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	<title>Comments for Ian Welsh</title>
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	<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net</link>
	<description>The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine</description>
	<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 19:13:20 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Comment on Worth more dead than alive—why and how credit default swaps need to be insured by PPDCUS</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/worth-more-dead-than-alive%e2%80%94why-and-how-credit-default-swaps-need-to-be-insured/comment-page-1/#comment-5876</link>
		<dc:creator>PPDCUS</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 09:00:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1813#comment-5876</guid>
		<description>Good recommendations all, Ian.  

Unfortunately the odds are nil that effective regulation will reverse this dynamic by first protecting the real economy from predation by the financial &amp; government capture economies in America.

These incentives only appear perversely toxic to the former, not the latter two economies, which depend on them for exponentially disproportionate returns while risk is laid off on others.

Frank is no Pecora.  Obama is no FDR.  

And Elizabeth Warren is Brooksley Born.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Good recommendations all, Ian.  </p>
<p>Unfortunately the odds are nil that effective regulation will reverse this dynamic by first protecting the real economy from predation by the financial &amp; government capture economies in America.</p>
<p>These incentives only appear perversely toxic to the former, not the latter two economies, which depend on them for exponentially disproportionate returns while risk is laid off on others.</p>
<p>Frank is no Pecora.  Obama is no FDR.  </p>
<p>And Elizabeth Warren is Brooksley Born.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Worth more dead than alive—why and how credit default swaps need to be insured by Ian Welsh</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/worth-more-dead-than-alive%e2%80%94why-and-how-credit-default-swaps-need-to-be-insured/comment-page-1/#comment-5875</link>
		<dc:creator>Ian Welsh</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 08:35:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1813#comment-5875</guid>
		<description>hahaha

Exactly, MB!  

Life insurance is where the customer bets he's going to die before the life insurance company thinks he is!

If you win, you lose!

(Or, as I used to joke, when a life insurance company writes you about how sorry they are your spouse/parent/whoever died, you may rest assured they mean it from the bottom of their cold calculating heart.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>hahaha</p>
<p>Exactly, MB!  </p>
<p>Life insurance is where the customer bets he&#8217;s going to die before the life insurance company thinks he is!</p>
<p>If you win, you lose!</p>
<p>(Or, as I used to joke, when a life insurance company writes you about how sorry they are your spouse/parent/whoever died, you may rest assured they mean it from the bottom of their cold calculating heart.)</p>
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		<title>Comment on Worth more dead than alive—why and how credit default swaps need to be insured by minstrel hussain boy</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/worth-more-dead-than-alive%e2%80%94why-and-how-credit-default-swaps-need-to-be-insured/comment-page-1/#comment-5874</link>
		<dc:creator>minstrel hussain boy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 07:53:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1813#comment-5874</guid>
		<description>here's how i saw life insurance.  i was talking with my earnest and well-meaning agent and he was heavy duty into the schpiel, i stopped him and said:

"ok.  let me get this straight.  i'm betting you that i'm gonna die, you're betting me that i'm gonna live.  we ante up quarterly and i spend the next three months hoping you win..."</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>here&#8217;s how i saw life insurance.  i was talking with my earnest and well-meaning agent and he was heavy duty into the schpiel, i stopped him and said:</p>
<p>&#8220;ok.  let me get this straight.  i&#8217;m betting you that i&#8217;m gonna die, you&#8217;re betting me that i&#8217;m gonna live.  we ante up quarterly and i spend the next three months hoping you win&#8230;&#8221;</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by jo6pac</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5873</link>
		<dc:creator>jo6pac</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Mar 2010 03:52:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5873</guid>
		<description>Thanks Ian and to some great comments to what you brought up, Sad day in Amerika. It's a sad day here even if its citizens don't know it yet but coming soon. I only hope most of the world passes through that edges of its demise. I truly wish the citizens of this nation saw this.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks Ian and to some great comments to what you brought up, Sad day in Amerika. It&#8217;s a sad day here even if its citizens don&#8217;t know it yet but coming soon. I only hope most of the world passes through that edges of its demise. I truly wish the citizens of this nation saw this.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by J</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5870</link>
		<dc:creator>J</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 17:08:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5870</guid>
		<description>You forget, it doesn't matter who casts the votes--only who counts them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You forget, it doesn&#8217;t matter who casts the votes&#8211;only who counts them.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by kelley b.</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5868</link>
		<dc:creator>kelley b.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 13:39:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5868</guid>
		<description>The reason Gore got beaten in 2000 is the Companies were not on board with him and trusted Poppy's blood. They never counted on the weakness of Junior in the face of Cheney- but made damn sure the Cheneyburton crew got the smackdown they deserved. You do not go to Langely and act rudely to the boys.

