The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Obama did NOT save the US From a Depression

Stop saying Obama saved the economy, he did no such thing. The US is in a depression (not a great depression, but a depression). All Obama, Bernanke, Geithner, Paulson and Bush did was push the day of reckoning back a bit in order to save the rich, at the cost of trillions of dollars which should have been used to restructure the economy.

Why I have to keep telling people this, as they experience an absolute decline in their goddamn wages, I don’t know.

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35 Comments

  1. Mary Queen of Scots

    Because people are idiots who buy into the party marketing machines. Hell, they elected FDR four times during the longest period of craptastic economic conditions that existed in the United States. I guess Americans like crappy economic conditions. Who knew?

  2. anon2525

    Hell, they elected FDR four times during the longest period of craptastic economic conditions that existed in the United States.

    The Works Progress Administration (renamed during 1939 as the Work Projects Administration; WPA) was the largest New Deal agency, employing millions to carry out public works projects, including the construction of public buildings and roads, and operated large arts, drama, media, and literacy projects. It fed children and redistributed food, clothing, and housing. Almost every community in the United States had a park, bridge or school constructed by the agency, which especially benefited rural and Western populations.

    Between 1935 and 1943, the WPA provided almost eight million jobs.

    Yeah, what were they thinking?

  3. Bernard

    The focus is and always has been stealing as much as possible before the Crash comes. Bleeding us dry, and then move on to another victim/country.

    A wonderful plan to fleece the American people. with the best Congress Money can buy.

    Well done, indeed!

  4. anon2525

    Bleeding us dry, and then move on to another victim/country.

    A wonderful plan to fleece the American people.

    Sounds to me like they have a stupid plan. Maybe they haven’t heard — there is no longer a New World over the horizon that they can sail away to. And when they get cold enough, the fleeced are going to want their fleece back.

  5. Because all the photos tell us a Depression happens in black-and-white and we can clearly see out the window that the world is still in living color, so how can we be in one?

    Also: food stamp swipe cards have replaced very visible bread lines.

  6. Also re: the WPA creating 8 million jobs: note that FDR did that via Executive Order. Now THAT”S political courage.

  7. anon2525

    The US is in a depression (not a great depression, but a depression).

    Or, as economist Dean Baker affectionately refers to it: a goddamn disaster

    “The economy is a goddamn disaster and President Obama deserves much of the blame.”

  8. anon2525

    …food stamp swipe cards have replaced very visible bread lines.

    There are still bread lines, but they have taken a modern form. Now they are formed of people who wait outside grocery stores just before midnight at the start of the month. They receive their food-stamp benefits on their cards just after midnight. This has been noted recently by, among others, an executive at one of the large grocery store chains — I think it was Wal-mart.

  9. BDBlue

    The people I hear this from or hear “we had to bailout the banks”* are folks whose real wages have not gone down in this downturn. Of course, everyone will be screwed by the end, but it hasn’t happened to them yet. So they were briefly fearful in 2008 and then as nothing bad happened to them, they convinced themselves that Obama had saved them (instead of the truth, which is that they were 1) lucky and/or 2) high enough up the food chain that the cram down of living standards hadn’t reached them yet).

    * They mean the bailout as it occurred and not just simply, something had to be done about the banks.

  10. someofparts

    “Why I have to keep telling people this, as they experience an absolute decline in their goddamn wages, I don’t know.”

    Well, if the flood of disinformation we get from the corporate press is a big contributing reason for this, and I think it is, then I find it encouraging that the right wing took a shellacking from hispanics across the west.

    I’ve always wondered if back when our immigrant ancestors organized on behalf of labor, it made a difference that they were just beginning to use English and still spoke German, Polish, Russian or what-have-you within their own communities and families.

    I’m guessing it is harder to brainwash someone when they don’t speak the language in which the disinformation is delivered. I’ve always wondered if that has a impact on the ability of people to see things clearly and organize effectively.

    If it does, I’m pleased that the fascists among my fellow citizens are so dead set against learning Spanish.

  11. Obama himself told us his economic plan would keep unemployment below 8%. It’s now at 9.6%, so how can his plan be a success?

