Ian Welsh

The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Lula Wins In Brazil, His Opponent Has His Passport Seized

Lula came back to win in Brazil. Flavio Bolsonaro, his opponent had more votes in the first round, but lost in the second. There are a few issues here to unpack.

First: there’s very little question in my mind that Flavio is corrupt and has engaged in criminal acts much like Trump and Biden and so on, indeed much like virtually all American elites.

As I pointed out about US lawfare, what makes this contentious is not the question of Flavio’s guilt or innocence, but that, as a rule, elites in Brazil are allowed to be corrupt. There are laws that are simply not enforced against them. So this is, in a sense, political: if Flavio (and his father) had stayed out of politics, they would have been left alone.

There’s a bit more to this though, because the Bolsonario right has made threats that Brazil’s government can’t really put aside.

Given what just happened in Venezuela, such threats can’t just be waved aside.

But going after just the Bolsonaro clan doesn’t fix the problem. They didn’t come from nowhere: they came from a deeply corrupt oligarchical class which is becoming more, not less powerful, as they engage in mergers and acquisitions. Their power is growing.

They are also allied to Brazilian evangelicals (who are much like American evangelicals, complete with love for Israel and voting as their pastors tell them to), and evangelicals worship is growing FAST.

Evangelicals tend heavily conservative, and not traditional conservative, but authoritarian, even fascist.

Lula’s eighty. This is probably his last term. If he doesn’t break the power of the oligarchs and do something about the Evangelic virus, Brazil is heading right wing authoritarian and hard.

But doing anything will be very difficult. Why?

Ouch.

 


It’s my annual fundraiser. This allows us to cover the changeover of hegemony from America to China, environmental collapse, internal US fascism, what a better society would look like, Gaza, AI, the coming stock market crash and various other issues. As of this writing we’ve raised about $3,845 out of a $14,500 goal, from 47 people. It’d be great if you can help out (please don’t donate if your financial situation is dire.) You can Subscribe or Donate here or contact me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net if you need another way to donate (mail, usually. A lot of cash apps don’t work in Canada.)


Now there’s some silver lining here. The non Bolsonarist right hates the Bolsonaro right, so some of them will support Lula in taking them down. The liberals/center likewise, but even so, Lula’s going to have a lot of trouble with congress.

The weakness of Catholicism is a real problem thru the world. Whatever one thinks of Catholics, there’s a real social gospel, they  take of the poor and works not just faith part of Catholicism that makes it infinitely preferable to Evangelicism (which I regard as straight up anti-Christian, and people whom Jesus will not recognize.)

Although people tend to concentrate on the Church’s problems finding enough priests, I think the real problem is nuns. Nuns are the people who actually womanned the Church: they ran the schools, did most of the food aid, were the backbone of Catholic hospitals, etc, etc. The collapse in vocations for nuns has been devastating to the strength of the Church. Without nuns they simply can’t create the community that was the core of Catholicism before the 70s.

Being a nun used to be a pretty good deal. If you were a woman who didn’t want to marry, and did want a career of sorts, it was one of the only ways out. Yes, men are in charge of the Catholic Church, but practically speaking the nuns mostly ran their own affairs. It was a way out of a society that offered women very little but “be a legal slave to your husband.” As things got better for women, they could get that and more without becoming a nun.

I don’t know the solution. I expect monasticism to revive as things get worse, but that’s not going to be fast enough to turn things around.

Oh, and Meta actively interfered with the elections and Lula needs to ban US social media and replace it with a domestic alternative or Chinese social media (that’s less ideal, but they’re far less likely to abuse their power.)

As for cracking down seriously on corruption and breaking up the Brazilian oligarch class, well, that too seems unlikely, they’re just too powerful.

So while I’m very glad Lula won, I don’t like the looks of what the future holds for Brazil.

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – October 25, 2026

Week-end Wrap – Political Economy – October 25, 2026
by Tony Wikrent

 

A Blue Wave Won’t Wash Away Our Oligarchy Problem

New Republic

 

War on voting

Ballot Rejections Soared in Rural Counties After USPS Reduced Mail Service

Ken B. Morales, Jen Fifield and Misty Harris, [ProPublica]

 

Trump’s Last-Ditch Election Lawsuits, Explained

Joyce Vance, October 24, 2026 [Civil Discourse]

 

How the GOP Is Working to Steal the Midterms (w/ Joel McCleary and Mark Medish)

Chris Hedges, Oct 21, 2026

 

U.S. officials privately advise states fearing Trump election meddling – Their private efforts have reached governors, election stewards and lawmakers from both parties who are increasingly alarmed that the administration may interfere in the midterms.

Noah Robertson, Oct 20, 2026 [The Washington Post]

A small group of U.S. national security officials has been discreetly advising state governments and congressional lawmakers on how to prepare for the possibility that the Trump administration will attempt to interfere in November’s midterm elections, according to people involved in the effort.
The group includes about 10 current and former officials with experience in the Defense Department, some of whom have previously focused on countering authoritarianism abroad.
Their efforts are motivated not by political bias, they say, but a growing sense of alarm that President Donald Trump will harm American democracy by undermining the integrity of the vote to keep the Republican Party in power.
Over the past several months, the group has consulted with officials from 10 states, including governors, election officials and members of the House and Senate from both political parties who share a fear of federal intervention, two people involved in the effort said.
The effort, which has not been previously reported, focuses on states and jurisdictions where tightly contested races will determine control of Congress for the remainder of Trump’s presidency. Members of the group remain in contact with congressional staffs, and at least one state has continued to meet with them as it works to address potential vulnerabilities….

 

Trump not violating any law

‘He who saves his Country does not violate any Law’

Trump Stuns By Saying ‘I Don’t Know’ When Asked Directly NBC’s Kristen Welker ‘Don’t You Need to Uphold the Constitution?’

Joe DePaolo, May 4th, 2025 [Mediaite]

 

The Secret Terms of Trump’s Venezuelan Oil Deal

[ProPublica, via Naked Capitalism 10-22-2026]

 

TRUMP PARDONED VENEZUELAN BILLIONAIRE AFTER FAMILY OFFERED ALINA HABBA $50 MILLION DEAL

[Law Commentary, via Naked Capitalism 10-22-2026]

 

Pentagon Installs New Economic Spying And Sabotage Units

[Moon of Alabama, via Naked Capitalism 10-23-2026]

There was some grumbling in Congress when the Trump administration installed Stephen Feinberg, a billionaire from New York, as the second man in the Pentagon. Feinberg had previously led Cerberus Capital Management which has various financial interests in Pentagon purveyors. He had also been chair of the President’s Intelligence Advisory Board from 2018 to 2021, during the first Trump administration.