As long as the One is onboard with the Companies' agenda (more and better ca$hflows) he'll do fine. If he starts to listen to his own campaign speeches in 2010, though, say bye-bye.

No, I do &lt;i&gt;not&lt;/i&gt; think that would be a good thing, because of what would replace Obama. It's the difference between bad and worse. Have no delusions: as much as Obama leaves to be desired, right now there is &lt;i&gt;nothing&lt;/i&gt; better in the wings.

Anything better would get the Wellstone treatment as would the One if he took himself &lt;i&gt;really&lt;/i&gt; seriously.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The reason Gore got beaten in 2000 is the Companies were not on board with him and trusted Poppy&#8217;s blood. They never counted on the weakness of Junior in the face of Cheney- but made damn sure the Cheneyburton crew got the smackdown they deserved. You do not go to Langely and act rudely to the boys.</p>
<p>As long as the One is onboard with the Companies&#8217; agenda (more and better ca$hflows) he&#8217;ll do fine. If he starts to listen to his own campaign speeches in 2010, though, say bye-bye.</p>
<p>No, I do <i>not</i> think that would be a good thing, because of what would replace Obama. It&#8217;s the difference between bad and worse. Have no delusions: as much as Obama leaves to be desired, right now there is <i>nothing</i> better in the wings.</p>
<p>Anything better would get the Wellstone treatment as would the One if he took himself <i>really</i> seriously.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by Mandos</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5866</link>
		<dc:creator>Mandos</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 07:10:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5866</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;I, for one, don’t think Obama losing is a really bad idea. I don’t generally mind if conservatives lose and I won’t care if he loses. I held my nose and voted for him in 2008 and swore at the time it was the very last time I was going to do that for the Democrats. Nothing that has happened since then has made me change my mind about that. If anything, electing Democrats - just because they’re Democrats - seems less important than ever before no matter how crazy the GOP is.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I would agree if I thought that within the space of an election, a left alternative to Obama would spring up unbidden as from the head of Zeus.   Instead, the alternative will likely be some form of right-wing populist, or someone dependent on right-wing populists.  Unfortunately, the Lesser of Two Evils still holds.  Yes, I know, the LTE is used to keep the left at bay, but there's a reason why it works---it's because it's real.  

For me as a member of an unpopular minority, well, there are aspects and motivations of right-wing populism with which I am somewhat sympathetic---they don't seem to love the bank bailouts---but that doesn't mean that I don't fear them as the Greater of Two Evils.

&lt;blockquote&gt;I no longer think electoral politics is going to get us anywhere. I’m more about social movements aimed at pressuring whoever is elected, both in terms of outcome and in terms of giving angry people some place to go other than rightwing populism.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

This is true and I agree with it.  However, insofar as elections are going to continue to happen and perhaps have consequences, they can't be completely ignored.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I, for one, don’t think Obama losing is a really bad idea. I don’t generally mind if conservatives lose and I won’t care if he loses. I held my nose and voted for him in 2008 and swore at the time it was the very last time I was going to do that for the Democrats. Nothing that has happened since then has made me change my mind about that. If anything, electing Democrats - just because they’re Democrats - seems less important than ever before no matter how crazy the GOP is.</p></blockquote>
<p>I would agree if I thought that within the space of an election, a left alternative to Obama would spring up unbidden as from the head of Zeus.   Instead, the alternative will likely be some form of right-wing populist, or someone dependent on right-wing populists.  Unfortunately, the Lesser of Two Evils still holds.  Yes, I know, the LTE is used to keep the left at bay, but there&#8217;s a reason why it works&#8212;it&#8217;s because it&#8217;s real.  </p>
<p>For me as a member of an unpopular minority, well, there are aspects and motivations of right-wing populism with which I am somewhat sympathetic&#8212;they don&#8217;t seem to love the bank bailouts&#8212;but that doesn&#8217;t mean that I don&#8217;t fear them as the Greater of Two Evils.</p>
<blockquote><p>I no longer think electoral politics is going to get us anywhere. I’m more about social movements aimed at pressuring whoever is elected, both in terms of outcome and in terms of giving angry people some place to go other than rightwing populism.</p></blockquote>
<p>This is true and I agree with it.  However, insofar as elections are going to continue to happen and perhaps have consequences, they can&#8217;t be completely ignored.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by Z</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5864</link>
		<dc:creator>Z</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 06:04:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5864</guid>
		<description>Dear Lost Lori,