  12. alyosha

    Obama saved us from the immediate effects of a Depression, in the sense that if McCain had won and followed GOP dogma, the jobless rate would be some multiple of where it is now, the car industry would be toast, etc. In other words, McCain would’ve delivered all the pain now, instead of meting it out over a decade or more.

    It would be interesting if he would’ve capitulated to the banks (likely), or let good ol creative destruction work its wonders in that space, too.

  13. Eureka Springs

    John “Keating” McCain, taking on banksters?

    Surely you jest?

    http://www.realchange.org/mccain.htm

  14. Z

    The top two rumored candidates as secretary of treasury for a would-have-been mccain administration were phil gramm and john thain. The bankers would have gotten their way, but it;s hard to imagine they would have gotten their way any more with mcccain than they have with obama.

    Apparently, obama is beginning to course correct from his socialist ways:

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/11/04/white-house-to-business-c_n_778780.html

    Z

  15. Why I have to keep telling people this, as they experience an absolute decline in their goddamn wages, I don’t know.

    It’s because all those nice people on TV say otherwise. Oh, and the not-so-nice people on radio, too.

    I really think you can put it down to that. The government’s economic policies blunted the depression a bit, that’s about all the good I can see in it. There was plenty of bad to make up for it, though. In the end, we might have been better off with McCain.

    Ain’t that a hell of a note?

  16. an

    yes, there are bread lines, they’re just well hidden. I think they call them food pantries now, but the one that sets up in my hood every week has the line going down the alley, so you’ll never see it. And the soup kitchens and homeless shelters aren’t exactly going out of business either. We just consider their clientele to be bums.

  17. Formerly T-Bear

    “Obama did NOT save the US from a depression”

    And He does not walk on water either.

    The lad has chosen a worm-eaten skiff, brightly painted with words, brilliant promises hiding rotted timbers, moth-eaten sails the fabric unable to hold a breeze and a gale-storm approaches; the untried skipper at the helm, no experience to fall back upon, and head filled with panic.

    Next time maybe the lad will try taking a boat, one which has a hull capable of keeping water out, one which has a sound keel, one that retains its rudder and a sound mast and sails – something seaworthy. Should there be a next time. Politics and the ocean are stern masters and do not submit well to egregious error. More than one captain has gone below with their pride, the lad will not be the last.

    The ship of state is in ill repair, it is taking on water, the crew having no confidence in their command are not hearing warnings from whatever quarter, self-preservation has become the order of the hour, fearful babble reigns and rocky shoals are hard upon the craft. Soon a bell will sound in the halls of LLoyds in London town, another vessel lost with all hands aboard.

  18. beowulf

    McCain was a wildcard, you look how he started as a doctrinaire Sunbelt Republican when he went to the Senate in 1986 to replace the retiring Goldwater. Then look where he ended up during the 2000 Republican primary and the first couple of years of the W’s term. There wasn’t a sharper, more popular and, frankly more moderate Republican in the country (W. excepted, Republicans invariably nominate the right guy 8 years too late). On issues, he was solid, hether voting against Bush’s tax cuts or voting in favor of climate change and of course his opposition to torturing prisoners. I just liked the guy.

    But if he wanted to be president and he knew that meant sucking up to the right. That awkward (due to war injuries) 2004 hug with W. was the start of a long slide down. Once he secured the ’08 nomination in the spring, he should have moved left on the issues, fired his Rovebot staffers and begged Mike Murphy and John Weaver to come in to run the campaign. If he’d done that, he’d have had a greater chance of winning and of being a decent president. But he was too far gone.

  19. Apparently, obama is beginning to course correct from his socialist ways:

    Yep. The places where the party can win more seats* are places where business mythology is strong.

    *Guess where they can most likely win more seats from Republicans.

  20. anon2525

    It’s because all those nice people on TV say otherwise. Oh, and the not-so-nice people on radio, too.

    A possible alternate reason for why Ian Welsh has to keep telling people this is that the people he is writing/talking to have not yet lost their jobs or homes. Many of the people who have lost their jobs or homes are not writing on the internet.