Feinberg first made headlines when the Pentagon invested billions to take equity stakes in more than a dozen private businesses. There are serious concerns that Feinberg is directing money to businesses he himself and/or Donald Trump’s family are interested in.

His newest endeavors though seem to be less concerned with business. They look like attempts to duplicate the Central Intelligence Agency within the Defense Department….

 

A Texas Cop Signed on to Help ICE Deport His Neighbors. It Tore the Town Apart.

Francesca D’Annunzio and McKenzie Funk, October 25, 2026 [propublica.org]

Ingram, Texas, was just rebuilding from a devastating flood when its tiny police department enrolled in ICE’s 287(g) deportation program. Within a year, cops would hand over the equivalent of 10% of the town.

 

“This Is Not What the Founders Envisioned”

Joyce Vance, October 24, 2026 [Civil Discourse]

As his lawyers prepared to return to court this morning in the legal battle over the East Potomac links, Donald Trump was up early, posting on Truth Social about U.S. District Judge Ana Reyes. He called her a “crazed lunatic” and suggested she “may be insane.” ….

It’s easy to lose sight of how commonplace that has become. And how devastating it is. It used to be that threats against federal judges came from unhappy litigants, as with three of the four federal judges who have been murdered in the last 50 years. The fourth, Judge John Roll, was killed in the shooting involving Congresswoman Gabby Giffords. In 2020, Judge Esther Salas faced an attack in her own home that led to the murder of her son, by a lawyer in a case in front of her who was a self-described “anti-feminist” and “men’s rights” lawyer. But those events didn’t come from inside of the house.

PBS reported that “Hundreds of federal judges have received threats against themselves and their families this year [2026], according to the U.S. Marshals Service. It comes amid a litany of verbal and written attacks by President Trump and his administration on judges who have ruled against them.” There is no reason for the president of the United States to put federal judges, public servants, in harm’s way. And yet, that was where his attention was focused as the lawyers returned to court in the East Potomac Park case today….

 

Strategic Political Economy

GRAPH – Corporate America’s share of the nation’s income, 1950-2025

[Axios, US Bureau of Economic Analysis, via The Big Picture 10-21-2026]

 

Wealth Inequality in America Drawn to Scale

[Dream Again USA. [22

Quite the infographic.

 

Global power shift

China invests record $583 billion in science and tech as US administration seeks research cuts

[Interesting Engineering, via Naked Capitalism 10-18-2026]

 

Gaza / Palestine / Israel

AIPAC Is Spending Millions — Just Not Under Its Own Name

Luke Goldstein and Katya Schwenk, Oct 24, 2026 [The Lever]

… Under the guise of championing popular liberal causes like electing women, promoting reproductive rights, or supporting Latino candidates, these pass-through groups are helping increasingly toxic political machines deliver ads to voters without being named, and they’re weaponizing disclosure deadlines to keep their fingerprints hidden until after ballots are cast. Campaign spending through super PACs that can keep their donors secret until after Election Day has more than doubled this cycle compared with 2024, according to Politico.

These front groups and disclosure loopholes mark a new frontier for secretive political spending in elections already awash in dark money networks that let donors obscure their identities from the voters they’re trying to influence. And they are surely a direct response to this election season’s distinct anti-establishment political climate, where even the most powerful lobbying operations recognize they must find new ways to subvert public sentiment without being exposed….

 

*WATCH OUR NEW AIPAC DOCUMENTARY* Zeteo Pulls Back the Curtain on the Pro-Israel Lobby

[Zeteo, Oct 21, 2026]

 

Oligarchy

Premium: The Hater’s Guide To Blackstone

Ed Zitron [via Naked Capitalism 10-24-2026]

For whatever reason, Blackstone founder and CEO Stephen A. Schwarzman has a thirty-chapter-long series called “My Personal History” that is, well, exactly what it sounds like — a financial hagiography that frames him as a noble, sensible man with strong values, like when he sent a letter to “distinguished skull and bones alumni” Averell Harriman, whose father Edward Harriman had crashed the stock market in 1901 in his dogged attempt to monopolize the post-bubble railroad industry. Averell himself had co-founded a bank with Fritz Thyssen, who banked the nazis.

 

Heather Cox Richardson, October 22, 2026

… Strategic studies scholar Phillips P. O’Brien wasn’t buying that explanation, posting that it is evident “the White House is desperately trying to make [Musk] the fall guy for what is happening to Ukraine.” He continued: “If Trump wanted to help Ukraine militarily and with starshield he could. He is president. He doesn’t want to.”

But it is simply astonishing that the president of the United States, the commander in chief of the United States military, is suggesting he had to negotiate with a private citizen to tell him to stop interfering with American foreign policy….

 

As Republicans brace for election losses, Musk prepares for war

Faiz Siddiqui, October 23, 2026 [The Washington Post]

A host of Democrats have said they are eager to wield the power of their office to investigate the tech titan and his ventures should they win either chamber in the midterms.

 

Elon Musk Just Threatened the Coming Democratic Majority

Lee Hepner, Oct 22, 2026 [BIG]

A few months ago, Paramount owner David Ellison succeeded in forcing California and Democratic states attorneys general to drop their antitrust suit against his acquisition of Warner Brothers. He used a variety of tactics, including a threat to move the studios out of the state, and ultimately bluffed the elected officials into folding. BIG predicted at the time that Ellison’s threatened capital strike, along with political coercion, was a preview of what is to come if voters choose Democrats as a Congressional majority.

And sure enough, that’s what one of Ellison’s close allies – Elon Musk – just did. Earlier this week, following reports that Musk had throttled Ukraine’s access to his Starlink satellite network, Politico ran a story that several Dem members of Congress are gearing up to hold oversight hearings if the midterms go their way in a couple of weeks.

Musk responded by explicitly threatening any Democrat or institution seeking to scrutinize him, his portfolio of companies, or his time at DOGE….

 

United States of Oligarchy Exposes Trump Regime Corruption

[The Nerd Reich, via The Big Picture, October 18, 2026]

The Nerd Reich podcast interviews Casey Michel about his new book on how America’s wealthiest ally with dictators and oligarchs betting against democracy.