Are you claiming that the fact that the outgoing republican president ceremoniously signed off on agreement that was not yet finalized meant that clinton HAD to sign it?  Didn't Perot run on NOT signing off on nafta?  A republican ex-president ceremoniously signing off on an incomplete agreement that hadn't been voted on by either the senate or the house equates to fait accompli that it must come into law?  If you are so dumb to believe that then all I can say is WOW!  And somehow in your minuscule mind the fact that a democrat president, a democrat dominated house (that outnumbered the republicans by 82 seats) and a democrat dominated senate (which outnumbered republicans by 12 seats) passed nafta is trumped by a republican ex-president's ceremoniously signing an incomplete agreement so therefore it is GOP legislation.  Another WOW! on that.

The highest family income in history may be true ... I wouldn't doubt if it was ... because there was low unemployment during the clinton years.  But despite that, and despite the leverage one would think the american workers would have in that situation:

&lt;blockquote&gt;"Both the average wages for non-supervisory workers and the earnings of those in the lowest 10 percent of wage earners," notes Robert Pollin, "not only remained well below those of the Nixon/Ford and Carter administrations, but were actually lower than that even than those of the Reagan/Bush years. Moreover, wage inequality -- as measured by the ratio of the 90th to the 10th wage decile -- increased sharply during Clinton's tenure in office, even relative to the Republican heyday of the 1980s."&lt;/blockquote&gt;

http://dissidentvoice.org/Sept05/Street0929.htm

A healthy economy, huh?  What was the basis of it?  A big employer during those years were the internet companies many of which reached crazy stock valuations, but crashed and burned becoz they couldn't make money.  Where did the money come from to blow up the stock market bubble and fund these jobs?   A lot of it was the fact that the fed bought into rubin's "productivity" "miracle" and jacked up the money supply to reflect it.  That's one reason that the stock market doubled in one year and we all saw how much of a true miracle it was when companies with huge valuations crashed and went bankrupt.

The manufacturing jobs began to leave during the clinton administration, but there were other jobs, many of them directly and indirectly produced by the unhealthy stock market bubble, to soak them up.   

Free trade agreements and the financialization of our economy had a HUGE part in disempowering the average worker, the average american.  clinton had a HUGE part in the rise of both of those factors though idiots like you probably lay that solely on rubin as if rubin fell like an asteroid from the sky into clinton's cabinet.  

It's not really about history with you as much as thinking ... your ability to comprehend instead of imagining things the way you wished they were.  I wouldn't doubt if you were one of those dumbasses from the hillary clinton-loving blog that I got thrown off of.  In fact, maybe you are the dumbass that runs it that counts as bill clinton's achievements fighting off impeachment and winning elections without cheating.  