    The government’s economic policies blunted the depression a bit,…

    That’s the lie. The policies have extended and deepened the depression. For example, had the large banks been put into receivership, the existing (or new) banks would not have the excess reserves to sit on and would be looking for opportunities to lend. And had a right-to-rent policy/law been put in place, many families would be renting their houses instead of paying a mortgage that was more than the property is worth or homeless. These people don’t think that the depression was blunted.

    One of the problems with the current policies is that we don’t get to see the much better policies that could have been been in their place.

  21. That’s the lie. The policies have extended and deepened the depression. For example, had the large banks been put into receivership, the existing (or new) banks would not have the excess reserves to sit on and would be looking for opportunities to lend.

    The existing/new banks would have gone on a capital strike as the Chamber is always threatening to do (and perhaps is doing). What was needed much more than receivership was jail time and laws against sitting on excess reserves.

  22. Ian Welsh

    Nah. You just let them go bankrupt, take them over with the FDIC, reinflate them with the Fed and use them to lend directly while you prepare to break them up. Meanwhile you shovel money to local banks and blood capital into credit unions.

  23. anon2525

    We’re helpless. We have no choice. Not only did we “have to bailout” the banks then, but we “have to bailout” the banks, still:

    Joe Nocera has a nice discussion of the foreclosure scandal in the NYT. However at the end he decries the fact that if we require Bank of America and other big banks to adhere to the law, then the losses could be so large that we would need to bail them out again.

    The part missing from this story is that we could have bailed the banks out with conditions that were so onerous the banks would not be happy about the bailouts. We could have wiped out the shareholders, forced the creditors to take large haircuts and also put real caps (instead of the idiot versions intended to fool gullible reporters) on executive compensation.

    The reason that these conditions were not imposed in 2008 is because the of the power of Wall Street, not the underlying dynamics of the situation. Nocera should have figured this one out by now.

    For the 645,546th Time, We Can Put Conditions on Bank Bailouts

    We always have to bail them out. Heck, if you see a banker accidentally leave some loose change at at table in a coffee shop, it is your duty as a citizen to chase him down the street and give him $5 from your pocket. And offer to walk his dog.

  24. anon2525

    You just let them go bankrupt, take them over with the FDIC, reinflate them with the Fed and use them to lend directly while you prepare to break them up

    Baker concurs:

    Claim 2 implies that the economy would have collapsed absent the TARP. It assumes an absurd counter-factual: that the government and the Fed would have allowed the banks to collapse and then done nothing in response to boost the economy. Of course that would have been a catastrophe, but it is simply a lie to claim that our options were either doing TARP or never doing anything.

    There is no reason that we could not have let the banks go down in the cesspool of junk loans that they had fostered and then flooded the system with liquidity after the fact to boost the economy. This is the serious alternative scenario — not the permanent do nothing scenario that TARP proponents have created.

    The Cost of the TARP: One More Time

    He also critiques two other claims.

  25. Celsius 233

    anon2525 PERMALINK
    November 4, 2010
    Bleeding us dry, and then move on to another victim/country.
    A wonderful plan to fleece the American people.
    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
    Sounds to me like they have a stupid plan. Maybe they haven’t heard — there is no longer a New World over the horizon that they can sail away to. And when they get cold enough, the fleeced are going to want their fleece back.
    ========================================
    When was the last time sheep demanded their fleece back?
    I’ve been hearing this line for years; somebody stole American’s spinal column.

  26. Formerly T-Bear

    @ 233 ºC

    First it is “Change election funding” but to do so Law needs be legislated; but the legislature is broken.

    Then it is “Elect more better™ legislators” but the political process is corrupted; the political parties are broken.

    Then it is control the government but that is run and dominated by the imperial executive; the presidency is broken.

    Then the courts will pass judgment but the law has been laid low, cut down by judges with nefarious agendas; the courts are broken.

    Then it depends upon the citizen to act but the citizen, bereft of education, possessing no remembrance of history, no knowledge of economics, no concept of civics, no acquaintance with Law, and willfully ignorant of any discipline of substance; that citizen is broken as well.