 

The Biggest Source of Inequality That No One Talks About

[The Atlantic, via The Big Picture, October 18, 2026]

For 40 years, pass-through income has let millionaires and billionaires sidestep the corporate tax and shield much of their fortunes from income tax. Rogé Karma tallies the trillions in lost revenue.

 

Felonomics

Trump Aides Are Getting Ready to Penalize Defaulting Student Loan Borrowers

[Washington Sun, via thejackpot.blog/node/TodaysWaterCooler20261019]

“Last year, the White House Office of Management and Budget began assisting the Education Department in preparing to seize federal benefits and wages from defaulted borrowers. Trump administration officials are preparing to impose financial penalties on millions of Americans in default on their federal student loans next year, according to five sources familiar with the matter.” And: “The Treasury Department is moving forward with plans to hire private debt collectors, three of the sources said, possibly as soon as November. The sources said those plans are unlikely to be announced before the midterm elections.”

 

FEMA tells states to handle disasters on their own

[Politico, via Naked Capitalism 10-21-2026]

 

Pending Home Sales Plunge to Record Low

[Wolf Street, via Naked Capitalism 10-21-2026]

 

Health care crisis

What a Health Care Crisis Looks Like on the Ground – In South Los Angeles, ER patients are cared for in a gift shop, in tents, and even outdoors. And that’s before the crushing Medicaid cuts.

David Dayen, October 23, 2026 [The American Prospect]

… And that’s before the $1 trillion in Medicaid cuts.

CONVERSATIONS LIKE THE ONES AT MLKCH are happening at safety-net hospitals across the country. Their primary patient population is on Medicaid, and the cuts put into place by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) that Republicans passed last year will torch planned budgets and send administrators frantically searching for revenue to keep the doors open.

This is the silent issue animating much of the anti-Republican backlash in the midterms, and it compounds on itself. Work requirements and other paperwork mandates are pushing people off the Medicaid rolls; enrollment is down by 6 million since Donald Trump’s inauguration; 2.5 million of those are children. The expiration of enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies has made insurance supremely unaffordable, and enrollment in those exchanges is down by 5 million.

This spike in the uninsured population leads people to turn to emergency departments as their primary mode of care, and uncompensated care—U.S. hospitals are required to take on all emergency patients—shreds budgets for safety-net hospitals. If they go out of business, the flow of patients moves to the next ER, and the next, recreating the same problems in a new venue. And the worst cuts are yet to come….

 

Predatory finance

Same Rules, Different Ruins – How the Basel weights priced factories out of eleven economies’ banks

Craig Tindale [via Naked Capitalism 10-20-2026]

The Basel Committee de-industrialised the countries that adopted its rules. According to World Bank figures, manufacturing’s share of GDP fell in ten of the eleven countries in this essay, dropping by 16.8% in India and 60.7% in Australia, where it fell from 13.7% of GDP in 1990 to 5.4% in 2024….

 

They’re not capitalists — they’re predatory criminals

The Cover-Up: How a Trillion-Dollar Industry Launders Illegal Gold

[New York Times, via The Big Picture, October 24, 2026]

This is an illegal mine in Madagascar. Its gold is banned from the world’s legitimate marketplace. Thousands of children work in these mines, in violation of international law. Yet Madagascar’s gold flowed easily to market. And the world’s gold authority helped cover it up. The line between dirty and clean gold is an industry fiction. Wall Street and governments profit off gold from criminals, gangsters and those who exploit children.

 

Fabrications, fraud and false accounting: how Deloitte helped Abramovich hide $10bn

[The London Bureau of Investigative Journalism, via The Big Picture, October 18, 2026]

The Big Four firm spent years faking documents that helped the sanctioned oligarch conceal assets and dodge tax

 

ProPublica: Trump’s FBI purge ended a bribery probe touching Lindsey Graham, James Clyburn, and Joe Wilson

[ProPublica, via Drop Site Daily, October 20, 2026]

In early 2025, the FBI opened a corruption investigation built on confessions from Martin Kao, CEO of the defense contractor Navatek, who told agents that his business model was bribing officials for government contracts, according to a new report from ProPublica. He said he struck cash-for-contracts deals with Sen. Lindsey Graham, Rep. James Clyburn and Rep. Joe Wilson of South Carolina, and with Sen. Susan Collins of Maine. Agents found that much of Kao’s account matched company records seized in the investigation.

After Trump returned to the White House, the DOJ’s anti-corruption section lost authority to file new cases, the career prosecutor quit, and agents assigned to the case were fired or pushed out. The case is now dead. The living lawmakers involved (Clyburn, Wilson, and Collins) have denied any wrongdoing.

 

How Trump’s FBI Purge Saved Lindsey Graham and James Clyburn From a Bribery Investigation

ProPublica

 

Restoring balance to the economy

New Mexico Takes Meta To Court and Wins

[Economic Liberties, Oct 23, 2026, The Economic Populist]

A New Mexico judge this week ordered Meta to pay $25 billion for deceiving users about its data privacy practices after a jury last month found the company guilty of 43 million violations of the state’s consumer protection laws. New Mexico’s victory is a profound lesson to both state and national enforcers: if you want to hold Meta accountable, don’t settle. It’s a take we’ve been sharing with Politico, the Associated Press, and more this week.

New Mexico’s verdict is part of a pattern, with the “Land of Enchantment” having now pressed its own cases against Meta to judgment three times and counting: $375 million in March over child safety violations, $567 million in a second child safety case this August, and now $25 billion. This has all been done after other enforcers signed a settlement, leaving them unlikely to ever pursue what New Mexico just won. The case sends the message that strong consumer laws, when enforced, are a great way to hold big tech to account for its abusive business practices….

 

The Largest Campaign Finance Penalty in American History Cost Meta About an Hour of Revenue. Washington State fined Meta $24.6 million. The European Union’s ceiling for the same violation is $12 billion.

Christopher Armitage, Oct 19, 2026 [The Existentialist Republic]

…The European Union sets the penalty for the same kind of failure by the size of the company. Under the Digital Services Act, the European Commission, the European Union’s executive body, can fine a large online platform up to 6% of global annual revenue. For Meta’s 2025 revenue, that comes to about $12 billion. The commission issued its first fine under that law on Dec. 5, 2025: €120 million against X for transparency violations, including an ad repository that left out who paid for each ad.

