The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Month: January 2010 Page 3 of 5

No carrots for lawmakers without sticks

Once upon a time, a variety of blogs convinced a number of House Representatives to sign a letter saying they would vote against any bill which did not include a public option.  Happy with the promise, blogs then raised money for those Reps.

And many of those Reps are now breaking their word, after having taken the money, and saying they will vote for a bill without a public option.

This is a failure of carrots and sticks.  The problem is that the carrots (money) were given upfront.  Believing there is no real stick, the Representatives will now break their word.

Let me suggest, then, than in any future efforts, any money raised be put into escrow.  If Congress critters keep their word, they get the money.  If they break it, it is automatically used to run attack ads during the next election, noting that the Rep in question is the sort of person who thinks nothing of breaking their word.

Carrots without sticks mean people will take your money, then spit in your face and laugh at you because they know you’re too cowardly to do anything about it.

No carrots without sticks.

TARP Wasn’t All the Relief

This is all very nice:

“We want our money back and we’re going to get it,” Mr Obama said, pledging to “recover every single dime the American people are owed” for the troubled asset relief programme bail-out fund.

But would we stop acting as if TARP was the only money used in bailouts? It was much more than that.

Back

from Victoria.  It’s strange to think that may be the last time I’ll ever be in Victoria, a city I have visited almost every year, and sometimes more than once a year, for most of the last 20 years.  But with both my parents dead, and no personal friends there, I expect I’ll never return.   Victoria is essentially a big little town, and the sidewalks roll up around 9pm, but it’s probably the prettiest city in Canada (I’m told Quebec City is in contention, in a completely different way, but have never visited it).  It also has some of the best bookstores in Canada, a ton of other interesting stores, and some of the best weather in Canada, as long as you don’t mind rain.

And I miss the sea, and will miss it more.

Want Something Fixed? Make Sure Important People Have Skin In the Game

What do bad schools and the Iraq war have in common with each other?  Neither gets fixed properly because important people have no skin in the game.

1) Because the elites and their kids friends mostly do not go to public schools, almost no one they know or care about is getting a lousy education because of public schools
2) Because almost  no one they care about is getting a lousy education in public schools, it is not that urgent to them to fix public schools.

This is similiar to the reason the Iraq war did not get stopped:

1) Because the elites and their kids/friends mostly do not serve in the military, almost no one they know or care about is/was getting killed or maimed in Iraq.
2) Because almost no one they care about was/is getting killed in Iraq, the elites did not care enough to stop the Iraq war from going on for years and years.

Principle: when elites are not affected by a problem they have a lot less incentive to fix the problem.

Solution: don’t let elites opt out of things like military service and public schools if you want problems with both (illegal wars, not enough body armor, bad schools) to be dealt with properly and in a timely manner.

Originally published January 7th, 2008.

The Deeply Broken American Police System

I remember, years ago, when the news of torture in Iraq first came out, I wrote an article entitled US Finally Treats Iraqis Just Like Americans. The point was that abuse and rape is so rife in US prisons and jails, that waterboarding and stress positions are really only embellishments. To an outsider it is evident that the US police and prison system is out of control.

So when I read that police in St. Paul pepper sprayed a jailed woman over her entire body, then refused to let her wash it off—I’m not surprised. When I read that a number of prisoners were on a hunger strike to convince guards to get medical care to an anemic women who had passed out, I’m not surprised.

‘Cause here’s the truth. Shoving people around can be a lot of fun. And being a cop or prison guard lets you do it almost as much as you want to. As a practical matter, brutality and abuse of power almost never leads even to a slap on the wrist, let alone being fired or criminal charges. Don’t piss off the really important people (of whom there are fewer and fewer every year) and you can be a petty tyrant to anyone else you please.

A lot of cops are good folks, but a lot of people who join the police or become prison guards do so because they want authority, because they want to be “the man”. Once inside, they join a society which has a strong undercurrent of hostility and contempt for civilians, who are seen, in many cases literally, as either sheep or criminals. In part this is natural, police interact with people when they’re at their worst or weakest—either with people who have committed crimes, or people who have suffered crimes. Neither group comes across well—the first are scum, the second are often shattered and seem weak. That’s the police life, day in, day out. So many police come to see civilians through that lens, because that’s most of what they see of civilians.
Add to this contempt the attitude of those who direct the police in operations like this, such as the Bush Secret Service, who have been corrupted by Bush into his Praetorian guard whose main job is less security than making sure no one can ever show dissent anywhere Bush could possibly see it, and you have a real problem. Most people are very malleable, they do what people in authority tell them to. People who stand up to authority are very rare. Police, by the very nature of the job, don’t actually tend to be mavericks, movie stereotypes aside. They tend towards authoritarian personality types. They like to give orders and they like to take orders. Sure, there are exceptions, but they are definitely not the rule.