    When all is taken together and summed, the bottom line is that this extent of damage cannot be undone. At the end of the day, the interrelated complex that sustained the Republic is no longer, what remains is a body politic riddled with cancer: a cancer of lies, a cancer of propaganda, a cancer of illusion, a cancer of delusion, a cancer of self-deception, a cancer of hubris.

    In the end, power abhors a vacuum, something will replace what once had a vital balance. Those in power will try to remain there and will apply greater and greater force and coercion to do so; but this too will break down as all autarchical despots ultimately do, the expense of force finally undermining the autocrat.

    Maybe then, enough of the Philadelphia construct can be recalled and a new edifice built in such a manner that no individual, no group, no corporation will be allowed enough power by themselves or in conspiracy to endanger the new edifice. The life expectancy of a Republic averages about two centuries before the political impulse is spent; this Republic is no exception. Those things that extend the life of Republics were not done and profound corruption prevails.

  27. Sorry, Anon. FDR’s policies worked and had a tangible benefit. When he skewed right to placate southern Democrats, unemployment briefly rose and the Republicans roared back from the dead.

    1932 Unemployment 24.9%. Hoover out.
    1934 Unemployment 21.7%. That’s a substantial improvement. More seats.
    1936 Unemployment 16.5% Happy days are here again. Re-elected.
    1937 Course correction.
    1938 Unemployment up to 19%. Republicans double their seats
    1940 Unemployment down again. FDR re-elected
    1944 Unemploynebt 1%. Winning WW II. Re-elcted.

    In the meantime, FDR gave people Social Security, unemployment compensation, the first minimum wage, the legal right to organize in unions, and safeguarded their bank deposits (FDIC) and stock (Glass-Steagle). Infrastructure in the shape of roads, dams, electricity, bridges, schools, post office, football stadiums, parks and more was popping out all over the place. Growth in both the economy and the stock market was spectacular not craptastic. The Dow had its best run until the Clinton years. GDP was growing like China’s from a few years ago (I heard from 8% to 13% per year for a while).

    It took a long time to get out of the hole because the hole was enormous. This time the hole is not as deeep but the progress is not nearly as strong. Are you better off than you were two years ago? The answere was generally yes with FDR and is no this year.

  28. anon2525

    Sorry, Anon. FDR’s policies worked and had a tangible benefit.

    Why “sorry”? That Roosevelt’s policies worked was my point to Mary Queen of Scots.

  29. beowulf

    “Meanwhile you shovel money to local banks and blood capital into credit unions”

    Are you trying to get the Red Cross and the rest of blood bank lobby riled up? :o)

    You’re right though, the FDIC should have taken the leading oar on this. The Federal Reserve Board could have simply given the FDIC an unlimited credit line, then sat back and watched the show.

  30. Celsius 233

    Formerly T-Bear PERMALINK
    November 5, 2010
    @ 233 ºC
    ==================================
    Well done! One of the best summations of our current position I’ve ever read.
    I especially liked your last paragraph; hopeful but realistic. Maybe we can rediscover our lost republic, but it’s many miles of bad road to get there; so-to-speak. Cheers.

  31. Ian Welsh

    Agreed, actually. T-Bear, mind if I post that as a post, crediting you, of course?

  32. Formerly T-Bear

    @ Celsius and Ian
    Those are kind words, thank you. Please use any comment as you see fit, they are made in the public domain, always hopeful of value.

  33. Calagacus

    David Kowalski: Of course you are right, but you are righter than you think. You are using, like most everyone else, the stupid Lebergott numbers for unemployment. Until 1942, and contrary to modern practice, they unreasonably counted people employed in the WPA, PWA etc New Deal programs as unemployed. The correct numbers are the Darby numbers; see Wikipedia’s New Deal article for them. In 1937 unemployment was 9.1%, lower than it is now.

  34. anon2525

    …they unreasonably counted people employed in the WPA, PWA etc New Deal programs as unemployed.

    Haven’t you heard? “Gov’t. can’t create jobs.” reagan said so. It’s tattooed on republicans brains. obama said so — do the math.

  35. S Brennan

    Calagacus,

    In trying to follow up your point. I could not find your reference, could you quote and link with a sentence to help find your reference?

    “Darby numbers; see Wikipedia’s New Deal”

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