical here, but maybe Trump will trade his wall for no impeachment proceedings? Or perhaps he’s gonna stall Congress long enough that he can bully the 19ish votes the Democrats need from the Republican side of the Republican controlled Senate into voting down/not voting in favor of such proceedings when an impeachment vote passes through Congress. Just spitballing.

  32. NRG

    Would you support and applaud Trump arresting and jailing his political opponents? What with that being arguably his primary campaign promise. . .

    Do you support his harsh treatment of immigrants seeking asylum? Another promise, implicit or explicit, kept?

  33. anonone

    “do we live in a democracy, or do we not, and should a president actually follow up on the promises which got him elected? ”

    No, we do not live in a democracy. The Presidential election is merely a popularity contest; the electors in the Electoral College can elect anybody they want. If they can’t decide, then the House picks.

    The democratic candidate has won the popular vote in 4 of the last 5 elections, but has been denied the presidency in 2 of those 4 elections.

    Nor do we live in a representative republic. The current senate majority comes from mostly-rural mostly-white states that represent 18% of the population.

    The anti-democratic Constitution was written by wealthy white men, and designed to keep wealthy white men in power. Mission accomplished.

  34. ponderer

    @strawmen

    The likelihood of an impeachment, at this point, is almost nil. He promised to be tough on illegal immigration. His base isn’t going to worry about the details of how many times removed the money comes from Mexico or anyone else. It’s obvious the establishment is throwing up every roadblock they can, so if you think Trump voters will be turning into forensic accountants in 2020 you are just wasting your own time. Again, if he only keeps 50% of his word, that’s 50% more than they would have gotten under any other scenario. As a poster below you alludes a Trump voter can’t expect to be represented by a Democrat.

    Should Hillary be arrested and jailed? How about just being investigated instead of covered up. Why would any citizen want a government apparatchiks to be above the law depending on the letter before their name? Do you think Trump should not be investigated because he was Hillary’s political opponent, because we don’t investigate political opponents? Yes, I expect Trump or any POTUS to protect the constitution and enforce the laws, even when our elites are involved.

    In a popularity contest, the one with the most votes wins so clearly not one of those. Majority rule has its own set of issues. The constitution is not anti-democratic as its amendable. It puts a higher burden on change than you may like, but that protects you from other excesses such as constant change from demographics, districting lines, etc. Checks and balances work, when the government can be expected to enforce them. When the peasants of either party stop enforcing noblesse oblige it’s a cop out to blame the system that has worked well in the past.

    If the purpose is to spread uncertainty and doubt, better meme’s are needed. The same old divide and suppress strategy using decades old arguments lacks any entertainment value. Otherwise, change will only happen when a plurality of people recognize their common goals outweigh their uncommon biases.

  35. Chris Marti

    So let me make sure I get this — every time a presidential candidate makes a promise, even a silly one like Trump made about the wall, they’re “doing the right thing” by shutting down the government to get even a watered down version of that promise?

    Really?

    No.

  36. anonone

    The constitution is not anti-democratic as its amendable.

    Nonsense. The 18% of the population that controls the Senate majority also controls the amendment process just like it controls the Supreme Court.

    The Constitution was designed by wealthy white racist men to keep wealthy white men in power.

    They accomplished their mission.

  37. Tom

    @Hugh

    Hitler was a Gefreiter, not a Korporal, in the Bavarian Royal Army. The rank was akin to a Specialist exempt from Fatigues. This meant Hitler was exempt from watch and did not actually stay in the trenches. Instead he was at Regimental HQ a mile from the frontline trenches and ran messages, often during artillery barrages, and under heavy machine gun fire. Because of this, Hitler had a look at and was mixing with senior officers who in turn came to rely on him because he had a good memory and could be counted on to get messages through when the phone lines were cut. While radios were in use during WW1, they were very primitive and susceptible to interference and lack of understanding of the EM Spectrum hindered communications.

    Make no mistake, Hitler was legitimately decorated for his actions, given the high turnover rate of Regimental Runners, but he wasn’t a Front Line Fighter and rarely saw direct fire action.

    As for Trump, we all knew he was shit when we voted for him. I certainly had no illusions. But Hillary was even worse shit and if Trump could at least do some good, he might be worth it.

    So far, it is working a bit as Trump recognizes all the Deep State operatives he signed on are ignoring his directives and can’t even accomplish what they said they can, so he fires them.

    Even Pence has nothing to say anymore as evidenced by how he sat silent throughout Trump’s spat with Pelosi and Schumer in the Oval Office, wondering WTF he was doing there and how off script this was.

    Hell I’m glad the Government shut down too. Part of the funding bill was a provision to outlaw support for BDS against Israel. It is bad enough several states already outlaw it and several Campuses deem any criticism of Israel Antisemitic. Though the ACLU is suing the fuck out of those states and campuses, that they even did so is just so anti-American its a wonder they even happened at all. Recall during the aftermath of Harvey that people recieving aid had to sign a document saying they would not participate in BDS as a requirement for aid.

    Ironically all the Israeli supporters calling for banning criticism of Israel and banning support for Palestinians are engaging in Antisemitism against Palestinians who are a far larger Semite group than Jews.