Z</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear Lost Lori,</p>
<p>Are you claiming that the fact that the outgoing republican president ceremoniously signed off on agreement that was not yet finalized meant that clinton HAD to sign it?  Didn&#8217;t Perot run on NOT signing off on nafta?  A republican ex-president ceremoniously signing off on an incomplete agreement that hadn&#8217;t been voted on by either the senate or the house equates to fait accompli that it must come into law?  If you are so dumb to believe that then all I can say is WOW!  And somehow in your minuscule mind the fact that a democrat president, a democrat dominated house (that outnumbered the republicans by 82 seats) and a democrat dominated senate (which outnumbered republicans by 12 seats) passed nafta is trumped by a republican ex-president&#8217;s ceremoniously signing an incomplete agreement so therefore it is GOP legislation.  Another WOW! on that.</p>
<p>The highest family income in history may be true &#8230; I wouldn&#8217;t doubt if it was &#8230; because there was low unemployment during the clinton years.  But despite that, and despite the leverage one would think the american workers would have in that situation:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8220;Both the average wages for non-supervisory workers and the earnings of those in the lowest 10 percent of wage earners,&#8221; notes Robert Pollin, &#8220;not only remained well below those of the Nixon/Ford and Carter administrations, but were actually lower than that even than those of the Reagan/Bush years. Moreover, wage inequality &#8212; as measured by the ratio of the 90th to the 10th wage decile &#8212; increased sharply during Clinton&#8217;s tenure in office, even relative to the Republican heyday of the 1980s.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://dissidentvoice.org/Sept05/Street0929.htm" rel="nofollow">http://dissidentvoice.org/Sept05/Street0929.htm</a></p>
<p>A healthy economy, huh?  What was the basis of it?  A big employer during those years were the internet companies many of which reached crazy stock valuations, but crashed and burned becoz they couldn&#8217;t make money.  Where did the money come from to blow up the stock market bubble and fund these jobs?   A lot of it was the fact that the fed bought into rubin&#8217;s &#8220;productivity&#8221; &#8220;miracle&#8221; and jacked up the money supply to reflect it.  That&#8217;s one reason that the stock market doubled in one year and we all saw how much of a true miracle it was when companies with huge valuations crashed and went bankrupt.</p>
<p>The manufacturing jobs began to leave during the clinton administration, but there were other jobs, many of them directly and indirectly produced by the unhealthy stock market bubble, to soak them up.   </p>
<p>Free trade agreements and the financialization of our economy had a HUGE part in disempowering the average worker, the average american.  clinton had a HUGE part in the rise of both of those factors though idiots like you probably lay that solely on rubin as if rubin fell like an asteroid from the sky into clinton&#8217;s cabinet.  </p>
<p>It&#8217;s not really about history with you as much as thinking &#8230; your ability to comprehend instead of imagining things the way you wished they were.  I wouldn&#8217;t doubt if you were one of those dumbasses from the hillary clinton-loving blog that I got thrown off of.  In fact, maybe you are the dumbass that runs it that counts as bill clinton&#8217;s achievements fighting off impeachment and winning elections without cheating.  </p>
<p>Z</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by Frank Burns</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5863</link>
		<dc:creator>Frank Burns</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 05:34:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5863</guid>
		<description>No one's mentioned a topic I think will tip the balance in Obama's favor: The Supreme Court. After the Citizens United ruling, it's become urgent that the court's orientation must be corrected. Of course, if he does what rumor has it and nominates Cass Sunstein, well then, never mind.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No one&#8217;s mentioned a topic I think will tip the balance in Obama&#8217;s favor: The Supreme Court. After the Citizens United ruling, it&#8217;s become urgent that the court&#8217;s orientation must be corrected. Of course, if he does what rumor has it and nominates Cass Sunstein, well then, never mind.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Who does Obama think is going to support him in 2012? by Mandos</title>
		<link>http://www.ianwelsh.net/who-does-obama-think-is-going-to-support-him-in-2012/comment-page-1/#comment-5862</link>
		<dc:creator>Mandos</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Mar 2010 05:25:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.ianwelsh.net/?p=1815#comment-5862</guid>
		<description>Trade liberalization---beyond NAFTA---ate into US manufacturing like acid, and much of it happened during Clinton times or was fueled by Clinton policies which were based in exactly the same ideologies---neoliberal trade orthodoxy---that dominates policy discussion in the Obama era, and to be fair, the Bush era.  What happened during the Clinton period to give a veneer of prosperity was the tech boom; I was there, by 1997 it was obvious it could not be sustained, and in 2K it fell apart for good.

It didn't begin with Clinton but it sure didn't end with Clinton or even take a break with Clinton.   Production is sovereignty.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trade liberalization&#8212;beyond NAFTA&#8212;ate into US manufacturing like acid, and much of it happened during Clinton times or was fueled by Clinton policies which were based in exactly the same ideologies&#8212;neoliberal trade orthodoxy&#8212;that dominates policy discussion in the Obama era, and to be fair, the Bush era.  What happened during the Clinton period to give a veneer of prosperity was the tech boom; I was there, by 1997 it was obvious it could not be sustained, and in 2K it fell apart for good.</p>
<p>It didn&#8217;t begin with Clinton but it sure didn&#8217;t end with Clinton or even take a break with Clinton.   Production is sovereignty.</p>
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