Brazil and Australia apply the same principle to bribery and corporate misconduct. Brazil’s Clean Company Law, in force since 2014, makes a company strictly liable when the company’s employees or agents bribe public officials for the company’s benefit. Prosecutors have to prove the bribe and the benefit. The law allows a fine of up to 20% of the prior year’s gross revenue, and the fine can never be less than the benefit the company obtained. Australia’s 2019 corporate penalties law sets the maximum civil penalty for a company at the greatest of several measures. Those measures include three times the benefit obtained and 10% of annual turnover, up to 910 million Australian dollars….

 

Information age dystopia / surveillance state

Why aren’t AI companies being charged for hacking?

[Musing Mortoray, via The Big Picture, October 18, 2026]

A blogger asks whether hacking is legal now, after Anthropic models broke into three systems and OpenAI’s hit an Australian government health site. AI companies claim their hacks were unpredictable accidents — but they follow foreseeably from deliberate design choices, and that establishes criminal intent.

 

The technopolitics of ad-tech

Cory Doctorow, October 19, 2026 [Pluralistic]

… the internet’s original sin isn’t advertising, it’s surveillance. Contrary to what you have been told – and pax Winner’s framework – the internet is fully compatible with privacy:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/10/31/losing-the-crypto-wars/#surveillance-monopolism

It wasn’t the internet’s technopolitics that made it a surveillance nightmare. It was just plain politics. Specifically, our politicians decided to stop enacting and enforcing privacy laws….

Surveillance also promotes oligarchy. Without surveillance, oligarchs must give up more of their fortunes to keep the public happy, because the alternative is spending even more money on guards to keep the public from building guillotines on their lawns. Surveillance lets oligarchs make targeted strikes on restive radicals, which is much cheaper than broad-spectrum policies that make us all better off and neutralize the case for guillotines:

https://pluralistic.net/2025/06/26/autostabilizer/#slicey-bois

These are the technopolitics of surveillance, not advertising. There is nothing about advertising that demands surveillance. For centuries, advertising was not meaningfully linked to surveillance. The decision to fuse surveillance with advertising was just that – a decision, not an inevitability….

 

I Used AI To Surveil Myself At Work. What It Can See Will Disturb You. We talked to workers at Meta, Amazon, and Microsoft about Bossware.

[More Perfect Union] Oct 22, 2026

 

Collapse of independent news media

If the Supreme Court wants to protect freedom of the press, here is its chance

[The Hill, via Naked Capitalism 10-18-2026]

 

The death of history’s most successful publisher

Cory Doctorow [Pluralistic]

Contrast this with AI, the money-losingest endeavor in the history of human civilization. Google is losing hundreds of billions of dollars on AI. The more AI Google does, the worse the company’s financial footing becomes. If Google does this for long enough, it may cease to exist altogether. This collapse can only be prolonged by Google’s ongoing extraction of value from web publishers, who no longer have their works connected with audiences via Google search results. Instead, Google usurps those audiences, shows them as many ads as it can, and still loses money in the bargain.”

 

Democrats’ political malpractice

Why Are Democrats The Party Of No?

David Sirota, Oct 22, 2026 [The Lever]

It is an open secret that establishment Democrats loathe the left of their own party more than they oppose Republicans. You can see it in corporate Democrats trying to sabotage populist Democratic nominees and vilifying the Democratic Socialists of America. Less well understood is a related dynamic: Establishment Democrats’ foremost mission — the thing they equate with the ultimate form of toughness, courage, and morality — is using power to block the full set of policies the public actually wants.

To them, Democrats’ highest virtue is not their ability to enact big ideas, but instead their willingness to replace the GOP as the new party of no and be this era’s William Buckley — a bulwark that “stands athwart history, yelling stop, at a time when no one is inclined to do so, or to have much patience with those who so urge it.”

This vector isn’t much talked about in polite circles, but it is finally getting a rare moment in the sun, after a series of scream-the-quiet-part spectacles related to Medicare For All, which a new Yale study shows could save $1 trillion and 114,000 lives every year.

The first of those came from Majority Democrats, a billionaire front group aiming to become a new version of the old Democratic Leadership Council….

 

DNC votes down ‘dark money’ resolution singling out AIPAC, defers resolution on military aid to Israel

[ABC News, via Naked Capitalism 10-18-2026]

 

James Carville Says He’d Rather GOP Win House by 5 Seats Than Dems Win by 5: They’d Be ‘Hostage to DSA’

David Gilmour, October 19, 2026 [yahoo.com/news/politics]

 

Rahm Emanuel’s Plan To Make Sure Democrats Lose In 2028 – Desperate to cast their do-nothing, pro-billionaire agenda as shrewd politics, Democratic elites pretend the key swing vote is country-club Republicans rather than enraged working-class voters.

David Sirota, Oct 22, 2026 [The Lever]

 

The Blue-State Democrats Fighting To Shield Billionaires From Taxes

David Sirota, Oct 22, 2026 [The Lever]

 

Conservative / Libertarian / (anti)Republican Drive to Civil War

MAGA Built the Censorship Machine It Spent Years Falsely Accusing Democrats of Building

[Techdirt, via The Big Picture, October 18, 2026]

Mike Masnick on the projection: the apparatus MAGA warned Democrats were building is the one it built itself.

 

All the Things You’re Not Allowed to Say In Texas

[The Atlantic, via The Big Picture, October 18, 2026]

How new state laws and university policies at Texas Tech, Texas A&M, and UT Austin are restricting what professors can teach.

 

The (anti)Federalist Society assault on the Constitution

The Supreme Court’s Right Flank Wants to Give You Fewer Privacy Rights Than a Famous Judge

[Slate, via Naked Capitalism 10-18-2026]

 

‘Big business’: little-known court system in Louisiana churns out thousands of evictions – and millions in fees for judges

[The Guardian, via Naked Capitalism 10-22-2026]

 

Civic republicanism

SpaceX Is a De Facto Government Agency. It Should Be Nationalized. Otherwise, Elon Musk sets U.S. foreign policy.