  38. Hugh

    Tom, you managed to miss my point. Hitler’s military experience and Lincoln’s and FDR’s lack of formal military service did not increase the one’s insight into war nor diminish that of the others. Gefreite(r) translates into English as lance corporal in the British system, simplified usually to just corporal. It is a notch above a private first class and a notch below a corporal. It was the then Weimar President and former Generalfeldmarschall in WWI Paul von Hindenburg who first and most famously gave Hitler the “corporal” tag after his first meeting with him (October 10, 1931). Hitler had apparently blathered a lot and given a bunch of weaselly answers to Hindenburg.

    His assessment of Hitler, although not future events, was spot on:

    “Nach der Begegnung sagt der Präsident zu Schleicher, er habe ihm da einen sonderbaren Kerl geschickt; dieser böhmische Gefreite wolle Reichskanzler werden? Niemals! “Höchstens Postminister.”

    After the meeting, the president told Schleicher that he had sent him a strange fellow. “This Bohemian corporal wants to be Reich Chancellor? No way! At most, a postmaster.”

    http://www.geschichtsforum.de/thema/der-boehmische-gefreite.53543/

  39. ponderer

    @chris marti
    “So let me make sure I get this. ”

    That’s not actually an argument, it’s disingenuous support of the status quo, but you probably know that. If you don’t hold politicians accountable for what they say, they will say anything. There are websites devoted to Obama’s “silly” “promises” and the result of a lack of trust in the political establishment, is Trump.

    @anon
    wikipedia has a good summary of what democracy means. there you will find the range of forms that it can take. The US is one of them. If you’d like to know what happens when you can ignore the desires of the low population states, look to Greece, Italy, Spain, etc. and you will understand why its not happening here any time soon.

    @Hugh
    Thanks for bringing Godwin’s Law and association fallacies into play. Oddly, I agree with your point that military experience is of questionable usefulness to a good statesman. Mostly because that’s what Generals/Subordinates are for.

    I think people who claim they don’t like Trump should stop trying so hard to get him (re)elected. Not that ad hominem attacks on the internet isn’t a good use of time, but there is plenty of perfectly valid criticism that doesn’t require tieing oneself into logical knots. The actions of the establishment such as encouraging a recession, pushing for more war, squeezing that much more from the little people are all going to end up getting us 4 more years of Trump and with good cause. I would have preferred Sanders, but I’m afraid he’s going to get suckered by the MIC crowd.

  40. Tom

    @Hugh

    No Hugh I didn’t miss your point, I was correcting a common misconception many have about Hitler’s military service.

    Gefreiter wasn’t a lance corporal in the Royal Bavarian Army by the way. It was a separate Army with its own traditions and organization within the Imperial German Army. Considering the II Reich had four constituent Kingdoms each with a King who had his own Army, Historians tend to get lazy and not account for the variances between the Armies of Prussia, Saxony, Wurtemburg, and Bavaria in WW1.

    As for Lincoln, he was a Militia Captain and served in the Black Hawk War. He wasn’t without military experience, though he saw no combat.

    FDR had a hands off approach to the war effort. He told Stimson what he considered a priority, Stimson told Marshal and Betty, and those two got it done. If a general or admiral screwed up, they were sacked and replaced by someone who could get results.

    FDR’s major contributions was coalition building and twisting Churchill’s arm into spending the UK into bankruptcy so it would be dependent on the US.

  41. StewartM

    @ponderer:

    If you’d like to know what happens when you can ignore the desires of the low population states, look to Greece, Italy, Spain, etc. and you will understand why its not happening here any time soon.

    If you mean by that ‘impoverishment’, then it’s already been happening for decades, and continues under Trump. Yet they keep voting for the people who abuse them (and yes, that includes Trump). What’s the matter with Kansas? Was Brownback their savior? I seriously doubt Appalachia would done worse under even Killary; and if Trump and his cronies succeed in replacing even the very flawed Obamacare with one of his Crapcare proposals, Appalachia WILL do worse.

    While I believe it’s economics (more generally, infrastructure) that drives most everything, you can’t ignore the power of the narratives. People are good at seeing the Rabbit or the Old Lady or the Man in the moon, in connecting the dots to a larger reference, and while most people can see “my life sucks more” it’s easy enough to encourage people to accept this to correlations to other trends in the US over the past 40 years or so (“my life sucks more because the number of people who call themselves Christian has fallen from over 90 % to 70-some %”, or “my life sucks more because there are more brown people not speaking English that well here”). Of course, those who have been benefiting from the true causes–changes in taxation, spending policies, trade policies, regulatory policies, and the like–are eager to encourage everyone to believe that the problem is indeed too-many-non-Christians or too-many-brown-people and has of course NOTHING to do with their looting and pillaging.

  42. anonone

    @ponderer

    “wikipedia has a good summary of what democracy means. there you will find the range of forms that it can take. The US is one of them. If you’d like to know what happens when you can ignore the desires of the low population states, look to Greece, Italy, Spain, etc. and you will understand why its not happening here any time soon.”

