The Canadian Election
Ok, on to what actually matters, today’s Canadian election. This is going to be a nail biter, and will almost certainly come down to BC. Over the weekend the Liberals collapsed in Ontario. Oddly that gives the Conservatives an outside chance at their majority, since it may actually mean that some Conservatives win who otherwise wouldn’t have been viable. The Liberals are going to be squished back into their safe seats and nothing else.
However this goes, credit to the Quebecois for turning the election upside-down. Their rush to the NDP, making them front runners in Quebec made everyone else take the NDP seriously.
In America the establishment does everything it can to make what you’re about to witness not happen, by making sure there is no one viable to vote for who is actually left wing.
In the meantime, I am comforted to know that no matter what happens, Michal Ignatieff, the torture apologizing putz who has led Canada’s ruling party to absolute disaster, will soon be out of a job. The possible outcomes here are so variable, from coalitions to minority governments, to majority governments of either the left or the right that it’s hard to say much about what should be done after the election, till after the election. I will only note that I hope the NDP has transition teams in place already, because the other parties are going to be waiting for them to stumble.
I doubt I’ll live blog the results, but feel free to use this post during the results countdown, and I may pop in to say a thing or two. The places to watch are Ontario and BC. Ontario because the extent of the collapse there means Ontario will determine the very outside possibility of a majority for the Cons or NDP, BC because that’s where it’s going to come down to.
Update: Note that it is illegal to report election results before the close of the last polls, which is 9:30 Pacific time. This is a law I agree with, and I’m Canadian, so I won’t be posting results before then (and I may be asleep by then.) Many people on Twitter have said they’ll break the law but I won’t be one of them.
Update 2: Automated phone calls are going out with false statements that residents polling stations have changed. These calls are happening in Ontario and BC. Could be Liberal, but I’m betting it’s Conservative as they’ve been big into voter suppression ever since elcted. It’s a pity that doing this isn’t an offense with a life sentence. I would suggest that if/when the NDP gets in, they make it so. These sort of American tactics are not acceptable in Canadian elections. I’d even consider making it a capital offense, and yes, I’ll be part of the firing squad.
Update 3: In violation of the elections Act, Stephen Harper asked for votes today. The ridings where the false information is going out seem to be ridings where the Conservatives are in danger of losing the seat. The Canada Elections Act gives the following as the penalties:
If a judge finds a person guilty of an offence, the person may receive a fine or a period of imprisonment, or both. Under section 501 of the Act, the Court may also impose additional penalties, such as:
- performing community service
- performing the obligation that gave rise to the offence
- compensating for damages, or any other reasonable measure the Court considers appropriate
- a fine of up to five times the election advertising expenses limit exceeded by a third party
- with respect to certain offences, the deregistration of a party and liquidation of its assets, and the liquidation of the assets of the party’s registered associations