Harold Meyerson, October 22, 2026 [The American Prospect]

This week, The Wall Street Journal reported that the decision to block Ukraine from the high-speed Starlink satellite alerts that enabled it to intercept Russian missiles and drones was made by SpaceX owner Elon Musk, either in conjunction with President Trump or in advance of Trump’s support for the action. Whichever version is more correct, Musk is either making or carrying out a fundamental shift in U.S. foreign and military policy—something that no private citizen has ever done in our 250-year history….

 

I Teach at a Business School. It’s Time to Shut Them Down.

[New York Times, via Naked Capitalism 10-20-2026]

the breakdown of elite competence

 

The REAL Reason Europe Destroyed Itself | Dr. Ulrike Guérot (YouTube video)

[YouTube, via Naked Capitalism 10-20-2026]

[Robin K:

A very provocative presentation followed by Q&A on the future of Europe. The title is slightly misleading. Her talk is about the future of Europe, based on her recent book, Why Europe Should Become a Republic. Guérot makes a distiction between democracy and republic. She aims for recreating Europe as a national Republic.

 

Tech bro branded ‘huge piece of s–t’ for game that lets you kill ‘homeless people’ — but some fans love it

[NY Post, via Naked Capitalism 10-18-2026]

[TW: The tech bro flagrantly violated one of the basic principles of political economy in a republic: government should encourage citizens to “do good.” Letting players kill billionaires might not be much better, but it at least would be taking aim at the cause of most all our problems.]

 

.

 

Information Overlord: Skydance + Musk, Egypt + Saudi Arabia

Nat Wilson Turner = Information Overlord = Flames Up = Phones Out = No Sense of Urgency

What I Released This Week

From me as Nate Wilcox at the Let It Roll Podcast

From me as Nate Wilcox — The MMA Draw & the Mad Squabbles Show


It’s Ian’s annual fundraiser. This allows us to cover the changeover of hegemony from America to China, environmental collapse, internal US fascism, what a better society would look like, Gaza, AI, the coming stock market crash and various other issues. As of this writing we’ve raised about $3,185 out of a $14,500 goal, from 34 people. It’d be great if you can help out (please don’t donate if your financial situation is dire.) You can Subscribe or Donate here or contact me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net if you need another way to donate (mail, usually. A lot of cash apps don’t work in Canada.)


What I’ve Been Reading and Watching

Trump Regime 2.0

  • The Pentagon Buyout King — The American Prospect. “Feinberg has been doing a little of everything at the Pentagon, overseeing nearly all of the administration’s pet projects. He supervises its investment units, which, staffed with former Cerberus execs, have been buying equity in and making huge loans to companies in the military supply chain, many of them with ties to the Trump family and other well-connected private investors. One of those investment offices, which the Biden administration stood up to make low-interest loans to backstop domestic defense production, is now involved in managing the United States’ Venezuela oil deal. It recently floated issuing a $5 billion loan for AI infrastructure development, in partnership with a new bank founded by defense tech billionaire Palmer Luckey. Another one is called the Economic Defense Unit; Feinberg created it himself earlier this year and installed George Kollitides, a former aide-de-camp at Cerberus, as its head. Kollitides also leads Feinberg’s new Business Operators for National Defense consortium, which plans to ‘embed’ hundreds of defense executives in Pentagon offices.”
  • The Wall Street Veteran Trying to Solve the Pentagon’s Missile Problem — Wall Street Journal. “Trump asked Feinberg why he was still seeing media reports that the U.S. had paused attacks on Iran amid concerns about dwindling weapons stocks, given Feinberg’s job was to improve those stocks.
    “‘The president wants more. The secretary wants more. I want more,’ Feinberg recently said, explaining his approach in his first interview since taking the job last year.
    “As the U.S. expends thousands of missiles in the Iran war, Feinberg is trying to speed up the Pentagon’s ability to get new weapons. The jury is still out on whether it will work.
    “Over the past year and a half, he has attempted a sweeping overhaul of the Defense Department’s approach to weapons production, establishing a new procurement bureaucracy reporting directly to him and taking billions of dollars in government stakes in companies that supply critical materials, rocket engines and other key parts.
    “In large part, he has relied on companies and executives familiar to him from his time running the investment firm he co-founded, Cerberus Capital Management.”
  • The Moment Katie Zacharia Found Out Her Five-Day Stint as Press Secretary Was Over — Wall Street Journal.

Saudi Arabia

  • Blood without representation: Why Saudi Arabia can’t stop the Houthis — Kulna. “Why can’t Saudi Arabia, one of the world’s biggest military spenders, stop the Houthis? The answer isn’t weapons. It’s the bargain the Gulf monarchies were built on, which is now breaking, and a decade of MBS’s absolute power that left the kingdom no way out.”
  • Rave. Fight. War. — Sportspolitika. “As the U.S. orders its diplomatic staff to leave the Gulf, Saudi Arabia and the UAE are relying on combat sports and raves to maintain a facade of normalcy in a time of war.”
  • Bryan Fonseca on the Saudi events still going ahead — @BryanFonsecaNY. “Everyone has been canceling their Saudi-based events — except for ones that are TKO-backed.
    “Canelo vs. Mbilli (Oct. 31) and WWE Crown Jewel (Nov. 7) still set to move forward despite the ongoing war.
    “Zuffa is reportedly planning another boxing card on Nov. 14 in Riyadh.”

Drop Site News: Saudi Arabia has canceled or postponed a string of flagship international events amid the regional war and escalating Ansarallah strikes

  • Turki Alalshikh announces the return of Riyadh Season — @Turki_alalshikh. “With the support and empowerment of His Highness the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, King Salman bin Abdulaziz, and His Royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Crown Prince, sponsor of the Vision and our inspiring leader, Riyadh Season returns with diverse entertainment events and experiences, exceptional sports championships, and varied musical concerts and theatrical shows 🇸🇦♥️
    “Welcome to Riyadh Season”
  • Saudi Arabia executes a man for charges he allegedly committed at 14 — @DropSiteNews. “Saudi Arabia announced Saturday it had executed a man convicted of charges he allegedly committed at 14: befriending people who were detained or wanted by the state, according to court documents reviewed by Human Rights Watch.”