Combine the fact that cops see civilians as an out-group (not like us) with official encouragement and fear mongering (terrorist anarchists) along with the personality profile of many folks attracted to the job and you have a group which is primed and ready to be brutal towards people they believe “deserve it”. Add to that the fact that police being disciplined for brutality and for violating people’s rights is actually quite rare, add in dollops of new police powers given by Congress, the executive branch and the Supremes over the last few years, and it’s practically a guarantee of police abuse of power, the destruction of the right to assembly and the end of real free speech. (The joke about free speech zones, of course, is “wasn’t the entire country a free speech zone?”)

Police are probably necessary in society. I do say probably, because large and complex societies often had  far far fewer people performing police functions than modern societies and most modern societies have even fewer than the US does. But as with standing armies, they’re profoundly dangerous not just for all the reasons listed above, but because large paramilitary forces (and US police are paramilitary, they have been systematically militarized, first by the war on drugs then by the war on terror, over the last 30 years) inevitably not only have to justify themselves by doing something (and what they’re best at is violence against civilians), but also provide a temptation to those in power. Why listen to people, why fix problems, when those who complain about the problems can just be intimidated or beaten into silence?

So a society which is really concerned about liberty and freedom has to watch its cops very carefully. They can’t be allowed to get out of control, to forget that they exist to serve civilians, not to shove civilians around. In the US the evidence is that the line has been crossed. This happens so regularly now that it’s just expected. It’s hardly commented on in the press, despite being the exact same behavior that has the press so excited and outraged when it happens in other countries like China. No major politician can be bothered to call it out as inappropriate. It’s just the new normal.

And so it’s hard not to come to the conclusion that if the US isn’t exactly a police state, it’s certainly not a free state. And with more people locked away than any other country in the world, it’s also impossible not to conclude that it’s also a prison state. Violence and the threat of violence is so endemic in the US that most Americans don’t even notice any more that they live in a an incredibly violent society which is kept on track by intimidation, and when necessary, actual violence. They don’t notice that their cops are out of control, ill-disciplined and essentially above the law.

Instead it falls mostly to those of us from outside, or Americans who have lived elsewhere to say “there’s something wrong here. Something deeply pathological.”

More on this in some later pieces. For now, though, look at the US, at the RNC, at your prisons, as if you weren’t American, and see what you see. Because I can tell you now, no other western first world nation is like the US in this regard. And it’s not one of those things Americans should be proud of.

Originally posted at FDL on Sept 3, 2008.

Traveling

I’m heading out to Victoria to take care of the necessary.  I have queued a few posts for the time I’m traveling, one on the American police system, one critique of the libertarian theory of earnings (more interesting than it sounds like, unless you don’t like slapping around libertarian morons) and one on a reason why things don’t get fixed in America.

I do have a laptop, so you may see me around during my travels, but as a creature of long habit, when traveling I tend to read books instead of surfing.

The Fact That You’re Offended Is Just Noise

Recently had someone complain that women’s groups shouldn’t have to effectively lobby Congress, Congress should just do the right thing.  Ok, then, let Uncle Ian explain the facts of life.

If those who are effected by policy won’t effectively lobby for themselves, those who are in power will run right over them.  This may or may not be the way things should be, but it is most definitely the way they are.  Even if they do lobby effectively they may get run over, of course.

That may be appalling, but hey, it was appalling when the Bankers got trillions and mainstreet got a lot less, too.

The powerful do what they can, the weak suffer what they must. Nothing has changed since Thucydides wrote that statement almost 2500 years ago.

Powerful people don’t care whether you’re offended or not, they only care whether or not you can hurt them.

If you can’t, the fact that you’re offended is just noise.

Incentives Do Not Work To Change Bank Behavior

The FDIC has put out a proposal to penalize banks whose pay practices incentivize risky behavior.

It won’t work.  The time is long past to stop using incentives and to simply tell them what to do.  The banks in Britain are eating almost the entire cost of the banker bonus tax of 50%.  Bankers have no concern with the health of their banks, only with the size of their own salaries, since they know that if necessary governments will spend any amount of money to bail them out if they go under.

This is not going to change, because we just spent trillions proving it to them, and they won’t believe words over actions, as they shouldn’t.

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