    We do not have democratic elections for President. We do not have voting rights or votes that are counted equally.

    You can call it a “democracy” if you want, but I won’t. We have a system with an illusion of democracy, but that was designed by wealthy white supremacist men to keep wealthy white men in power.

    That is the way it has worked for the entire history of the country.

    Believe it or not, that is the truth

  43. ultra

    Ian: “Eh. He’s put tariffs on Mexico. I’d simply say that is Mexico paying.”

    It’s US consumers who pay for the tariffs of imported goods, not Mexico. Mexico may pay indirectly through lower demand for its products and a loss of jobs, however Mexico retaliated in kind with tariffs of its own. Therefore Mexico isn’t paying for the wall.

  44. Ché Pasa

    When The Wall (marketing gimmick) failed as badly as it has, it became The Not-Wall Fence Barrier renovation to be re-constructed here and there along the southern border to channel and funnel those brown people who keep coming here as if they own the place into regular ports of entry rather than willy-nilly through the desert where they die.

    In other words, reverting to the Bush-Obama Fence and Tank Trap model with more cameras and drones. Which no doubt will be lavishly funded by a newly bipartisan Congress.

    Trump declares victory and we careen on to the next crisis.

    The problems with ICE and CBP will continue because they are politically useful. Fighting for The Wall — and opposing it — is also useful. So it will no doubt continue as long as it is productive. Regardless that the matter is already settled. Then? Oh well, what Wall?

    This is an unsustainable system of rule, so it will continue to destabilize no matter which party and leader is in charge. I’m dubious that it will ultimately collapse though.

    Reform is forever on the horizon, no?

    

  45. Sid Finster

    1. Mexico is not “paying for the wall” via tariffs, unless any revenues attributable to those tariffs are earmarked for buying concrete. As it is, the USMCA is not yet ratified by the Senate.

    2. Regardless whether the wall gets built or not doesn’t really matter. Diehard Trump supporters will follow the man even to the Jonestown Koolaid Dispenser, just as diehard nevertrumpers would stop breathing if Trump were to promote the virtues of regular aspiration of oxygen.

  46. $5billion, while it would be a life-saver for people like you or me, is mere chump change to the U.S. government. It routinely funds way more than that for university research projects that “explore the sex lives of gnats” and other such insipid fare.
    Hence, I think Congress should just “give President Trump his wall”, humor him—and let’s get things rolling again already!

  47. StewartM

    Tal Hartsfield

    $5billion, while it would be a life-saver for people like you or me, is mere chump change to the U.S. government. It routinely funds way more than that for university research projects that “explore the sex lives of gnats” and other such insipid fare.

    While the Fed certainly wastes money, its wastage goes to enriching the already-rich and already-powerful (think: defense contractors, bank bailouts, etc). The government though does certainly *not* waste “billions of dollars” on studying the sex lives of gnats, screwworm files, or anything else. This is a myth born from William Proxmire’s legacy (the Golden Fleece awards) and if you look at the winners they’re mostly in the thousands of dollars, occasionally in the low millions, but none in even the single digit billions.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Fleece_Award

    And why much of that supposedly wasted money really wasn’t wasted (and wasn’t much in terms of the Federal budget):

    https://www.the-scientist.com/profession/what-proxmires-golden-fleece-did-for–and-to–science-62408

  48. S Brennan

    An FYI for the few that take Hugh seriously:

    Above Hugh attempts to create a strawman argument when he [cleverly] inserts “FDR never served in the uniformed military”. Implying FDR had no military experience. This in response to me saying:

    “It sickens me when I hear today’s “left” talk military matters. BTW, there was a time when the LEFT actually served and knew WTF they were talking about. Let-me-see there’s George McGovern…”

    And as usual, Hugh, claiming to represent the left, while offering right-wing ideologies, puts out another falsehood; Franklin D. Roosevelt served as Assistant Secretary of the Navy from 1913 until 1920, he was considered a competent innovator during World War I.

    Hugh is either ignorant of history or is your “basic disinformation model” [see Bladerunner].

    Additionally, FDR’s sons were on the battlefield:

    James Roosevelt FDR’s oldest son could have been exempted from service for his flat feet, but instead he did intelligence work and then became a leader in the Marine Raiders, earning a Navy Cross and a Silver Star

    John Roosevelt, FDR’s youngest son served as a logistics officer aboard the aircraft carrier USS Wasp and received a Bronze Star.

    Elliott Roosevelt FDR’s son flew 300 combat reconnaissance missions. During one he saw Joe Kennedy Jr, die in a plane explosion.

    And FDR Jr. He was a Naval officer in WWII, and was cited for bravery in action. He also famously questioned Hubert Humphrey’s war record when he was brought in by JFK for the crucial 1960 primary in West Virginia, where his father was adored.

    And while I’m here to correct Hugh’s endless disinformation, people should know that Chuck Robb, LBJ’s son-in-law, won a Bronze Star during his two Vietnam tours.

    So as you can see, Hugh’s attempts to [cleverly] obscure/smear the service records of the most genuinely liberal president[s] is a lie, wrapped in a falsehood and covered in deceit. Pathetic.

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