UAE

Skydance

  • Elon Musk makes $1 billion investment in Ellison’s Skydance — Semafor. “Elon Musk has invested roughly $1 billion in Skydance, according to people familiar with the matter, providing a much needed financial injection as the company looks to cut costs and bolster its stock price.
    “The deal came together at roughly the same time as equity investments from Skydance’s other investors, including board member Laurene Powell Jobs, the people said. Semafor reported in September that Paramount was considering seeking an equity injection from Musk.
    “Musk has publicly praised the Ellisons and Skydance, prompting speculation of a more expansive partnership between Musk’s lower-earth-orbit satellite network, Starlink, and Skydance.
    “‘He’s gonna have to re-engineer all of those channels, and figure out how they morph into streams themselves rather than just traditional linear,’ billionaire cable executive John Malone said Tuesday.”
  • CBS’ DraftKings Gamble — Status. “Late last week, as local stations around the country continued to prepare for Election Day, executives at CBS’ owned and operated television stations learned of an unexpected curveball from corporate management. Their election coverage, they learned, would now be sponsored by the sports gambling site DraftKings.”

Israel

Ukraine

Dem Collapse

Mehdi Hasan INTERROGATES Neera Tanden for hosting Benjamin Netanyahu — @ClippingWings.

https://x.com/ClippingWings/status/2110922837506568642

GOP Hacks

  • ICE Barbie Goon Unmasked as Creator of MAGA’s Vilest Ad — The Daily Beast. “The man behind Kristi Noem’s infamous horseback commercial at Homeland Security has been exposed as the creator of Vivek Ramaswamy’s vile new attack ad, a new report alleges.
    “The Rooster reports that The Strategy Group Company, run by Benjamin Yoho, is the creator of the ad featuring an interview with Democratic candidate Amy Acton’s estranged mother, in which she casts doubt on her daughter being a victim of horrific childhood abuse.”

Uprisings

Psychopathology

  • You Can’t Know Everything — Unpopular Front. “Here’s what I think is going on with Elizabeth Holmes: She has an extremely severe form of the defense mechanism that Melanie Klein called splitting—dividing self and world into unambiguous ‘good’ or ‘bad.’ She cannot admit that she has any bad qualities: any aggression, any selfishness, any tendency to deceive others, or even any of the more positive forms of aggressiveness like ambition. On her account, her motivations are all benevolent, idealistic, and noble. She even says she never lies! Now, I believe a consciously deceptive person would admit that they, like everyone else, lie casually from time to time to avoid hurting others or to get out of inconvenient situations, but they avoid lying in serious issues or have a strong ethical aversion to lying. A total denial of lying immediately raises red flags: It is not an effective strategy for building trust. Usually, hearing something like that is a sign of someone being a little bit crazy. She cannot face or integrate that aggressive part of herself. Most mature adults with healthy psyches can admit to themselves and others that they have some less than stellar qualities—that they can be selfish or even destructive at times—although they balance that behavior out with nice qualities, for example, the capacity for love and kindness, and the ability to make amends when they do wrong.”

Conspiraversy

Follow and Support My Work at NatWilsonTurner.com

The Danger Of Cynicism

Some years ago I realized that one of the reasons I was a good analyst was my upbringing. My parents were alcoholic, my father was, errr, erratic at best and could blow up for what appeared to everyone but him no reason. My experiences with other authority figures, with a couple honorable exceptions, taught me that people with power could not be trusted: they lied, used their power against the people they were to serve, and cared for nobody but themselves and their cronies.

In most ways this was bad luck: it certainly didn’t make me a happy camper. But when it came time to analyze politics and economics in the West, it served me very well because Western leaders from at least Reagan/Thatcher (and often before) could not be trusted, not even to look after their own nations’ best interests. They were selfish, stupid, and almost completely depraved. (Epstein has revealed just how far that depravity extended, as has Gaza.)

Years ago I wrote an article noting that I am not interested in either pessimism or optimism: what matters is realism. The cynic is not realistic, their cynicism blinds them to when people are doing the right thing, sometimes even for the right reasons.

While it’s generally true that I have a slight bias towards optimism (my mistakes are almost always expecting things not to be as bad as they turn out, despite my reputation for pessimism) I first noticed that my priors against authority figures weren’t right almost all the time when I got Xi wrong.

Corruption pre-Xi was endemic in China: a huge problem. Everyone I know who was in China agreed about this. When Xi took over and he launched his anti-corruption purges, I assumed they were just about purging his enemies using the fact that they were corrupt as justification. I figured once he’d finished them off, he’d allow his own faction to continue with rampant corruption.

I was wrong. Oh, he definitely prioritized his internal enemies, but once he’d broken them he didn’t stop, he kept going after corruption, often against his own allies.

HOLY SHIT.

I had never, in my life, seen such a thing. That’s a terrible indictment of Western leadership, but it’s true.


It’s my annual fundraiser. This allows us to cover the changeover of hegemony from America to China, environmental collapse, internal US fascism, what a better society would look like, Gaza, AI, the coming stock market crash and various other issues. As of this writing we’ve raised about $3,185 out of a $14,500 goal, from 34 people. It’d be great if you can help out (please don’t donate if your financial situation is dire.) You can Subscribe or Donate here or contact me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net if you need another way to donate (mail, usually. A lot of cash apps don’t work in Canada.)


So I had to look at my priors and my conditioning. I’d just, in some sense, been lucky: my assumption of corrupt incompetence was an accident of my upbringing which had been reinforced because unfortunately, it happened to be true in the West.

Now this isn’t to say that there isn’t still corruption in China, or incompetence. But it’s far rarer in China, and all indications, from actions and results, are that Chinese leaders really do want the vast majority of their population to be better off. That doesn’t mean they’re free of self-interest, breaking corruption saved the CPC because if it had continued, they would have wound up like American politicians: owned by the oligarchs, and China would have descended into oligarchy. That would have derailed China’s trajectory, since oligarchs always want financialized economies, as they produce much higher profits than industrial economies. Problem is, financial economies hurt most ordinary people and weaken the country and the state.

Likewise one can look back to occasional basically good governments in the West: FDR is a good example. He did the wrong, even evil thing sometimes, but overall he was “for the people” and it shows in what he did. He spent a lot of effort cracking down on corruption, just like Xi, and he genuinely tried to make Americans better off. There are other example, including Britain in the immediate aftermath of the war.

The fact is that sometimes governments aren’t fundamentally corrupt and sometimes they aren’t led by incompetents. It’s just that during most of my life (and probably yours) that hasn’t been the case in the West.

If it happens sometimes, it can happen again. It’s simply realistic to acknowledge that there are better and worse governments and some of them are pretty good, at least for their own citizens. (The US in the post war period killed a lot of people it didn’t have to.)

I see a lot of cynicism these days and a lot of people stuck in the past, believing that the US is all powerful, that things can only get worse and that everyone in power is unalloyed bad.

This isn’t the case, and you do yourself an injustice if you believe it, because you fail to see that things change and that they can, and in some cases WILL change for the better.

Don’t be a cynic. Be an optimist if your private life (it’s delusional but good for you) but not in your public one. And don’t be a pessimist.

Instead, strive for realism without letting your realism shift into cynicism and hopelessness. Things have been better. They are better some places. They can and will be better again, though it may be a long time depending on where you live (but remember, you can move.)

Realism doesn’t mean despair and realism isn’t cynicism. For your own sake, understand this.

There Aren’t Actually A Lot Of Places For Billionaires To Run

So, the news comes in that Mark Zuckerberg is not going to leave California even if the 5% wealth tax passes. Jensen Huang of Nvidia isn’t moving either. Some billionaires have, most notably Thiel to Argentina, and a few to Texas, but overall, most are staying in place.

A just-released SEC filing makes an extraordinary revelation: Mark Zuckerberg is getting ready to pay California’s 5% billionaire wealth tax and has signed an agreement to remain in California for 8 years.

Here’s the thing, there aren’t a lot of world class cities, and there are even fewer industrial and tech centers, for smart leaders who want to be where things are happening.

In the US there’s L.A, San Fran, New York and if you’re very political, DC. Chicago, Miami, Austin and Dallas are second tier options, but can be made to work. Boston seems to have fallen out of the great US cities, except for academia, but that’s under heavy assault.

In Europe there’s a few, but basically Paris and London are the main spots.

Japan has Tokyo, Dubai isn’t an option any more.

And that’s about it. Most billionaires aren’t willing to live in some regional city. As for moving tax domicile, it’s certainly possible, but only because Europe and the US allow it: it’s simple enough to tax all domestic income and go after foreign hidden money: when Switzerland tried to resist the IRS, the IRS broke them. You simply have to have the political will.


It’s my annual fundraiser. This allows us to cover the changeover of hegemony from America to China, environmental collapse, internal US fascism, what a better society would look like, Gaza, AI, the coming stock market crash and various other issues. As of this writing we’ve raised about $3,145 out of a $14,500 goal, from 38 people. It’d be great if you can help out (please don’t donate if your financial situation is dire.) You can Subscribe or Donate here or contact me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net if you need another way to donate (mail, usually. A lot of cash apps don’t work in Canada.)


If we want to tax billionaires it’s not hard. Where are they going to go? China won’t take most of them, and if it does, it’s damn well going to tax them, and might even execute them if they pull the sort of fraud they routinely commit in the West. Russia isn’t an option any more. Tax havens exist only because they are allowed to exist.

There’s always an excuse for why we can’t tax the rich, but the most bogus one is that they’ll “just move”. That’s only true IF tax laws are set up to allow it and there’s no cooperation between countries. But basically any time the US and Europe get serious, it ends.

Of course it won’t end, yet, because billionaires own the governments of most countries. But nothing lasts forever, and the tide is turning.

 

The World Continues To Seek Alternatives To American Tech

As I’ve been writing for a long time now, as the US abuses its power, other nations move away from it.

For example:

The Iran war has proven that you can’t rely on US weapon shipments. For another example:


Why not? Because the US doesn’t create enough interceptors and such interceptors as there are go to Israel.

Then there’s this:


Likewise the entire sanctioning of China backfired. They created their own payment system, which is spreading. They created their own semiconductor industry and now have the largest industry in the world, where before Chinese companies preferred to buy US/Taiwanese chips.

Each time the West tries to use its control of something it backfires because the West is no longer the only alternative. If Ansar Allah, ruling the poorest country in the world, can create a credible missile and drone force with only moderate help for Iran, most countries can. So why pay the US, especially when the Iran war has proven the US can’t protect you and can’t even supply you?

Meanwhile in Brazil:

A whistleblower revealed that Brazil’s far-right Bolsonaro family dynasty met with Meta to discuss US plans to interfere in Brazil’s election, to prevent Lula from winning. Lula’s Facebook and Instagram accounts were censored a few days before the first round of the presidential election.

This had a huge impact on the election, because Facebook, Instagram, and WhatsApp, which are all owned by Meta, are the most popular apps in Brazil, and are hugely influential all across Latin America. (Jair Bolsonaro’s son Flávio was declared the winner of the first round of the vote, by a narrow margin.) Meta later admitted that Lula’s accounts had been restricted, but it claimed that this was supposedly due to a “technical error”…

So what happens if Lula wins? Well, good chance he kicks Meta out and that’s a MASSIVE market that Meta and America lose.

The core of this sort of coercive power is either “there is no alternative” or “we don’t use this power against you”. You must have one of the two, if you don’t, the power will be taken away from you the more  you use it.

 


It’s my annual fundraiser. This allows us to cover the changeover of hegemony from America to China, environmental collapse, internal US fascism, what a better society would look like, Gaza, AI, the coming stock market crash and various other issues. As of this writing we’ve raised about $2,060 out of a $14,500 goal, from over 20 people. It’d be great if you can help out (please don’t donate if your financial situation is dire.) You can Subscribe or Donate here or contact me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net if you need another way to donate (mail, usually. A lot of cash apps don’t work in Canada.)


 

American and Western decline continues. It is a simple function of there now being alternatives: China is the main one, but not the only one. Also countries are learning that they can create their own industry, that it isn’t impossible. And they’ve learned that relying on another country for anything important always creates a vulnerability.

So this will continue: movement away from relying on US products, movement towards China and Russia and other alternatives and most importantly, movement towards creating domestic capacity and reducing reliance and thus vulnerability to other nations, especially ones that are seen to frequently abuse whatever leverage they have.

Trump’s China sanctions basically lost America tech giants most of the Chinese market. Continued abuse will lose the US much much more than that.

 

Widespread Riots & Protests In Europe & India

France has been in a long decline. Money is constantly shifted the rich and to pay for it austerity is pushed. Most recently the French government wanted to, again, increase the pension age. This decline shows up in stats that most people ignore, for example, food consumption per capita:

As usual, France systematically understates inflation, so you can safely assume that the line hasn’t gone flat since 2004 or so, but continued to decline.

The war with Iran and Russia, meanwhile, has lead to increasing fuel shortages:

There are currently widespread riots in France. The triggering event was police brutality:

A high school student protested that the public school’s toilet was leaking and full of rats.

The protesting kid got beaten by the police until their mouth was bleeding, and even got shot right in front of their face. x.com/melenchon4ever

Several kids also ended up with their hands mutilated by the police. x.com/neruda57/statu

The peak of it was a kid getting drowned by the Police. x.com/alertesinfos/s

This police brutality awakened class consciousness among all the high school students in France.

> Intel started infiltrating. Some tried to deflect by pushing the narrative that this protest was caused by Muslim immigrants to scapegoat them for the unrest. x.com/abdoulafar7631

Rioting then spread to Spain and Belgium. Meanwhile there are massive protests in Albania, originally triggered by Kushner wanting to buy up a huge chunk of Albania’s seashore. This is so serious that when the Supreme Court ruled for Kushner, the protestors burned it down:


In India there are massive student protests. The government moved 50,000 troops and militarized police into Delhi and set up massive roadblocks. That didn’t stop the protesters, who used the roadblocks against the police and systematically slashed police vehicle tires. The roadblocks wound up actually slowing the police and military down.

The key thing to understand is that provocations happen all the time, the French police have never not been brutal bastards. Like a spark in a forest, it’s only dangerous if there’s plenty of dry tinder: people who are on the edge of rioting anyway because they’re unhappy with their lives.


It’s my annual fundraiser. This allows us to cover the changeover of hegemony from America to China, environmental collapse, internal US fascism, what a better society would look like, Gaza, AI, the coming stock market crash and various other issues. As of this writing we’ve raised about $1,020 out of a $14,500 goal, from over 25 people. It’d be great if you can help out (please don’t donate if your financial situation is dire.) You can Subscribe or Donate here or contact me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net if you need another way to donate (mail, usually. A lot of cash apps don’t work in Canada.)


This is the start of a LOT more civil unrest unless the US and Israel end the Iran war. Fuel shortages will increase, food prices will jump this year and even more next year, and people who feel like they have little to lose will take to the streets. There isn’t a lot of trust left in the system: majorities believe that the people ruling them don’t care about them, and they’re right. If people believed in their rulers, this wouldn’t be happening, at least not yet.

So all of this will spread. In India I expect that there will be serious farmer riots in the next year, something that India is prone to anyway. In Europe, even after these protests are suppressed, there will be re-occurrences and they will become more serious and more widespread.

It’s always difficult to predict Trump, but the most likely scenario, supported by massive movement of ships, planes and troops, is that after the mid-terms the war will start up seriously again. The US and Israel WILL lose: they don’t have enough interceptors and munitions to win and the idea of invading Iran successfully is ludicrously stupid: it will not happen, and if it is tried, it will be a catastrophe.

But the Iranians have been warning that if there is an escalation, they will hit hard this time, and given how much they’ve increased attacks on tankers, their words are supported by their actions.

Meanwhile the Sauds are getting ripped up by Ansar-Allah. They are completely unable to defend anything from missiles and they’re doing badly on the ground. Egypt has said they’ll send troops, but for “defense only” and I doubt it will make a serious difference. So oil, fertilizer, helium and other resources from Saudi Arabia that aren’t already offline are at risk and there’s no reasonable possibility of fixing infrastructure, since Yemen can just blow it up again.

At the same time China keeps adding new items to its export bans. They’re particularly targeting Japan, but Europe and America are getting hit as well.

All of which is to say, this is just the start. Expect more civil unrest in more countries, possibly including your country. This entire mess has been handled very badly, with an emphasis on keeping oil prices artificially low and not in conserving inventories or making sure that affordable oil and fertilizer get to important sectors like farming. So fuel will go up, food will go up, prices in general will go up, there will be more unemployment and people will be angrier and angrier with less and less to lose.

The correct action would be to admit defeat and end the war, but until the US is under much more stress, that seems unlikely.

Brace yourselves.

2026 Annual Fundraiser

This blog runs on reader subscriptions and donations. Reading it is free, and always will be, but it does take money to run the site and keep myself fed and sheltered. Every year (except one time when I was sick and forgot) I do an annual fundraiser, and the funds raised are what make the blog viable.

Last year was an exciting time. (Exciting, alas, is not a synonym for good.) We spent a lot of time in Iran and lately on Yemen, because the ur-theme continues to be the decline of the America Empire, the end of centuries of European hegemony, and the cycles of history—in this case a movement away from democracy and liberalism.

Years ago I put up a category called the “Age of War and Revolution” with sub-categories like “End of America Empire”, “The Future is Chinese”, “The Twilight of Neoliberalism” and “The Green Age After the Collapse.” Since the 2000s I’ve been writing about why and how this shift would happen and the last few years have been the period when it started happening in ways only the most blind could ignore.

Historians will look back to this period, in which the US consecutively over-extended itself in Ukraine, Gaza and then Iran as the point at which US decline became impossible to ignore, though its inevitabililty was locked in almost two decades ago, perhaps more.

This is a fascinating period, a once every hundred years civilization switch in hegemony. For the first time in centuries the West does not lead in technology, science, industry or military ability.We also have a military revolution which has empowered middle powers to stand up to great powers and an energy revolution, as we cycle off oil as the primary source of motive energy. Democracy and neoliberal capitalism are in danger, and a form of Communism now looks like the best type of government to many around the world.

Going forward I want to write much more about the future, because when systems clearly fail, people don’t so much create new ideas as pick up the ideas on the ground. The job of writers and thinkers and readers is to find those new ideas and to spread the good ones.

Readership is up about 30% this year, even after removing bots. People want to read what is written here. But to write, money is, alas, necessary. I hope you will subscribe or donate. The goal is $14,500. If you’re personally in financial trouble, if food or shelter is an issue, please don’t give. If not, and you value this blog, please do.

SUBSCRIBE OR DONATE TO IAN’S 2026 FUNDRAISER

(Afterword. If you had a subscription and think it’s still running, please check. When credit cards change, the subscription ends. I always let people know, but email messages don’t always get thru. If you can’t use paypal to donate, let me know. Snail mail still works or if you’re Canadian, an Interac transfer. (Most US cash apps do not work in Canada. You can reach me at admin-at-ianwelsh-dot-net, about this or anything else.)

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